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Author Topic: Results of large cities  (Read 14726 times)
nclib
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« on: December 21, 2008, 11:11:57 pm »
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For Obama unless otherwise noted

WDC: 92.5%-6.5%
Baltimore: 87.2%-11.7%
Chicago 85.4%-13.7%
San Fran: 84.2%-13.7%
St. Louis: 83.5%-15.5%
Philly: 83%-16.3%
NYC: 79.3%-20%
Boston: 78.6%-19.3%
Denver: 75.5%-23%
Arlington, VA: 71.7%-27.1%
Va. Beach: McCain, 49.8%-49.1%

Anyone have any more?
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« Reply #1 on: December 21, 2008, 11:16:51 pm »
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Minneapolis was around 81% Obama, but I can't give exact numbers yet.
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« Reply #2 on: December 21, 2008, 11:23:34 pm »
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Minneapolis was around 81% Obama, but I can't give exact numbers yet.

You're right:

http://www.startribune.com/politics/national/president/
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« Reply #3 on: December 22, 2008, 02:01:05 am »
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What population are we requiring for "big city"?

Seattle: 84.7%-13.9%
Portland: 80.3%-17.0%
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« Reply #4 on: December 22, 2008, 03:36:54 am »
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Los Angeles: 76.3%-21.8%
Long Beach: 69.5%-28.4%

What do Republicans do in Long Beach?
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« Reply #5 on: December 22, 2008, 04:08:20 am »
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Los Angeles: 76.3%-21.8%
Long Beach: 69.5%-28.4%

What do Republicans do in Long Beach?

What was San Diego?
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« Reply #6 on: December 22, 2008, 05:24:16 am »
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Los Angeles: 76.3%-21.8%
Long Beach: 69.5%-28.4%

What do Republicans do in Long Beach?

What was San Diego?
Can't find the info anywhere. You might have to wait until the Supplement to the Statement of Vote which has results for all cities in California.
Quote
The Statement of Vote is completed
39 days after each statewide election and the Supplement to the
Statement of Vote is completed 159 days after each statewide election
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« Reply #7 on: December 22, 2008, 03:23:07 pm »
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Anyone have the breakdown from Duval County? Jacksonville proper might have actually voted for Obama, given where the small non-Jacksonville areas of Duval are (very white, very wealthy beach communities, likely 75%+ McCain). In which case we would have to start a quest to discover the biggest city to vote for McCain.

Anyway, the cities worth checking out are Fort Worth (#17), Oklahoma City (#31), Mesa, Ariz. (#38) and Virginia Beach (#41, confirmed for McCain). Hard to imagine that Mesa didn't vote for McCain, either, and Fort Worth is probably more likely to have done so than Oklahoma City anyway. Of course, if Jacksonville (#12) did vote for McCain, the point is moot.
« Last Edit: December 22, 2008, 06:14:54 pm by Verily »Logged
ag
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« Reply #8 on: December 22, 2008, 08:21:17 pm »
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The Duval data by precinct are on their webpage. Unfortunately, I couldn't find the most recent description of which precincts serve what. So, assuming there wasn't recently any change in precincts and assuming no precincts serve both parts of Jacksonville and parts of the micro suburbs, I just subtracted the results for the precincts that have recently participated in local elections in these suburbs. So, with those two assumptions in mind, we get the following:

City of Jacksonville

McCain Palin 200,675 votes (50.18%)
Obama/Biden 195,900 votes (48.99%)

McCain did win Jacksonville Smiley

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« Reply #9 on: December 22, 2008, 08:22:51 pm »
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Can anyone find numbers for cities in Texas?
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« Reply #10 on: December 22, 2008, 08:35:23 pm »
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Can anyone find numbers for cities in Texas?

