When will the GOP regain th White House.

[paul718]

 But regardless of what I want, I do predict that he will do badly.

I don't -- judging by the people he's surrounding himself with.  His economic team is first-rate, Robert Gates has been a successful SecDef, and Gen. Jones is an ideal Nat'l Security Adviser.

[pbrower2a]

TR-like reforms, Eisenhower caution, and Reagan techniques give Obama a landslide in 2012. Republicans come up with their equivalent of Mike Dukakis in 2016. 2020 is the first opening for a GOP Presidential candidate -- maybe. By then it ought to have developed some strong challenger, someone whom we don't know now during a grass-roots realignment that operates subtly under Democratic dominance. The GOP could be very different in ideology from what it is now.

I didn't say that Joe Biden would become President.

[Antonio the Sixth]

I think 2024. GOP is not going to win before a big change in his ideology, and I don't see it before at least a decade.

[You kip if you want to...]

2016 or 2020. When they do get in though, it will probably be close like in 2000.

[??????????]

I think 2024. GOP is not going to win before a big change in his ideology, and I don't see it before at least a decade.

Just getting into American politics, huh?

[tmthforu94]

2016
I'm hoping Obama doesn't do well enough to get elected, but I'm just going by OP's comment on his first term. His second term will include much more liberal bills, since he won't have to worry about a re-election. He'll leave with approval ratings similar to Clinton, but a GOP candidate will beat the Democrat.

[Kaine for Senate '18]

2016
I'm hoping Obama doesn't do well enough to get elected, but I'm just going by OP's comment on his first term. His second term will include much more liberal bills, since he won't have to worry about a re-election. He'll leave with approval ratings similar to Clinton, but a GOP candidate will beat the Democrat.

If he has approval ratings like Clinton's then it'll be very tough for the GOP to win.  A party with 55%+ approvals rarely lose; the Democrats would have to nominate a truly awful candidate to lose.

[tmthforu94]

Wow, that's one of the longest posts you've made today Ben!
Gore wasn't that bad of a candidate, but he still lost to Bush, who I wouldn't call a Republican star.

[Kaine for Senate '18]

Wow, that's one of the longest posts you've made today Ben!

Gore wasn't that bad of a candidate, but he still lost to Bush, who I wouldn't call a Republican star.

True, but Gore ran a terrible campaign.  If he had run a remotely decent campaign, he would have held at least New Hampshire, and possibly FL, OH, and NV too.  In terms of numbers, 2000 was more of a fluke than anything else.

[Marokai Backbeat]

2016 or 2020. I lean towards 2020, if Obama is a reasonable success.

[anvi]

If Obama's approval rating remains in the mid to high 50's, he won't have great trouble winning reelection; if the economy continues to tank through his first term, then a Republican will win in 2012, regardless of who is nominated.

If Obama leaves the White House after two terms with an approval rating close to Clinton's, then, so long as Obama is involved in no personal scandals, a Democrat will win in 2016.  If however wrong track numbers are relatively high in 2016, then a Republican win will be possible.

I voted for 2020 because that's where I see trends going at the moment, but who knows what will happen even tomorrow?

[Verily]

I think 2024. GOP is not going to win before a big change in his ideology, and I don't see it before at least a decade.

Just getting into American politics, huh?

We've gone longer without switching. Twenty years from 1932 to 1952, or twenty-four years from 1860 to 1884. It's not common, but sixteen years isn't completely ridiculous, either.

[Rowan]

If I had to bet money, I'd say 2016.

[Joe Biden 2020]

2016 or 2020. I lean towards 2020, if Obama is a reasonable success.

I agree with your statement, although I lean towards 2016.  Obama is doing pretty well, but I think the Republicans will start gaining seats in the Congress in 2010 and especially 2012 and the party as a whole will start to revive within the next 6-30 months.

[Frodo]

2016 at the earliest. 

[The Duke]

When do the Republicans get the White House back if a big orange bunny eats the Washingtn monument?  Because that's about as likely as Obama being an economic success.

The idea that we can project what party will win the White House in 2032 is patently absurd.  It demonstrates what is wrong with so many people on this forum.

[??????????]

When do the Republicans get the White House back if a big orange bunny eats the Washingtn monument?  Because that's about as likely as Obama being an economic success.

The idea that we can project what party will win the White House in 2032 is patently absurd.  It demonstrates what is wrong with so many people on this forum.

OMG Democrat Lock forever~!!!!

[CultureKing]

When do the Republicans get the White House back if a big orange bunny eats the Washingtn monument?  Because that's about as likely as Obama being an economic success.

The idea that we can project what party will win the White House in 2032 is patently absurd.  It demonstrates what is wrong with so many people on this forum.

I am assuming that you supported Bush. Would you like to tell me how well his economic policies did? There is a difference between believing in a certain ideology and recognizing reality. You sadly seemed to have passed that line, we don't know how well Obama's policies will work out. And just because you are opposed to them doesn't mean that they won't work.

Anyways I personally see the Republicans returning to power in 2012 or 2016. They seem to learn their lessons and adapt pretty quickly.

[Devilman88]

Presuming Obama saves the economy, and is a foreign policy sucess, when will the GOP regain the white house?

Will he walk on water too?

Realistically 2012 with 2016 the latest

[the artist formerly known as catmusic]

That's when!

[Magic 8-Ball]

I'm going with 2016.

Biden will be 74 and can't open his mouth without putting his foot in it, should he still be Vice President.  Even were the VP be someone else, we've only elected a sitting Vice President...what...twice in 220 years.

Anyone else would have a difficult time forging strong links to Obama's successes.

[Mint]

Presuming Obama saves the economy, and is a foreign policy sucess, when will the GOP regain the white house?

Will he walk on water too?

Realistically 2012 with 2016 the latest

[tmthforu94]

Presuming Obama saves the economy, and is a foreign policy sucess, when will the GOP regain the white house?

Will he walk on water too?

Realistically 2012 with 2016 the latest

[pbrower2a]

Presuming Obama saves the economy, and is a foreign policy sucess, when will the GOP regain the white house?

Will he walk on water too?

Realistically 2012 with 2016 the latest

2016 at the very earliest, likely 2020 -- if the GOP doesn't disintegrate. Should the GOP disintegrate, we will see a split in the Democratic Party, which will be more relevant.

[Vepres]

I voted 2012, but in reality there's no way of knowing how well the President will perform. Assuming there are no foreign policy crises, than the Republicans' odds of winning in 2012 are dependent on: A. How they reach out to voters in the north-east and pacific coast, B. How the economy is doing and if Obama is perceived as being the one to help it regain/keep it down, C. Who the candidate is. Do they nominate a Huckabee or a Romney, and D. How the President handles health care, cap-and-trade, and immigration. There are many more factors, but the point is that there is no way of knowing what the circumstances will be in 2012.

Also, many, particularly Democrats, seem to forget that Obama is still arguably in the honeymoon period. Just to put things in perspective, at this point in his presidency Carter had higher approval ratings.  I will also say that anyone who predicts the fall of GOP is being VERY unrealistic. The GOP bounced back from Watergate and Hoover (all though it took a while after Hoover), which is a testament to their resiliency.