U.S. Senate

[TeePee4Prez]

Certain poeople like to take sh!t from their elected officials because they think they're tougher.  I have said this quote before...  "Republican voters are like abused women in a domestic dispute.  They allow themseves to get sh!t on by their politicians and don't want to do anything about it because they love them."

[Keystone Phil]

Certain poeople like to take sh!t from their elected officials because they think they're tougher.  I have said this quote before...  "Republican voters are like abused women in a domestic dispute.  They allow themseves to get sh!t on by their politicians and don't want to do anything about it because they love them."

Yeah like that didn't happen in the 2003 Mayoral race with Dems who were going to go for Katz voting for Street because he was the innocent Dem. Remember that one, IrishDem? Atleast you had some courage to vote for Katz but too bad many in your party didn't do the same.

[TeePee4Prez]

Now that I think about it I would have voted for neither.  

[zorkpolitics]

One uncertain factor is active campaigning by Bush,  If Bush has a good lead >5% the last two weeks in Oct, he will shift his campaigning to support candidates for the Senate in the strong Red states SD, OK,  FL, LA, NC, which could increase his coat tails.  

[A18]

I predict the GOP picks up North Carolina's seat.

So once again, I revise my prediction: this time to 57-42-1, which is about where I had it originally. Close to 60 votes.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

The RSC has concluded that the SC race is close enough that it needs to spend close to $1 million that it hadn't planned to before into the state to help DeMint.  The State had an article on this in Saturday's paper.  Inez's campaign even claims to have polls showing her to be in the lead, but I haven't seen a publicly released one that does so.  The Fair Tax is killing DeMint.  He desperately needs to get the campaign shifted onto some other issue.  If not, then Inez will win this November.  Inez's recent ads on this issue are very clever as they quote a number of prominent Republicans who over the years have said that such schemes are goofy, thus helping to turn this into an Inez/DeMint race instead of an Dem/Rep race.

[Zot]

I say the Dems will pick up
IL, OK and AK

I say the reps will pick up NC, SC, GA, FL, WI and WA.
yes, WI and WA.

I haven't heard anything about LA so I don't have a feel for that state.

[A18]

Hmm...what do the polls show in WI and WA?

If those are really in play, I believe a strong GOP turnout could give us 59 seats - one short of the 60 needed for an up or down vote in the Senate.

[Sarnstrom]

Wisconsin:
Newest Harris Interactive Poll shows-
Feingold   52%
Michels     39%

Washington:
Newest Strategic Vision Poll shows-
Murray        48%
Nethercutt  41%

Don't count on the Republicans getting 59 seats, maybe 49 seats.

[A18]

I don't see Wisconsin happening.

More like 58. Washington could go GOP.

[Sarnstrom]

I don't see Wisconsin happening.

More like 58. Washington could go GOP.

There is no possible way the Republicans will have any more then 54 seats.

[A18]

51 + 4 > 54

[Democratic Hawk]

I think the Democrats are in with a good chance. They are well on course to pick-up Illinois. They have good chances of picking up Alaska, Colorado and Oklahoma.

The Republicans are certain to pick-up Georgia and I think they'll pick-up South Carolina.

Louisiana is a 'tricky' one what with 3 Dems running against a single Republican in the open primary. It should go to a run-off and if they can unite, they should hold the seat.

I think Florida and North Carolina will stay Democratic.

Dave

[struct310]

Washington's senate race is even more competitive now with Nethercutt releasing the Osama Day care centers ad.  Murray calls everything she said a lie that she said it and she has turned down offers to rebut the Osamatalk from every news outlet. Shes in hot water and Nethercutt has her right by the tail.  Lets see the after ad poll before we make too many safe democrat designations for the race.

[AuH2O]

I dunno, I really like Michels in WI. He needs Bush to win handily there, of course, but look out....

[Zot]

WI: ABC News poll had the WI Senate race at 45% to 51% for Feingold.  The spread is probably greater than that, but the highest the incumbent democrat has reached in any poll that I've seen is 53%.  That's not good.  For Feingold anyway.

[Nation]

Considering Feingold reached 69% in 1998, you're probably right.

[No more McShame]

Washington's senate race is even more competitive now with Nethercutt releasing the Osama Day care centers ad.  Murray calls everything she said a lie that she said it and she has turned down offers to rebut the Osamatalk from every news outlet. Shes in hot water and Nethercutt has her right by the tail.  Lets see the after ad poll before we make too many safe democrat designations for the race.

It's about time Nethercutt calls Kandahar Patty on that comment.  He should gain traction in the polls as there are a lot of conservative Democrats outside of Seattle.

[AuH2O]

'Patty, if you mark it Osama, you're entering a world of pain.'

'But, but...'

'A world of pain.'

[A18]

I don't think Wisconsin or Washington is going to happen. I predict 56 or 57.

[Sam Spade]

Wisconsin will be closer than Washington, though, imo.

[No more McShame]

I guess I was a little too optimistic on WA.  I would have loved to move Murray into a career as a Al-Quieda consultant (her true dream job).  Joking aside I like the Republicans with a gain of 3.

Gain: Georgia, S Carolina, N Carolina (that didn't look good a couple of weeks ago), Florida, & S Dakota (bye bye Daschle).

Loss: Illinois, Oklahoma (my upset special), & Alaska.

Louisiana is also very possible, but I still see a runoff there. That would be four. :-)

[A18]

I don't see Wisconsin happening.

More like 58. Washington could go GOP.

There is no possible way the Republicans will have any more then 54 seats.

55 > 54

[Joe Republic]

I don't see Wisconsin happening.

More like 58. Washington could go GOP.

There is no possible way the Republicans will have any more then 54 seats.

55 > 54

Nobody like a gloater