That's hard: municipal and county governments are not too closely related. One would have to comb precinct-by-precinct data in many counties. Still, given that both Harris County (bulk of Houston) and Dallas county (bulk of Dallas) voted for Obama (the latter by a good margin), he must have won those. Fort Worth is harder to figure out. Travis county (Austin) is, of course, Obama, as are Bexar (San Antonio) and El Paso. Getting the actual numbers would require hard work Smiley
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« Reply #11 on: December 23, 2008, 03:40:51 pm »
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No, that's good enough.  Thanks
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« Reply #12 on: December 23, 2008, 04:52:33 pm »
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I'm starting a spreadsheet with the exact results of every city of 100,000 or more.  It would be helpful if raw numbers could be posted.  California can wait for the SOVC.  I basically need cities that aren't counties of their own.  I just need a raw count for Obama, McCain, and "Other" (including write-ins in states that count all write-ins)
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« Reply #13 on: December 23, 2008, 05:08:24 pm »
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Memphis, TN
Note: There are 12 precinct splits where county vs. city results cannot be separated.  In these cases I multiplied the percentage of city residents in the precinct by the votes cast there.

Total Votes: 265667
Obama: 202619 (76.3%)
McCain: 61302 (23.1%)
Barr 446 (0.2%)
Nader 416 (0.2%)
Baldwin 349 (0.1%)
McKinney 160 (0.1%)
Moore 85 (0%)
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« Reply #14 on: December 23, 2008, 05:26:23 pm »
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Thanks Don!  Added to my list.  If you happen to see it any time, I'm also looking for Nashville, Knoxville, Chattanooga and Clarksville.
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« Reply #15 on: December 23, 2008, 05:46:20 pm »
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I'll just post the full "in search of" list here:

(*) indicates splitting, and I haven't tried to find an un-split total.

Alabama
Birmingham
Huntsville
Mobile
Montgomery

Alaska
Anchorage

Arizona
Chandler
Gilbert
Glendale
Mesa
Peoria
Phoenix
Scottsdale
Tempe
Tucson

Arkansas
Little Rock

California (note: S2SOVC will be out in a couple of months)
Anaheim
Bakersfield
Berkeley
Burbank
Chula Vista
Concord
Corona
Costa Mesa
Daly City
Downey
El Monte
Elk Grove
Escondido
Fairfield
Fontana
Fremont
Fresno
Fullerton
Garden Grove
Glendale
Hayward
Huntington Beach
Inglewood
Irvine
Lancaster
Long Beach
Los Angeles
Modesto
Moreno Valley
Norwalk
Oakland
Oceanside
Ontario
Orange
Oxnard
Palmdale
Pasadena
Pomona
Rancho Cucamonga
Richmond
Riverside
Roseville
Sacramento
Salinas
San Bernardino
San Buenaventura
San Diego
San Francisco
San Jose
Santa Ana
Santa Clara
Santa Clarita
Santa Rosa
Simi Valley
Stockton
Sunnyvale
Thousand Oaks
Torrance
Vallejo
Victorville
Visalia
West Covina

Colorado
Arvada
Aurora
Colorado Springs*
Denver
Fort Collins
Lakewood
Pueblo
Thornton
Westminster

Connecticut
Bridgeport
Hartford
New Haven
Stamford
Waterbury

District of Columbia
Washington

Florida
Cape Coral
Clearwater
Coral Springs
Fort Lauderdale
Gainesville
Hialeah
Hollywood
Jacksonville
Miami
Miramar
Orlando
Palm Bay
Pembroke Pines
Pompano Beach
Port St. Lucie
St. Petersburg
Tallahassee
Tampa

Georgia
Athens
Atlanta
Augusta
Columbus
Savannah

Hawai'i
Honolulu (CDP!)

Idaho
Boise

Illinois
Aurora
Chicago
Elgin
Joliet
Naperville
Peoria
Rockford
Springfield

Indiana
Evansville
Fort Wayne
Indianapolis
South Bend

Iowa
Cedar Rapids
Des Moines

Kansas
Kansas City
Olathe
Overland Park
Topeka
Wichita

Kentucky
Lexington
Louisville

Louisiana
Baton Rouge
Lafayette
New Orleans
Shreveport

Maryland
Baltimore

Massachusetts
Boston
Cambridge
Lowell
Springfield
Worcester
« Last Edit: December 23, 2008, 06:03:59 pm by Alcon »Logged

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« Reply #16 on: December 23, 2008, 05:47:04 pm »
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Michigan
Ann Arbor
Detroit
Flint
Grand Rapids
Lansing
Sterling Heights
Warren

