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Lewis Trondheim
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« on: November 09, 2008, 08:12:53 am »
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Link to the 2004 results.

Unlike in 2004 early votes are being reported by House District, so we get accurate totals again. McCain first.

D1 60.4 - 36.4 Ketchikan. 8-1 on precincts.
D2 52.2 - 44.7 Sitka, Wrangell, Petersburg. 4-4. Pretty sure Obama won Sitka Borough (Kerry did too)
D3 32.4 - 64.4 Juneau Downtown, Douglas. 3-7. This was always the most democratic district in Alaska, but it swung further.
D4 49.3 - 47.5 Juneau Mendenhall Valley. 4-2. The historically Republican part of Juneau. Also trending quite Democratic.
D5 48.1 - 47.6 Rural parts of the panhandle and up to Cordova. 9-7 and one tied. Obama won the nation's newest county equivalent, Skagway Borough. Yakutat (which went for Bush in 2004) as well.
D6 62.1 - 34.4 Rural interior. 27-19 - lots of tiny precincts, and a few larger ones in the SE Fairbanks Census Area that are heavily Republican. I don't think Obama actually won Yukon - Koyukuk Census Area, but it's worth checking
D7 57.8 - 39.3 Northern outskirts of Fairbanks. 8-1.
D 8 48.3 - 48.4 West Fairbanks and down to Denali. 8-5. Flipped on absentees.
D9 58.0 - 39.3 Central Fairbanks. 9-0.
D10 60.6 - 37.1 East Fairbanks. 5-0.
D11 78.5 - 19.4 North Pole. 8.0
D12 72.1 - 25.2 A strip from the eastern end of Fairbanks down to Valdez. 11-0
D13 73.2 - 24.3. Palmer. 10-0.
D14 77.5 - 20.4 Wasilla. 7-0.
D15 74.3 - 22.6 Rural Mat-Su. 8-1. Dem precinct is Talkeetna
D16 72.7 - 24.6 Both sides of the Mat-Su - Anchorage line. 8-0
D17 69.9 - 28.1 Eagle River, officially included in Anchorage. 7-0
D18 66.4 - 31.8 Anchorage military bases, mostly. 5-0
D19 55.7 - 41.9 From here to 31 is all Anchorage. 7-0
D20 49.3 - 48.2 4-1. Error in original post here
D21 55.9 - 41.9 6-0
D22 46.8 - 50.4 5-3. Has the Uni. Flipped on earlies and absentees.
D23 39.7 - 57.5 Downtown Anchorage. 1-8. Also voted for Kerry.
D24 53.7 - 43.9 7-0
D25 47.2 - 50.2. 7-2. Flipped on earlies and absentees.
D26 46.4 - 51.4 5-4. Turnagain, Inlet View. Flipped. Was close in 2004 though.
D27 60.7 - 36.9 6-0.
D28 60.8 - 37.2 6-0.
D29 59.3 - 38.6 7-0.
D30 60.0 - 37.9 7-0.
D31 62.9 - 35.1 8-0
D32 55.8 - 42.0 9-3. This has the newest areas of Anchorage proper (and the highest number of voters by a giant margin), but also the old hippiesque towns southeast of the city proper, most of which are within the city boundary.
D33 73.8 - 23.4 Kenai Town. 6-0.
D34 77.1 - 20.0 remainder of west coast Kenai pen. 7-0.
D35 52.3 - 44.7 south and east of Kenai pen. 9-2.
D36 63.1 - 33.8 Kodiak Island, mostly. 12-2.
D37 57.0 - 40.0 Alaska peninsula, Aleutians, Dillingham. 19-3
D38 42.7 - 52.8 Bethel area. 9-18. Flipped
D39 44.9 - 51.9 Bering Straits area. 11-15. Flipped, and I didn't expect it to.
D40 53.8 - 42.3 Arctic coast. 15-6

