U.S. Senate

[Horus]

If Carson can hold on to his lead, he'll win. Seeing as the scandals seem to mostly be with Coburn, I think Carson has a chance.

My current prediction:

Rep Pickups:
FL
GA
SC

Dem Pickups:
AK
CO (Coors is a bad nominee, with the growing hispanic population, Salazar will win)
IL (Duh)
OK (As I said, if this sterilization stuff keeps going, Carson will win)

As for SD, Daschle could very well lose, but I think he has a 51-49 chance of staying right now. About the odds Johnson had in 2002.

Burr is running out of time in NC, Bowles will win.

As for LA, John is the one of the most conservative Dems in the house, but I don't think he's Zell Miller v2.0. He'll win, because after the election, the Dems will dump all of their resources left into that seat.

As for Wisconsin and Washington.... dream on.

So I think we'll gain a seat, making it 50-49-1, still in the GOP's favor. But Jeffords almost always votes with us so that's basically 50-50. Also, I've read speculation of Chafee switching parties, while I HIGHLY doubt he would it's something to think about.  

[Horus]

Well, that puts it closer than I thought, it may be closer, but my gut tells me Inez won't win.

It'd be great if she did, but right now I think it's a 70-30 chance of DeMint winning, still could change by Election day though, that's just how I see things now.

[Horus]

Yeah, sn's in my profile. I'm not on that much though, pretty busy.