2009 State and Federal elections in Germany

[minionofmidas]

Sauerland (CDU) probably reelected in Duisburg.

Oh wow, Cologne city council (733 out of 800 precincts in):

SPD 28.9 (-2.1)
CDU 26.8 (-5.9)
Greens 22.0 (+5.4)
FDP 9.1 (+1.7)
"pro Köln" (Nazis) 5.3
Left 5.0 (+2.0)

Now I want borough results! EDIT: Found them. Greens topped the poll in Innenstadt, but not in Ehrenfeld (1.odd behind the SPD) or Lindenthal (0.1 behind the SPD and 7 points behind the CDU), as I would have considered possible on that citywide result.

[Tender Branson]

Aachen: SPD candidate is 0.2% ahead of the CDU candidate

Bielefeld: SPD candidate + 3.5

Bochum: Easy SPD win.

Bonn: SPD win.

Duisburg: CDU candidate slightly ahead.

Münster: CDU candidate about 3% ahead.

Wuppertal: Easy CDU win.

Statewide projection:

CDU: 40%
SPD: 31%
Greens: 11%
FDP: 9%
Left: 5%

[minionofmidas]

Leverkusen's SPD mayor ousted by 0.9 points. (They changed the law to do away with runoffs.)

[minionofmidas]

Back to the Landtage:

CDU defends Plauen by half a point and (rather easily, too!) gains both Leipzig 5 and Hoyerswerda off the Left. Dresden, other five other Leipzig seats not in yet.

[Bono]

The last time when it give a Red-Red Majority in Thüringen (1923) sends President Ebert the Reichswehr. Is the Bundeswehr still in the barracks?

We don't have a socialfascist traitor for a President right now.

Gysi rightly called Matschie's situation right now "the Ypsilanti trap".

[minionofmidas]

The trap consists in buying silence from SPD right wingers by making promises nobody except them expects you to keep... although the entire right'll feign anger if you don't.
We'll see how this turns out. Might get ugly yet. CDU sure hopes it will - it's a large part of the reason why these elections were held today, after all. Every one of these elections could easily have been held on the same date as the federals.

[minionofmidas]

With just 12 precincts out, 45-43 Red-Red majority in Thuringia seems to hold.

[Hans-im-Glück]

I predict for thüringen the "israeli-solution". 2,5 years The Matschie (SPD) and 2,5 years a man from the Linke (Ramelow or another)

[Tender Branson]

Jürgen Nimptsch (SPD) wins the mayoral election in Bonn by 40.9-35.5

SPD also wins Bottrop, Herne, Mülheim an der Ruhr and Oberhausen.

[minionofmidas]

Did anybody mention it? Such things haven't been seen in Germany since the 1950s...

It would be mighty ironic if Bodo Ramelow became the first ever Left state pm... the man is, after all, a West German.

SPD also wins Bottrop, Herne, Mülheim an der Ruhr and Oberhausen.

No surprises there... the SPD still profits from the black-green disaster in Mülheim in the 90s, and the other three all belong on a Top 10 Places The SPD Could Never Lose list.

[Tender Branson]

Already mentioned ?

PM Stansilaw Tillich (CDU) elected in Kamenz II with 59% of the vote. Next is Kay Scheidemantel (Left) with 17%.

[Tender Branson]

Red-Red is holding in Thüringen.

With only 1 precinct left it's still 46% for Red-Red vs. 45% for CDU-FDP-Green.

[minionofmidas]

Left constituencies in Thuringia:

Wartburg II - Eisenach
Schmalkalden-Meiningen II
Hildburghausen I
Suhl - Schmalkalden-Meiningen III
Ilm I
clean sweep in Erfurt I to IV
Weimar
Saale-Orla II
Jena II (SPD came second)
both seats in Gera

SPD constituencies in Thuringia:

Gotha II (wth happened here? List vote CDU 27.0, Left 26.7, SPD 25.9. Direct vote SPD 40.6, CDU 25.0, Left 22.7. Gotha town has an SPD mayor, and the winning candidate is a member of the town administration (the Sozialdezernent). Seems he's sort of popular?)
Jena I (Christoph Matschie's seat. Also came third in the list vote, though the difference is not all that large and this is possibly the Green's best seat, at 15% of the list and 11% direct.)

[Tender Branson]

The Thüringen town of Gerstengrund:

95.5% CDU
4.5% FDP

[minionofmidas]

Thuringia is complete.

turnout 56.2 (+2.4)

CDU 31.2 (-11. 30 seats (28 direct)
Left 27.4 (+1.3) 27 seats (14 direct)
SPD 18.5 (+4.0) 18 seats (2 direct)
FDP 7.6 (+4.0) 7 seats
Green 6.2 (+1.7) 6 seats
NPD 4.3 (+2.7) (so the ZDF wasn't any more off than the ARD)
FW 3.9 (+1.3)

The two CDU candidates elected over the list are both women: state finance minister Birgit Dietzel, no.2 on the list but having the distinct disadvantage of being from Gera; and another woman who's from Erfurt and at No.7 on the list.

[minionofmidas]

The Thüringen town of Gerstengrund:

95.5% CDU
4.5% FDP

Impressive turnout, too - 44 out of 45 registered voters! And the same result for constituency and list... one wonders whethere there were 0, 2, or 4 vote splitters.

And the place has only 60 inhabitants. Village is located 500m above sea level.

[Tender Branson]

Dr. Horst Dietmar Pellmann (Left) wins in Leipzig III by 31.3-30.1

[Tender Branson]

SPD overtakes FDP in Sachsen (10.1 to 10.0), while the Greens are hovering at the 5% barrier.

Once Dresden and Leipzig are in, they'll probably inch back up by quite a bit.

[minionofmidas]

Dr. Horst Dietmar Pellmann (Left) wins in Leipzig III by 31.3-30.1

While in Leipzig IV, Mr Deputy Prime Minister drops from first to fourth place behind CDU, Left and Greens.

[minionofmidas]

Greens come second in Dresden 3 (in the direct vote).

[minionofmidas]

Other Parties breakdown, Saxony (not quite final):

Animal Protection Party 2.1
Pirates 1.7
Freie Sachsen 1.4 (this used to be FW Sachsen, but they got thrown out of FW for including some neonazis.)
others 0.5 and below

[minionofmidas]

Still out: Zwickau, 3 Leipzig constituencies, 3 Dresden constituencies, Sächsische Schweiz 1, Bautzen 1 (one obscure municipality in either of these.)

EDIT: Now down to Zwickau, 2 Leipzig constituencies, 1 Dresden constituency and Bautzen I. All ought to have stuck with the CDU (though most are not ultra safe.) so we're probably looking at 58 seats (+3) for the CDU despite minimal vote losses, and thus a larger overhang than last time. On current results, the CDU is entitled to only ~53 seats.

EDIT: Zwickau and Leipzig 1 in. Leipzig 1 held by just 3.5 points. CDU entitlement down to 52.

[minionofmidas]

The battle for third place, and for a double-digit SPD, are over. Whether the FDP ends up in double digits is still open, though. Greens have also beaten the NPD. Damn those two constituencies, what's holding them up?

[Hans-im-Glück]

In the moment i look TV and in ARD is Guido Westerwelle. I'm shortly before to barf When this is a minister after the 27Th of September then good night Germany. Then it's better to choose the Political decisions in casino.

[minionofmidas]

They already do. It's called the stock exchanges, remember?