Further updated. Should be the complete results - certainly the question ballots are now total.
« Last Edit: November 19, 2008, 01:12:45 pm by Lewis "Scooter" Trondheim »Logged

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« Reply #1 on: November 09, 2008, 08:15:11 am »
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Also, I suppose a comparison with house and Senate will be very interesting - the posh AIP / Palin la la land suburban areas didn't swing Dem at all - in fact I think they swung slightly Republican. These are the very same areas that tried to primary Don Young. Real Alaska - the areas that kept Don Young in office - swung Democratic.
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« Reply #2 on: November 09, 2008, 08:15:53 am »
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Also, I suppose a comparison with house and Senate will be very interesting - the posh AIP / Palin la la land suburban areas didn't swing Dem at all - in fact I think they swung slightly Republican. These are the very same areas that tried to primary Don Young. Real Alaska - the areas that kept Don Young in office - swung Democratic.


Brilliant.
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« Reply #3 on: November 09, 2008, 12:42:16 pm »
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Everything looks about right here.
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« Reply #4 on: November 09, 2008, 05:06:17 pm »
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Will wait until final results to calculate Boroughs and Census Areas, I think.

No point in the case of minor areas, actually.

Ketchikan Gateway* 59.8 - 37.1 (6-1)
Prince of Wales - Outer Ketchikan 53.9 - 40.7 (5-2)
Sitka 47.3 - 49.0 (1-3)
Wrangell - Petersburg 61.5 - 35.5 (3-1)
Hoonah - Angoon 45.9 - 50.1 (3-3)
Juneau* 40.9 - 56.0 (7-9)
Haines 52.3 - 43.9 (2-0)
Skagway 39.4 - 54.5 (0-1)
Yakutat 47.1 - 49.0 (0-1)
Valdez - Cordova 65.8 - 31.2 (11-0 and one tied)
Southeast Fairbanks 77.4 - 19.6 (8-1)
Yukon - Koyukuk 53.1 - 43.9 (14-14)
Fairbanks North Star* 61.1 - 36.2 (36-5)
Denali 54.5 - 42.3 (3-1)
Matanuska - Susitna* 74.9 - 22.5 (33-1)
Anchorage* 57.1 - 41.1 (99 - 20)
Kenai Peninsula* 67.5 - 29.6 (22-4)
Kodiak Island* 63.3 - 33.6 (8-1)
Lake & Peninsula 60.9 - 35.7 (7-1)
Aleutians East 66.5 - 29.5 (4-0)
Aleutians West 50.2 - 46.3 (3-1)
Bristol Bay 70.4 - 26.2 (3-0)
Dillingham 55.1 - 42.1 (6-2)
Bethel* 43.3 - 52.2 (12-19)
Wade Hampton 40.2 - 55.9 (3-11)
Nome 47.7 - 50.7 (8-7)
Northwest Arctic 56.3 - 38.8 (9-2)
North Slope 52.8 - 43.4 (6-3)


* marks a Borough or Census Area making up more than two-thirds of the House District / one or more of the House Districts it is in. In these places, I include the House District's early, question, and absentee votes in the results. Smaller Boroughs or Census Areas are day voting only. This also means that asterisked results will be updated after the full results are in.

Updated. Further updated. Final.

As the total non-day vote split rather significantly more Democratic, asterisked and non-asterisked figures are not strictly comparable.
« Last Edit: November 20, 2008, 07:44:54 am by Lewis "Scooter" Trondheim »Logged

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« Reply #5 on: November 09, 2008, 05:49:05 pm »
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As soon as the Search Function is up again, I'll link this to the 2004 results.
I'll also update it - these are day votes and apparently only part of the early votes, with no absentee and provisional ballots counted yet. Seems like Obama won early voters in Alaska, btw.

Oh, and unlike in 2004 early votes are being reported by House District, so we get accurate totals again. McCain first.

