Georgia Senate Run-off: Chambliss vs. Martin

[Sam Spade]

Blank turnout (after the weekend) is now 22.78% with 150,538 votes cast.  Whites are 74.41%.  Others are 2.81%.

[Sam Spade]

In the battle of seeing which 2012 GOP contender can pick up institutional support for a run, guess who will be appearing with Saxby in four campaign rallies on Monday, December 1 in Augusta, Perry, Savannah, and northern metro Atlanta...

http://www.wrbl.com/index.php/news/article/palin-to-campaign-for-saxby/48339/

[Filuwaúrdjan]

In the battle of seeing which 2012 GOP contender can pick up institutional support for a run, guess who will be appearing with Saxby in four campaign rallies on Monday, December 1 in Augusta, Perry, Savannah, and northern metro Atlanta...

http://www.wrbl.com/index.php/news/article/palin-to-campaign-for-saxby/48339/

lol

[Brittain33]

In the battle of seeing which 2012 GOP contender can pick up institutional support for a run, guess who will be appearing with Saxby in four campaign rallies on Monday, December 1 in Augusta, Perry, Savannah, and northern metro Atlanta...

http://www.wrbl.com/index.php/news/article/palin-to-campaign-for-saxby/48339/

lol

Martin's last hope.

[Sam Spade]

In the battle of seeing which 2012 GOP contender can pick up institutional support for a run, guess who will be appearing with Saxby in four campaign rallies on Monday, December 1 in Augusta, Perry, Savannah, and northern metro Atlanta...

http://www.wrbl.com/index.php/news/article/palin-to-campaign-for-saxby/48339/

lol

Martin's last hope.

Palin will energize the blacks?

[cinyc]

Blank turnout (after the weekend) is now 22.78% with 150,538 votes cast.  Whites are 74.41%.  Others are 2.81%.

Why is Georgia even keeping statistics on the racial breakdown of early voting?  Something to do with the Voting Rights Act?

New York's voter registration forms don't ask for the race of the registrant.  Why should Georgia?  Again, something to do with the Voting Rights Act?

[Sam Spade]

Blank turnout (after the weekend) is now 22.78% with 150,538 votes cast.  Whites are 74.41%.  Others are 2.81%.

Why is Georgia even keeping statistics on the racial breakdown of early voting?  Something to do with the Voting Rights Act?

New York's voter registration forms don't ask for the race of the registrant.  Why should Georgia?  Again, something to do with the Voting Rights Act?

I'm pretty sure that's the reason.

[Meeker]

They need it for re-districting purposes IIRC.

[cinyc]

They need it for re-districting purposes IIRC.

In theory, any redistricting should be based on census data, not voter registration data.  States that don't keep voter registration race info, like New York, have gerrymandered minority-majority districts, too.

It's probably to make sure there's no race-based voter "intimidation" or "suppression".

[Brittain33]

It's probably to make sure there's no race-based voter "intimidation" or "suppression".

Basically, yeah.

Given that one of the state legislature's sponsors of their ID law all but admitted it would box out African American voters disproportionately, it's not a completely bogus issue.

[muon2]

They need it for re-districting purposes IIRC.

In theory, any redistricting should be based on census data, not voter registration data.  States that don't keep voter registration race info, like New York, have gerrymandered minority-majority districts, too.

It's probably to make sure there's no race-based voter "intimidation" or "suppression".

NY has to make inferences about minority voter turnout to insure an effective MM district. States like GA that are subject to the tougher parts of the VRA have to provide explicit information to show that minority votes are being neither unduly diluted or concentrated.

[MatthewZD]

Forget turnout among Democrats, Republicans, blacks, or whites.  The key will be turnout among the Libertarian voters and how they will break. 

In the 1992 general election, Wyche Fowler lead Paul Coverdell 49.2-47.7 with the Libertarian taking 3.1%.  In the runoff, Coverdell won 50.6-49.4.  Either the GOP did a better job at turnout or they gained support from the Libertarian voters.  IIRC (I lived in GA at the time) the Libertarian candidate did endorse Coverdell. 

If 2008 mirrors 1992, Chambliss will win.  Unfortunately.