July 1, 2007 State Voting-Age Population (18+)

[Tender Branson]

Useful for Turnout Models (new July 1, 2008 numbers are out Jan./Feb. 2009):



http://www.census.gov/popest/states/asrh/SC-EST2007-01.html

[Meeker]

Obama received a majority of all people age 18+ in DC.

Impressive

[Tender Branson]

The US Census Bureau has now released age-breakdowns of the Nov. 1, 2008 population estimates:

Total US Population incl. Armed Forces overseas: 305,972 Mio.

Total US Population incl. Armed Forces overseas, aged 18+: 231,895 Mio.

Considering 130-131 Mio. people voted on November 4, it would bring turnout to 56-56.5%

http://www.census.gov/popest/national/asrh/files/NC-EST2007-ALLDATA-P-File24.csv

[Tender Branson]

July 1, 2008 Voting-Age Population estimates have been released. I've calculated turnout using these numbers. You have to subtract about 0.2-0.3% from the turnout figures, because between July 1 and Nov. 4, the voting-age population increased by another 1.3 Mio. people (incl. overseas Military)

http://www.census.gov/popest/states/asrh/files/SCPRC-EST2008-18+POP-RES.csv

[Brittain33]

I love that the bottom of the list is made up of states with large numbers of non-citizens *or* states that swung away from the Democrats.

[Padfoot]

Why is Hawaii so low on the list?  Are there that many non-citizens living there?  You'd think turnout there would be really high given that its the first time a "native son" was on the ballot for president.

[Brittain33]

Hawaii has a large percentage of immigrants from Asian countries such as the Philippines. It doesn't show up in discussions of U.S. immigration policy because the state is so small and the circumstances are so unusual. The numbers I found show 17.2%, comparable to Nevada and only a bit behind Florida and New Jersey.