D1 62.0 - 34.8 Ketchikan. 8-1 on precincts.
D2 53.4 - 43.4 Sitka, Wrangell, Petersburg. 4-4. Pretty sure Obama won Sitka Borough (Kerry did too).
D3 35.5 - 61.3 Juneau Downtown, Douglas. 3-7. This was always the most democratic district in Alaska, but it swung further.
D4 51.0 - 45.5 Juneau Mendenhall Valley. 4-2. The Republican part of Juneau. Also trending quite Democratic.
D5 49.4 - 46.5 Rural parts of the panhandle and up to Cordova. 9-7 and one tied. Obama won the nation's newest county equivalent, Skagway Borough. Yakutat (which went for Bush in 2004) as well.
D6 62.0 - 34.8 Rural interior. 27-19 - lots of tiny precincts, and a few larger ones in the SE Fairbanks Census Area that are heavily Republican. I don't think Obama actually won Yukon - Koyukuk Census Area, but it's worth checking.
D7 59.9 - 37.1 Northern outskirts of Fairbanks. 8-1.
D8 50.8 - 45.7 West Fairbanks and down to Denali. 8-5.
D9 61.0 - 36.4 Central Fairbanks. 9-0.
D10 63.3 - 34.1 East Fairbanks. 5-0.
D11 80.0 - 17.9 North Pole. 8.0.
D12 72.7 - 24.4 A strip from the eastern end of Fairbanks down to Valdez. 11-0.
D13 75.6 - 21.8. Palmer. 10-0.
D14 78.9 - 19.0 Wasilla. 7-0
D15 75.2 - 21.3 Rural Mat-Su. 8-1. Dem precinct is Talkeetna.
D16 74.5 - 23.0 Both sides of the Mat-Su - Anchorage line. 8-0
D17 71.0 - 27.0 Some town officially included in Anchorage. I forget the name. 7-0.
D18 69.6 - 28.4 Anchorage military bases, mostly. 5-0.
D19 58.6 - 38.9 From here to 31 is all Anchorage. 7-0.
D20 62.0 - 36.0 7-0.
D21 58.4 - 39.5 6-0.
D22 49.5 - 47.6 5-3. Has the Uni.
D23 41.8 - 55.0 Downtown Anchorage. 1-8. Also voted for Kerry.
D24 57.0 - 40.8. 7-0
D25 49.9- 47.3. 7-2
D26 48.3 - 49.4 5-4. Turnagain, Inlet View. Flipped. Was close in 2004 though.
D27 62.4 - 34.9 6-0.
D28 62.7 - 35.1 6-0.
D29 60.6 - 37.1 7-0.
D30 62.0 - 36.0 7-0.
D31 64.7 - 33.4 8-0
D32 57.0 - 40.8 9-3. This has the newest areas of Anchorage proper (and the highest number of voters by a giant margin), but also the old hippiesque towns southeast of the city proper, most of which are within the city boundary.
D33 77.0 - 20.1 Kenai Town. 6-0.
D34 78.5 - 18.5 remainder of west coast Kenai pen. 7-0.
D35 57.1 - 39.5 south and east of Kenai pen. 9-2.
D36 63.7 - 33.3 Kodiak Island, mostly. 12-2.
D37 57.5 - 39.2 Alaska peninsula, Aleutians, Dillingham. 19-3.
D38 43.5 - 51.8 Bethel area. 9-18. Flipped.
D39 45.1 - 51.8 Bering Straits area. 11-15. Flipped, and I didn't expect it to.
D40 53.8 - 42.0 Arctic coast. 15-6.

Will wait until final results to calculate Boroughs and Census Areas, I think.


Thanks for doing this! Don't suppose you have a map of Alaskan districts to reference to?
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« Reply #6 on: November 09, 2008, 06:25:40 pm »
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« Reply #7 on: November 10, 2008, 07:06:58 am »
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Comparing Presidential, Senate, House, State House, and (where applicable) State Senate (each State Senate district made up of two neighboring House districts):

unc. means not contested by the other major party.

