2009 State and Federal elections in Germany (user search)
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Author Topic: 2009 State and Federal elections in Germany  (Read 218995 times)
Filuwaúrdjan
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« on: December 19, 2008, 03:03:54 PM »

SPD posters seem to be making the same mistake as in 2002... no matter how disgusted the median member of Hesse's eligible voter population is with Roland Koch ("physically revolted" seems about right), that's not enough to get him to the polls and vote for somebody else.

They'll need a positive reason too. Last year's campaign provided them. It also created the (false) impression that the SPD had somehow united behind the relatively left-wing program. Ironically, the SPD is far more united now then it was a year ago, but try convincing the average voter of that...
Meh. At least this will make for a strong Green result (again, as in 2002.)


Heh. Sounds like the 1987 election here...
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #1 on: January 11, 2009, 04:56:45 PM »

IIRC the FDP won the odd single-member constituency in that area until the late '50's or so.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #2 on: January 14, 2009, 08:48:10 AM »

The matchup thing is presumably more a comment on Koch's personal unpopularity than much else.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #3 on: January 14, 2009, 03:37:35 PM »

Needless to say, great stuff Smiley
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #4 on: January 14, 2009, 05:14:33 PM »

Why were the antisemite parties so strong in Hesse anyway [qm].
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #5 on: January 18, 2009, 11:02:21 AM »

How long 'till the polls close [qm]
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #6 on: January 18, 2009, 11:59:51 AM »


I think that's been obvious for a while...
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Filuwaúrdjan
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Posts: 67,713
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« Reply #7 on: January 18, 2009, 12:06:53 PM »

ARD exit poll:


CDU:   37.5%
SPD:    23.5%
FDP:    16.0%
Greens:    14.0%
Left:   5.1%

Pretty much what I was expecting.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #8 on: January 18, 2009, 12:14:14 PM »

What's turnout like [qm]
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #9 on: January 18, 2009, 04:06:09 PM »

Map of direct seat results so far;

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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #10 on: January 18, 2009, 04:42:29 PM »

Post thik link and thou can have it Grin

===

Direct seats map;

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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #11 on: January 18, 2009, 05:06:45 PM »

Working on it now Smiley
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #12 on: January 18, 2009, 05:29:14 PM »


No, it's not too late Smiley. Should be done in a couple of hours, assuming that I go and get a drink at some point. Sooner if I don't.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #13 on: January 18, 2009, 07:38:10 PM »
« Edited: January 18, 2009, 08:03:36 PM by Alderman »



Bigger picture: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?action=gallery;sa=view;id=1041

Edit: messed the layout up a little. Oh well.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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Posts: 67,713
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« Reply #14 on: January 19, 2009, 09:26:04 AM »

The top photo I like.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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Posts: 67,713
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« Reply #15 on: January 19, 2009, 11:07:04 AM »



Had a go at Darmstadt.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #16 on: January 19, 2009, 07:02:30 PM »

Hanau...

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Filuwaúrdjan
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Posts: 67,713
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« Reply #17 on: January 20, 2009, 07:08:36 AM »

Turnout and CDU maps and the ancient (pre annexation of Kesselstadt) city of Hanau depressingly correlated...

Yeah, I noticed that certain patterns did look a little stark...
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Filuwaúrdjan
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Posts: 67,713
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« Reply #18 on: January 20, 2009, 07:20:00 AM »

Turnout and CDU maps and the ancient (pre annexation of Kesselstadt) city of Hanau depressingly correlated...

Yeah, I noticed that certain patterns did look a little stark...
"Stark". That's a good word for what Hanau is like.

Details! Give details!
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #19 on: January 20, 2009, 08:34:05 AM »
« Edited: January 20, 2009, 08:47:23 AM by Alderman »

Wiesbaden;

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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #20 on: January 20, 2009, 08:44:41 AM »

FDP in Northeast though can't be right; what did you do there?

Somehow forgot to colour in the 19-24 shade. Will fix it now.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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Posts: 67,713
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« Reply #21 on: January 20, 2009, 06:16:57 PM »

Offenbach;



Note: does not include postal votes.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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Posts: 67,713
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« Reply #22 on: January 21, 2009, 07:55:10 AM »

Wow, must have been quite a bit of work cleaning that map up.

Yes it was, but it was fun all the same Smiley
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Filuwaúrdjan
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Posts: 67,713
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« Reply #23 on: January 22, 2009, 08:23:57 AM »

Note 3 - If pressed I *will* try to explain where the divisions are for the split Stadtbezirke.

Please do Smiley
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Filuwaúrdjan
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Posts: 67,713
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« Reply #24 on: January 22, 2009, 08:35:47 AM »

Probably better to do the link-roads thing.
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