2009 State and Federal elections in Germany

[Hash]

Can Bavaria invade Thuringia and Saxony?

[minionofmidas]

The last time when it give a Red-Red Majority in Thüringen (1923) sends President Ebert the Reichswehr. Is the Bundeswehr still in the barracks?

We don't have a socialfascist traitor for a President right now.

Gysi rightly called Matschie's situation right now "the Ypsilanti trap".

[Hans-im-Glück]

Can Bavaria invade Thuringia and Saxony?

Maybe, but i don't hear the tanks going north

[Tender Branson]

Town of Andenhausen (Thüringen):

Left: 25.8 (+9.8 )
CDU: 21.6 (-3.9)
Nazis: 19.6 (+16.4)
SPD: 17.5 (+5.8 )
FDP: 8.2 (+3.9)
FW: 4.1 (-24.6)
Greens: 2.1 (nc)

[Tender Branson]

Hmm, was just put back to 2nd place by Urnshausen, where the Nazis got 21% of the vote.

[minionofmidas]

Hmm, was just put back to 2nd place by Urnshausen, where the Nazis got 21% of the vote.

Both single-precinct places.

[minionofmidas]

With 20 out of 36 precincts in, Erfurt I constituency is currently tied at 2853 each for CDU and Left.

[minionofmidas]

7 out of 52 Saar municipalities still out... and no change for half an hour. And they don't even include Saarbrücken.

[minionofmidas]

Now they've been updated and added. Although they seem not to have declared this result as final.

Registered voters 805k (-11k)
Votes cast 544k (+91k)
turnout 67.6 (+12.1)
CDU 34.5 (-13.0), 185k (-25k)
SPD 24.5 (-6.3), 131k (-5k)
Left 21.3 (+18.9), 114k (+104k)
FDP 49k (+26k), 9.2 (+4.0)
Greens 32k (+7k), 5.9 (+0.3)
Families 11k (-2k), 2.0 (-1.0)
NPD 8k (-10k), 1.5 (-2.5)

[minionofmidas]

A Thuringian constituency result!

Sonneberg I
turnout 52.4 (+2.7)
CDU 34.6 (-8.8), Left 33.3 (+5.3), SPD 15.4 (+0.3), FDP 5.9 (+2.7), NPD 4.4 (+2.8), Green 3.4 (+0.6)

Direct vote much clearer for CDU candidate - 43.2.

[Tender Branson]

In the Wahlkreis Saarbrücken, the Left beats the SPD by 19 votes (39.344 to 39.315)

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Quick map of leading party (direct vote) in Thurigina so far:



Things may yet change, all mistakes mine.

[minionofmidas]

CDU 19
SPD 13
Left 11
FDP 5
Greens 3

Saarbrücken constituency:
CDU 4, Left 3, SPD 3, FDP 1, Greens 1
Saarlouis constituency:
CDU 5, SPD 3, Left 3, FDP 1
Neunkirchen constituency:
CDU 7, SPD 5, Left 3, FDP 1, Greens 1
statewide equalizers:
CDU 3, SPD 2, Left 2, FDP 2, Greens 1

[Tender Branson]

Möhrsdorf in Thüringen is also pretty cool:

FDP: 56%
CDU: 15%
Left: 14%
SPD: 11%

[minionofmidas]

So CDU-FDP has just as many seats as Red-Red, despite being two percentage points behind. 51st seat was fairly close between CDU and Left.

[minionofmidas]

Nordhausen II constituency result:

Turnout 52.3 (+6.3)
Left 30.4 (-0.8!) CDU 27.8 (-10.8) SPD 22.5 (+6.1) Greens 6.9 (+2.3) FDP 6.5 (+2.9) NPD 4.0 (+2.5)

It should be obvious from the Green result that the constituency is based on the fairly sizable town of Nordhausen. It's the donut filling in the north.


CDU won the direct vote though, 32.3-30.1.

[Tender Branson]

Still very tight race between SPD and FDP in Sachsen. Both at roughly 10% right now.

[Tender Branson]

What's left to count in Thüringen ?

Mostly leftist strongholds like the cities of Erfurt, Jena and Gera.

[minionofmidas]

Saale-Orla I

turnout 57.6
CDU 33.0 (-12.9), Left 28.3 (+2.8), SPD 19.0 (+4.8), FDP 7.2 (+3.2), NPD 4.1 (+2.8), FW 3.9 (+2.0), Greens 3.5 (+0.7)

An indy direct candidate took 11.8% and came close to throwing the seat to the Left (28.9-26.8).


And two Saxon constituency results!

Aue-Schwarzenberg I
turnout 50.2 (-8.9)
CDU 41.7 (-2.6), Left 22.7 (-0.5), FDP 9.3 (+4.4), SPD 8.7 (+0.4), NPD 6.4 (-3.7), Greens 3.1 (+0.8)

Riesa-Großenhain I
turnout 47.7 (-11.0)
CDU 38.7 (-2.1), Left 23.1 (-3.4), SPD 10.4 (+2.1), FDP 10.1 (+4.8), NPD 7.8 (-3.5), Greens 4.6 (+0.9)

[minionofmidas]

Turnout down in Saxony, CDU wins. Turnout up elsewhere, CDU loses.

Demoscopers tell people the winner is known in Saxony, turnout is down. They tell them it's open elsewhere, turnout is up.

Drearily predictable, isn't it? (Obviously helped that Tillich is likable and new. Müller's likable too, of course, though he's kind of disappeared off the national radar three years ago, but he's governed for ten years.)

[minionofmidas]

What's left to count in Thüringen ?

Mostly leftist strongholds like the cities of Erfurt, Jena and Gera.

Quite a few constituencies wholly in now, and all were won by the CDU. Mind you, most others have just one or two precincts missing.

[minionofmidas]

Chemnitz is in. Left defends Chemnitz 4, but can't gain any of the others.

The other seats missed by the CDU last time around are Leipzig 3 to Leipzig 5, including Leipzig 4 lost to the SPD's top man Thomas Jurk after the Left didn't stand - I never found out what was up with that - and the one based on Hoyerswerda.

[minionofmidas]

There'd been a rumour that the FDP might actually win a direct seat in Vogtland 3.

Result is now in. (Left column is direct vote).

turnout 50.2
CDU    8 159    32,3    10 542    41,4
DIE LINKE    5 409    21,4    5 491    21,6
SPD    3 009    11,9    2 915    11,5
NPD    1 139    4,5    1 092    4,3
FDP    5 499    21,8    2 685    10,6
GRÜNE    2 039    8,1    1 134    4,5

Well, their candidate did come second in the direct vote. Wonder what's up with the Green's good result.

[Franzl]

Lewis do you have any NRW results?

The site I'm on is terrible.

[minionofmidas]

All I have is what got mentioned over the ARD livestream... SPD wins mayoral races in Cologne, Essen (both pickups) and Dortmund. CDU well ahead statewide (something like 41-31 or something.) I'll go look now.