D01 62.0 - 34.8 | 51.7 - 41.8 | 56.0 - 36.7 | Rep unc | Rep unc
D02 53.4 - 43.4 | 40.9 - 54.2 | 46.9 - 49.1 | 57.9 - 41.8 | Rep unc
D03 35.5 - 61.3 | 27.5 - 69.5 | 29.7 - 68.0 | Dem unc
D04 51.0 - 45.5 | 37.4 - 58.3 | 41.8 - 54.5 | 53.8 - 46.0
D05 49.4 - 46.5 | 38.1 - 55.7 | 45.6 - 48.1 | 63.9 - 35.8 | Dem unc
D06 62.0 - 34.8 | 46.3 - 47.8 | 51.9 - 41.1 | 44.5 - 55.3 | Dem unc
D07 59.9 - 37.1 | 46.8 - 45.9 | 47.5 - 46.7 | 50.7 - 49.0
D08 50.8 - 45.7 | 40.3 - 53.0 | 40.7 - 53.7 | 38.3 - 61.4
D09 61.0 - 36.4 | 47.8 - 46.1 | 47.7 - 47.2 | 48.9 - 50.8 | 47.9 - 51.8
D10 63.3 - 34.1 | 46.1 - 46.5 | 49.1 - 45.2 | 52.4 - 47.1 | 49.4 - 50.4
D11 80.0 - 17.9 | 57.0 - 33.8 | 62.7 - 30.1 | 81.9 - 17.8
D12 72.7 - 24.4 | 53.1 - 39.5 | 59.5 - 34.6 | 72.3 - 27.4
D13 75.6 - 21.8 | 58.7 - 35.6 | 63.4 - 32.2 | 71.8 - 27.6 | 80.2 - 18.9
D14 78.9 - 19.0 | 59.9 - 34.4 | 64.6 - 30.5 | 78.8 - 20.8 | 81.8 - 17.1
D15 75.2 - 21.3 | 59.5 - 34.0 | 63.1 - 31.3 | 77.8 - 21.8
D16 74.5 - 23.0 | 60.4 - 34.3 | 62.7 - 32.9 | 76.0 - 23.6
D17 71.0 - 27.0 | 55.0 - 40.1 | 58.9 - 37.1 | 81.1 - 18.5 | 75.8 - 24.1
D18 69.6 - 28.4 | 42.2 - 50.5 | 53.2 - 42.1 | Rep unc | 69.7 - 29.9
D19 58.6 - 38.9 | 46.3 - 49.1 | 48.9 - 47.1 | 48.5 - 51.2
D20 62.0 - 36.0 | 42.0 - 53.9 | 44.8 - 50.6 | Dem unc
D21 58.4 - 39.5 | 47.3 - 49.3 | 50.1 - 47.0 | 41.4 - 58.5 | 47.9 - 52.0
D22 49.5 - 47.6 | 39.2 - 56.6 | 42.2 - 54.0 | 39.5 - 60.3 | 38.4 - 61.5
D23 41.8 - 55.0 | 36.9 - 59.4 | 34.9 - 61.7 | Dem unc
D24 57.0 - 40.8 | 47.1 - 48.9 | 48.7 - 48.0 | 40.1 - 59.6
D25 49.9 - 47.3 | 42.0 - 53.7 | 42.1 - 53.8 | 30.5 - 69.3 | Dem unc
D26 48.3 - 49.4 | 44.5 - 52.5 | 41.9 - 55.4 | Dem unc | Dem unc
D27 62.4 - 34.9 | 52.5 - 43.3 | 52.2 - 44.2 | 49.3 - 50.4
D28 62.7 - 35.1 | 54.4 - 41.6 | 54.7 - 42.0 | 56.7 - 43.0
D29 60.6 - 37.1 | 48.7 - 47.4 | 51.4 - 44.4 | 48.1 - 51.4 | 66.4 - 33.1
D30 62.0 - 36.0 | 51.3 - 45.1 | 53.5 - 43.8 | 57.6 - 42.2 | 73.4 - 26.4
D31 64.7 - 33.4 | 56.0 - 40.8 | 56.5 - 40.8 | 72.2 - 24.4
D32 57.0 - 40.8 | 51.3 - 45.3 | 49.8 - 47.2 | 64.2 - 35.3
D33 77.0 - 20.1 | 54.6 - 35.4 | 60.9 - 33.7 | 70.0 - 17.2 | 59.6 - 40.0
D34 78.5 - 18.5 | 54.8 - 32.2 | 61.9 - 30.4 | 72.6 - 27.1 | 62.2 - 37.4
D35 57.1 - 39.5 | 44.5 - 50.4 | 47.7 - 47.9 | 69.4 - 30.4
D36 63.7 - 33.3 | 41.7 - 53.2 | 51.1 - 44.6 | 51.1 - 48.4
D37 57.5 - 39.2 | 45.9 - 50.0 | 53.3 - 40.9 | 37.1 - 62.6
D38 43.5 - 51.8 | 30.6 - 65.3 | 44.7 - 48.3 | Dem unc
D39 45.1 - 51.8 | 38.1 - 58.3 | 48.8 - 45.8 | Dem unc | Dem unc
D40 53.8 - 42.0 | 37.7 - 58.8 | 45.6 - 48.5 | Dem unc | Dem unc

