2012 Prediction (user search)
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Author Topic: 2012 Prediction  (Read 26308 times)
Psychic Octopus
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,948
United States


« on: December 05, 2008, 06:54:21 PM »


Obama/Biden - 59% - 500EV
Romney/Jindal - 39% - 38EV

Good times!


why not Oklahoma?
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Psychic Octopus
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,948
United States


« Reply #1 on: December 20, 2008, 04:41:07 PM »

The race started out as any other, but first a national report.

Obama is seen as a good president, but has lost the messiah image he had a few years ago, and is about as weak as Woodrow Wilson in 1916. After a recession in 2008, a sharp recession in 2009, and a weak recession in 2010, the US economy is recovering, but not BOOMING, per se. WE are doing better then the rest of the World, with recessions evolving into depressions in Europe, China, and South America. Iraq is a stable democracy in the Middle East, and the last US troops are to leave in 2011. Afganistan is becoming more stable, but Osama has not been found and is likely dead. India and Pakistan would be at war, if not for there economies and Hillary Clinton's almost weekly visits. Clinton and Biden run Foriegn affairs. The FAR-Left is mad at Obama for making deals with the right. The Republicans won 6 seats in congress in 2010, but lost a seat in the Senate, giving the democrats a fillibuster.

The race begins when Sarah Palin announces her candidacy in November 2010.
Mike Rounds makes a surprise entry in January 2011.
Mitt Romney announces his candidacy in February.
Tim Pawlenty announces he will run in February also.
Charlie Crist announces he will run in July.
Gary Johnson decides to run and carry on Ron Paul's revolution.
Newt Gingrich decides he will seek the nomination in September, disrupting the polls, and taking a chunk of Palin's Base.

Huckabee, Jeb Bush, John Thune, Bobby Jindal, and Jon Huntsman Jr decide not to run.

The most sought after endorsement is Senator John McCain.

Iowa is a win for Palin, forcing Pawlenty to drop out.
New Hampshire, which was not really important this year, was a 30 point win for Romney.
South Carolina voted for Gingrich over Crist, forcing the good-looking gay-rumored politician bay to Florida.
Nevada, do to the split conservatives, produces a narrow win for Johnson.

Romney is able to win California and most of the west, but loses the south to Newt Gingrich.

Palin decides to dropout, and endorses no one. 

The Battle goes all the way to the convention, and all major networks read
SHOWDOWN IN SAN ANTONIO.

Meanwhile, at the DNC in Dallas, there is talk of replacing Biden with Mark Warner, who has made a name for himself in the Senate, or Chet Edwards, the new Governor of Texas after a fierce battle between Rick Perry and Kay Bailey Hutchison. But the talk does not generate anything, and Biden is kept, and a 2016 primary looms.

The SHOWDOWN is Over after 3 days of madness. John McCain proposes a compromise candidate, and Mike Pence wins. Pence chooses Huntsman as his running mate.

The election is considered close, but Obama manages to pull of a 4 point win in the popular vote, after all votes are counted, the map looks like this:

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Psychic Octopus
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,948
United States


« Reply #2 on: December 21, 2008, 11:48:07 PM »

More importantly, Missouri, but not Colorado?

I think the only reason Obama really did such a good job there was the convention, and I predict he will lose it narrowly, with it not being called for days.

Missouri, but no Ohio? Decent scenario otherwise, but I can't really picture ever nominating a compromise candidate,

I see it possible, 2012 seems to be neck and neck to me. and Oho will be won by a republican by at LEAST 1.2 percent.
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Psychic Octopus
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,948
United States


« Reply #3 on: March 01, 2009, 01:26:27 PM »

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