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Author Topic: Demographic Maps  (Read 6317 times)
Lief 🗽
Lief
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« on: November 08, 2008, 01:52:24 PM »

These are always fun. Based on exit polls.

Males



O: 325
M: 209
T: 4

Females


O: 393
M: 145


Others coming soon (or feel free to do them yourself).
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Hashemite
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« Reply #1 on: November 08, 2008, 06:12:43 PM »

18-29



Obama 454
McCain 51
Tie 6
No Data Available 27
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Hashemite
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« Reply #2 on: November 08, 2008, 06:26:09 PM »

White



314-224 McCain
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #3 on: November 08, 2008, 07:34:47 PM »

It's kind of retarded that they didn't poll 18-29s in WA, OR and CO.
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Nutmeg
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« Reply #4 on: November 08, 2008, 08:42:32 PM »


GA looks like an outlier there.  That would be a strange statistic, if true.
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StatesRights
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« Reply #5 on: November 08, 2008, 08:44:10 PM »

Really meaningless though, this days Democrats will be future Republicans. Most become conservative with age.
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Bacon King
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« Reply #6 on: November 13, 2008, 06:50:55 PM »

White Evangelical/Born-Again



CNN exit polls used. Gray states are where either it either wasn't polled (UT, CT, PA, ME, and I think one other) or where it didn't constute a significant enough portion of the population to have available data.
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Bacon King
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« Reply #7 on: November 13, 2008, 06:58:34 PM »

also, fun fact: if white evangelicals in Mississippi voted like white evangelicals in Tennessee, Obama would have carried Mississippi.
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Gustaf
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« Reply #8 on: November 14, 2008, 02:03:22 PM »

These are always fun. Based on exit polls.

Males



O: 325
M: 209
T: 4

Females


O: 393
M: 145


Others coming soon (or feel free to do them yourself).

I doubt the gender-gap was really that small/non-existant in states like Ohio, Florida and Virginia.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #9 on: November 14, 2008, 03:22:35 PM »

It's kind of retarded that they didn't poll 18-29s in WA, OR and CO.

I think we can safely assume that Obama won them handily in all of those states.
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Holmes
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« Reply #10 on: December 19, 2008, 09:39:54 PM »

Either way, it's really difficult to exit poll Oregon. And yay for improving on the white vote. Smiley

Really meaningless though, this days Democrats will be future Republicans. Most become conservative with age.
Smiley
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Verily
Cuivienen
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« Reply #11 on: December 19, 2008, 10:04:12 PM »
« Edited: December 19, 2008, 10:06:41 PM by Verily »

These are always fun. Based on exit polls.

Males



O: 325
M: 209
T: 4

Females


O: 393
M: 145


Others coming soon (or feel free to do them yourself).

I doubt the gender-gap was really that small/non-existant in states like Ohio, Florida and Virginia.

Doesn't have to be based on those maps. But the gender gap has always been a white Catholic thing (shown very clearly in Rhode Island and New Hampshire on the map, and elsewhere in New England and the Mid-Atlantic in the data) combined with black women being far more likely to vote than black men (thus Georgia).

Not that the gender gap doesn't exist among non-whites or non-Catholics, but it's much smaller, no more than 5 points. Which wouldn't conflict with Obama winning men in Ohio, Florida, or (especially) Virginia.
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nclib
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« Reply #12 on: December 20, 2008, 03:23:26 PM »

These are always fun. Based on exit polls.

Males



O: 325
M: 209
T: 4

Females


O: 393
M: 145


Others coming soon (or feel free to do them yourself).

I doubt the gender-gap was really that small/non-existant in states like Ohio, Florida and Virginia.

Doesn't have to be based on those maps. But the gender gap has always been a white Catholic thing (shown very clearly in Rhode Island and New Hampshire on the map, and elsewhere in New England and the Mid-Atlantic in the data) combined with black women being far more likely to vote than black men (thus Georgia).

Not that the gender gap doesn't exist among non-whites or non-Catholics, but it's much smaller, no more than 5 points. Which wouldn't conflict with Obama winning men in Ohio, Florida, or (especially) Virginia.

Do you have the gender gap for each state (because 51-49 and 59-41 would look the same on that map)?
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Verily
Cuivienen
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« Reply #13 on: December 20, 2008, 04:36:14 PM »
« Edited: December 20, 2008, 04:39:18 PM by Verily »

These are always fun. Based on exit polls.

Males



O: 325
M: 209
T: 4

Females


O: 393
M: 145


Others coming soon (or feel free to do them yourself).

I doubt the gender-gap was really that small/non-existant in states like Ohio, Florida and Virginia.

Doesn't have to be based on those maps. But the gender gap has always been a white Catholic thing (shown very clearly in Rhode Island and New Hampshire on the map, and elsewhere in New England and the Mid-Atlantic in the data) combined with black women being far more likely to vote than black men (thus Georgia).

Not that the gender gap doesn't exist among non-whites or non-Catholics, but it's much smaller, no more than 5 points. Which wouldn't conflict with Obama winning men in Ohio, Florida, or (especially) Virginia.

Do you have the gender gap for each state (because 51-49 and 59-41 would look the same on that map)?

I'll do some sample states. Here's a link to them all: http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/results/polls/#val=USP00p1

Massachusetts
Men: O+14
Women: O+38

Montana
Men: M+9
Women: O+4 (actually larger than I expected)

Ohio
Men: O+3
Women: O+8

Indiana
Men: M+5
Women: O+5

Georgia
Men: M+18
Women: O+8 (Note 19% of the vote was black women against only 11% black men; the gender gap among whites was small, M+57 against M+48)

National
Men: O+1
Women: O+13
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Meeker
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« Reply #14 on: December 21, 2008, 04:07:17 PM »

The lack of 18-29 exit polling info is especially annoying in Washington. I was very curious to find out how many voted for Rossi.
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Meeker
meekermariner
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« Reply #15 on: January 08, 2009, 12:36:15 AM »

I just realized that since I had the values for all the other age demographics I could pretty easily figure out the 18-29 demographic in Washington.

Obama: 72%
McCain: 28%

Gregoire: 64%
Rossi: 36%

Gregoire did much better there than I would've expected...
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LanceMcSteel
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« Reply #16 on: January 08, 2009, 12:55:02 AM »

the kids are alright
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #17 on: January 08, 2009, 12:14:42 PM »

I just realized that since I had the values for all the other age demographics I could pretty easily figure out the 18-29 demographic in Washington.

Obama: 72%
McCain: 28%

Gregoire: 64%
Rossi: 36%

Gregoire did much better there than I would've expected...
Young people are usually pretty good at not voting for Satan.
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