I'm not going to update this table after full results are in.

Some notes:

Young and Stevens underperformed shockingly in Republican stronghold areas compared to McCain/Palin. Needless to say these areas also recorded the highest third party vote. Nonetheless Stevens' margins here were still high enough to (almost certainly) pull him over the finish line - Begich carried a majority of House Districts.

Young's margins over Stevens are highest in the Panhandle, in the Eskimo Noth and West (which also liked itself some Young in the primary) and in places with a sizable military presence - relative lack of an "Uncle Ted, Alaskan Institution" bonus in the latter case, obviously, although I've no ready explanation for the others. Lol@parts of Anchorage - the Dem parts, mostly - where Stevens did better than Young.

In the State House, Dems and Reps each knocked off one incumbent, and Dems also took over one open seat from Republicans, giving a new balance of 22R - 18D. Democratic dominance of Anchorage at this level continues.

In the last State Senate, there'd been a deal between the 9 Democrats and 6 of the 11 Republicans. 5 Democrats, 3 Coalition Republicans and 2 Opposition Republicans were not up this year.
Of the 3 Coalition Republicans and 3 Opposition Republicans (and 4 Democrats) up this year, 2 CR and 1 OR retired, and one of these seats was taken over by Democrats (District E, ie HDs 9 and 10), giving a new overall breakdown of 10 Democrats, 4 Coalition Republicans, 4 Opposition Republicans, and 2 Freshman Republicans.  The reelected Coalition Republican is the uncontested on from District A.
EDIT: However, both Freshmen and one of the (not up) Coalition Republicans have joined the Opposition now, leaving a coalition of 10 Democrats and 3 Coalition Republicans in charge.
« Last Edit: November 10, 2008, 07:26:27 am by the poster is »Logged

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« Reply #8 on: November 10, 2008, 09:54:57 am »
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Any explanation as to why turnout in the Dem parts of Anchorage was so bad? (absentees and earlies won't change this)
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« Reply #9 on: November 10, 2008, 02:50:21 pm »
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Any explanation as to why turnout in the Dem parts of Anchorage was so bad? (absentees and earlies won't change this)

methinks something is rotten in the state of Alaska.
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« Reply #10 on: November 10, 2008, 02:56:53 pm »
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Any explanation as to why turnout in the Dem parts of Anchorage was so bad? (absentees and earlies won't change this)

methinks something is rotten in the state of Alaska.

