Maximum Landslides

[Volrath50]

Barring one of the candidates going on a shooting spree, what is the maximum you can see each winning in November?
For me:

Bush landslide:



Bush - 385
Kerry - 153

Kerry landslide:



Kerry - 341
Bush - 197

Kerry landslide _much_ more unlikely though.

[The Vorlon]

In the Bush landslide scenario he likely also wins Maine.

In the Kerry landslide he would likely get Arkansas and maybe Colorado and NC.

Both sides have +/- 200 EVs that barring a "shooting spree" they are darn likely to hold on to.

[Giant Saguaro]

In a maximum landslide in favor of Bush, MD and DE fall for him as well.

In a maximum landslide for Kerry, I'd give him NC, AR, and maybe TN and/or VA.

We're talking max here, which has a little above zero chance of happening, IMO.

[12th Doctor]

I would say that in a "Max Landslide" Bush would have a shot a Calf.

Kerry would get Arkansas, Arizona and maybe North Carolina.

[AuH2O]

Kerry has no chance of losing:

DC
Massachussetts
Rhode Island
Connecticut


That's it. In a Bush landslide, hardcore Dem states will fall like dominoes, ala 1984.

[A18]

Max Kerry - 361 to 177



Max Bush - 523 to 15



Hey, they say Bush is like Nixon.

[Gabu]

Hey, they say Bush is like Nixon.

Oh, good.



Kerry wins!

[A18]

Actually, would that still be a win for Kerry using today's EVs?

[Gabu]

Actually, would that still be a win for Kerry using today's EVs?

Good question.  Offhand I'd say yes, given that the margin of victory was actually quite high (303-219 electoral votes), but I have no idea and am currently too lazy to figure it out.

[ATFFL]

Kerry loses 273-250

[A18]

So there you go. I assume that Bush winning everything except Massachusetts is still a win, however.

[Gabu]

So there you go. I assume that Bush winning everything except Massachusetts is still a win, however.

Of course not; on election eve they'll realize how immensely important liberals actually are and will award Massachusetts 300 electoral votes.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Kerry landslide wins Virginia

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Kerry has no chance of losing:

DC
Massachussetts
Rhode Island
Connecticut


That's it. In a Bush landslide, hardcore Dem states will fall like dominoes, ala 1984.

If Kerry wins CT he definitely wins NY

[jacob_101]

In the Bush landslide scenario he likely also wins Maine.

In the Kerry landslide he would likely get Arkansas and maybe Colorado and NC.

Both sides have +/- 200 EVs that barring a "shooting spree" they are darn likely to hold on to.

Vorlon, isn't it time to move MN to light blue?  In light of the most recent polls Bush is up 1-2 points.  That is, unless you are counting that ever so hilarious Star Tribune poll!!!

[Demrepdan]

I don't know if Volrath50 will check this thread anytime soon (since he started it). But..I'd like to wish him a happy birthday! And only because I noticed that he is the only person on the Atlas Forum who shares a birthday with me.

[muon2]

I don't know if Volrath50 will check this thread anytime soon (since he started it). But..I'd like to wish him a happy birthday! And only because I noticed that he is the only person on the Atlas Forum who shares a birthday with me.

Happy birthday to both of you. I was just in Champaign on Thursday (if you are still there), and you can consider yourself wished well almost in person if you like.