Possibly.  Stevens always ran quite well in Anchorage, especially the tony parts, but it's kinda funny when the mayor of Anchorage runs better (in comparison to upballot) in rural Alaska than Anchorage itself.
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« Reply #11 on: November 10, 2008, 04:18:24 pm »
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Any explanation as to why turnout in the Dem parts of Anchorage was so bad? (absentees and earlies won't change this)

methinks something is rotten in the state of Alaska.

What the hell? I would have expected Young to do bad everywhere except for Anchorage, yet it seems to be the opposite. Republicans stole another election it seems like. I hope the dems steal MN for payback.
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« Reply #12 on: November 10, 2008, 04:47:21 pm »
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Any explanation as to why turnout in the Dem parts of Anchorage was so bad? (absentees and earlies won't change this)
It's always been that way I think ("always" meaning this decade). Fairbanks (and not just the Dem part), too.
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« Reply #13 on: November 13, 2008, 05:16:32 am »
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Updated the opening posts.
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« Reply #14 on: November 16, 2008, 04:25:57 pm »
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Further updated.
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« Reply #15 on: November 19, 2008, 12:23:00 pm »
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Projects for today/tomorrow. Swings; statewide day/absentee/early/question totals. With perhaps some regional calculations thrown in to make amends for the very strange distribution of earlies.
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« Reply #16 on: November 19, 2008, 01:19:37 pm »
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Swings. 2004 comparison data excludes early votes - this makes D swings appear larger than they are (earlies leant slightly Democratic in 2004.) "Swing" defined as 2008 margin (D positive) minus 2004 margin - to get the BBC-type swing just half all figures.

D1 14.1
D2 4.3
D3 10.1
D4 11.5
D5 9.6
D6 -0.9
D7 4.3
D8 2.3
D9 7.6
D10 12.1
D11 0.9
D12 4.2
D13 -2.9
D14 -4.0
D15 -9.4
D16 -2.5

D17 6.0
D18 10.6
D19 9.1
D20 15.0
D21 10.2
D22 9.3
D23 7.7
D24 7.3
D25 6.8
D26 5.9
D27 3.1
D28 8.2
D29 9.1
D30 5.9
D31 5.6
D32 4.1
D33 -2.9
D34 -3.4

D35 0.1
D36 3.7
D37 6.3
D38 10.6
D39 16.5

D40 5.3

Highlighted are the seven house districts to swing Republican - the Mat-Su, west side Kenai, and the vast district that includes the Copper/Tanana River country along other places - and the seven house districts with the highest Democratic swings - a rather more diverse lot, including Ketchikan, the Yup'ik country, the pubbie side of Juneau, the pubbie side of Fairbanks (including Fort Wainwright), the Anchorage army bases, a relatively dense Anchorage district that's traditionally Republican (but almost flipped this year) and that also had the lowest turnout in Anchorage in both 2004 and 2008 - anyone have a guess what's up with this area?
It's just south of the military bases: Map.
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« Reply #17 on: November 19, 2008, 01:28:24 pm »
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Looking at the Census demos, and the returns, everything tells me 20-J is probably military-influenced.  In a year like this, that can certainly explain turnout too.
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« Reply #18 on: November 19, 2008, 02:07:25 pm »
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This'll be a big table when it's all grown up.

Dt is House District number. A statewide total table will follow at the bottom, perhaps regional tables and some info on the House and Senate races as well. Voters is total registered voters. t.out is turnout as a percentage of registered voters, although I used "total votes", which is actuallly valid votes. The next four columns are the presidential election, in that particular group of voters, McCain first, Obama leads in red. The "split" column is the percentage of votes to be case as day, absentee, question, and early votes here.

Dt |Voters|t.out|day vote |absentee|question  |early vote|split

01|11,174|60.9|62.1-34.7|56.3-40.4|59.0-38.0|41.7-50.0|68-25-6.5-0.2

02|11,755|65.3|53.4-43.3|48.4-49.0|59.0-37.3|57.1-42.9|69-28-3.2-0.3

03|12,802|67.9|36.4-60.3|25.3-71.8|35.1-59.9|27.9-70.3|57-28-6.4-9.5

04|12,662|68.7|53.6-42.8|43.4-54.3|50.5-46.0|41.7-55.8|57-17-5.6-20

05|11,058|63.7|49.5-46.4|44.5-51.3|50.2-43.7|42.7-49.3|70-26-3.5-1.1

06|10,594|63.5|62.0-34.8|64.9-30.9|58.7-36.9|52.0-45.7|71-20-6.1-2.6

07|14,855|73.0|63.5-33.4|49.2-48.1|66.3-30.6|40.5-57.2|63-15-6.0-16

08|14,356|71.4|53.5-42.8|39.4-57.6|58.8-37.2|33.4-65.1|61-19-5.9-14

09|11,974|59.2|63.7-33.5|52.6-44.7|57.3-38.2|41.6-56.6|59-18-8.7-14

10|11,792|46.7|65.8-31.4|56.3-42.1|63.7-34.2|47.4-51.6|52-25-8.7-14

11|14,954|65.3|81.6-16.3|75.0-23.1|78.2-19.6|61.2-36.9|67-15-9.0-8.7

12|12,697|59.1|72.8-24.3|69.5-27.8|78.9-19.1|66.1-32.1|62-31-5.6-1.5

13|15,711|73.1|76.2-21.3|66.6-30.8|75.6-21.7|67.0-30.3|61-24-7.9-7.5

14|14,927|69.9|80.5-17.4|75.4-23.3|81.2-16.4|67.1-30.3|61-15-7.4-17

15|15,982|68.9|75.8-20.7|68.3-29.0|83.4-14.3|69.4-28.3|66-18-6.2-9.8

16|14,629|72.8|75.0-22.4|67.0-30.1|79.0-17.3|63.1-33.9|69-23-3.5-5.4

17|13,781|67.7|71.9-26.2|67.1-30.9|73.6-24.7|49.1-48.5|66-26-4.9-3.5

18|12,503|50.4|70.9-27.2|64.3-34.0|60.7-38.3|42.8-55.4|49-39-8.9-3.5

19|11,623|65.7|60.3-37.0|49.6-48.7|55.3-42.3|33.0-66.3|66-19-7.4-7.8

20|10,114|50.5|53.6-43.9|43.7-53.8|44.9-52.7|29.2-67.6|65-20-9.6-6.2

21|12,537|68.6|60.3-37.5|49.5-48.1|59.3-38.5|38.3-60.3|64-21-5.3-9.9

22|11,076|59.4|51.5-45.6|40.1-56.7|45.8-51.3|29.4-72.3|63-20-7.9-8.7

23|11,694|60.2|43.3-53.3|33.7-63.7|47.7-50.9|30.6-67.8|56-25-7.0-12

24|12,406|61.7|58.9-38.9|46.0-51.3|53.4-43.9|35.5-62.3|62-19-8.8-9.4

25|10,894|58.8|51.5-45.7|37.4-59.9|52.2-46.0|34.1-64.2|63-20-8.7-8.9

26|12,322|70.2|50.2-47.6|39.8-58.2|52.6-45.1|32.0-66.5|65-20-5.5-9.8

27|12,271|69.0|63.9-33.4|54.9-43.3|63.2-34.6|43.9-53.8|69-17-5.8-8.3

28|13,520|72.0|64.7-33.0|54.3-44.1|68.7-30.3|43.8-55.0|67-19-4.1-10

29|11,263|61.6|61.8-35.8|56.5-41.7|61.7-36.3|42.9-55.4|66-18-7.9-8.4

30|12,761|71.7|64.0-33.8|52.9-44.6|61.8-35.4|42.7-56.2|67-16-6.4-9.9

31|13,765|73.8|66.1-32.0|57.8-39.7|67.2-29.8|49.5-49.1|68-17-3.7-11

32|16,296|75.0|58.8-39.0|51.6-46.4|66.6-31.0|42.8-55.3|63-24-3.1-9.1

33|13,462|65.9|77.0-20.1|67.0-30.4|80.2-17.3|not applic|61-34-5.4-0.0

34|13,753|69.1|78.5-18.5|74.5-22.8|81.1-17.3|not applic|60-36-3.9-0.0

35|13,776|68.4|57.1-39.5|43.8-53.7|59.3-37.4|0.0-100.0|58-37-5.4-0.0

36|10,480|63.1|63.7-33.3|61.3-35.4|64.4-32.5|0.0-100.0|63-28-8.8-0.0

37|   8041|57.6|57.5-39.2|54.4-43.8|63.4-34.9|not applic|75-22-3.8-0.0

38|   8417|57.1|43.5-51.8|34.4-62.2|44.5-51.6|not applic|83-9.4-7.9-0.0

39|   8388|61.1|45.3-51.6|44.4-52.5|43.5-52.6|39.8-55.8|82-7.0-6.5-4.5

40|   8666|57.6|53.9-41.9|52.3-45.8|55.3-41.0|0.0-100.0|81-11-8.0-0.1

Statewide total:
---|495.7k|65.3|62.5-34.7|54.9-42.6|62.4-34.8|45.0-53.0|64-22-6.2-7.5

Note on the weird distribution of earlies:

I think I know what the problem is. I think regions 1 (Panhandle, Kenai, Kodiak) and 4 (North and West Coasts) counted only early votes cast at the big Juneau and Nome counting centers as "early" and those cast at minor early voting locations as "absentee" votes - indeed the list of early voting locations I found on the Alaska Elections website is actually labelled a list of in-person absentee voting locations.

As the big centers stocked ballots for all 40 districts, the few early voters from the Kenai east coast (2), Kodiak Island (2), the North Coast (5), and also Ketchikan (12), Sitka/Wrangell/Petersburg (21) and the rural panhandle (although 75 early votes here is a much higher - but then Juneau's not too far for many of the people here) were cast at one of these locales. The next smallest number is 112 (dt.12, Valdez to Eielson AFB) The places marked "non applic" have no early votes recorded whatsoever.
« Last Edit: November 20, 2008, 09:25:37 am by Lewis "Scooter" Trondheim »Logged

"The secret to having a rewarding work-life balance is to have no life. Then it's easy to keep things balanced by doing no work." Wally



"Our party do not have any ideology... Our main aim is to grab power ... Every one is doing so but I say it openly." Keshav Dev Maurya
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« Reply #19 on: November 19, 2008, 02:15:55 pm »
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You might want to make this easier on yourself (and the readers) by doing it in Excel, and then copy-pasting it into Paint, saving it as an image, and Imageshacking it.  If you like Smiley

Keep it up, though, fascinating stuff
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« Reply #20 on: November 19, 2008, 02:27:29 pm »
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You might want to make this easier on yourself (and the readers) by doing it in Excel, and then copy-pasting it into Paint, saving it as an image, and Imageshacking it.  If you like Smiley

Keep it up, though, fascinating stuff
Tomorrow. I'll continue tomorrow.
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"The secret to having a rewarding work-life balance is to have no life. Then it's easy to keep things balanced by doing no work." Wally



"Our party do not have any ideology... Our main aim is to grab power ... Every one is doing so but I say it openly." Keshav Dev Maurya
only back for the worldcup
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« Reply #21 on: November 20, 2008, 09:25:51 am »
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Done.
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"The secret to having a rewarding work-life balance is to have no life. Then it's easy to keep things balanced by doing no work." Wally



"Our party do not have any ideology... Our main aim is to grab power ... Every one is doing so but I say it openly." Keshav Dev Maurya
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