Minnesota
Minneapolis
St. Paul

Mississippi
Jackson

Missouri
Independence
Kansas City
Springfield
St. Louis

Montana
Billings*

Nebraska
Lincoln
Omaha

Nevada
Henderson
Las Vegas
North Las Vegas
Reno

New Hampshire
Manchester

New Jersey
Elizabeth
Jersey City
Newark
Paterson

New Mexico
Albuquerque

New York
Buffalo
New York City
Rochester
Syracuse
Yonkers

North Carolina
Cary
Charlotte
Durham
Fayetteville
Greensboro
High Point
Raleigh
Winston-Salem

Ohio
Akron
Cincinnati
Cleveland
Columbus
Dayton
Toledo

Oklahoma
Norman
Oklahoma City
Tulsa

Oregon
Eugene
Portland
Salem

Pennsylvania
Allentown
Erie
Philadelphia
Pittsburgh

Rhode Island
Providence

South Carolina
Charleston
Columbia

South Dakota
Sioux Falls

Tennessee
Chattanooga
Clarksville
Knoxville
Memphis
Nashville

Texas
Abilene
Amarillo
Arlington
Austin
Beaumont
Brownsville
Carrollton
Corpus Christi
Dallas
Denton
El Paso
Fort Worth
Garland
Grand Prairie
Houston
Irving
Killeen
Laredo
Lubbock
McAllen
McKinney
Mesquite
Midland
Pasadena
Plano
San Antonio
Waco
Wichita Falls

Utah
Provo
Salt Lake City
West Jordan
West Valley City

Virginia
Alexandria
Arlington
Chesapeake
Hampton
Newport News
Norfolk
Portsmouth
Richmond
Virginia Beach

Washington
Bellevue
Seattle
Spokane
Tacoma
Vancouver

Wisconsin
Green Bay
Madison
Milwaukee
« Last Edit: December 23, 2008, 06:05:17 pm by Alcon »Logged

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« Reply #17 on: December 26, 2008, 11:16:07 am »
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It's the largest city in Delaware...

Wilmington:

Obama - 27,266 (88.0%)
McCain - 3,492 (11.3%)
Other - 227 (0.7%)
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nclib
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« Reply #18 on: December 29, 2008, 12:25:06 am »
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Anyway, the cities worth checking out are Fort Worth (#17), Oklahoma City (#31), Mesa, Ariz. (#38) and Virginia Beach (#41, confirmed for McCain). Hard to imagine that Mesa didn't vote for McCain, either, and Fort Worth is probably more likely to have done so than Oklahoma City anyway. Of course, if Jacksonville (#12) did vote for McCain, the point is moot.

Has Phoenix been confirmed for Obama?

Of the top 100 cities, the only other ones that could potentially go for McCain (with varying degrees of likelihood) are: Phoenix suburbs, Colo. Springs, OKC and Tulsa, suburbs of Dallas (and also the city of Corpus Christi) Tex, Wichita, Kan., some in Orange (also Bakersfield and/or Chula Vista) CA, Anchorage, suburbs of Vegas (though prob. not), Fort Wayne, Ind., It's also worth checking out the south Fla. ones due to concentration of Cubans.
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« Reply #19 on: December 29, 2008, 01:32:21 am »
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If someone can figure out what the heck precincts are within the city of Phoenix, I'll gladly do it.

Edit: Maricopa County basically redirected me to the local political parties, wtf?  Useless.
« Last Edit: December 29, 2008, 04:18:09 pm by Alcon »Logged

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« Reply #20 on: December 29, 2008, 07:50:10 pm »
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I have Paterson, NJ courtesy of The Record. I think they combined "Others" in their report, though. I'll have it in a moment.

Paterson, NJ
Obama: 36,417 (89.78%)
McCain: 3,972 (9.79%)
"Others": 174 (0.43%)

Says all you need to know about Passaic County, really.
« Last Edit: December 29, 2008, 07:54:01 pm by Verily »Logged
Verily
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« Reply #21 on: December 29, 2008, 07:56:25 pm »
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Anyway, the cities worth checking out are Fort Worth (#17), Oklahoma City (#31), Mesa, Ariz. (#38) and Virginia Beach (#41, confirmed for McCain). Hard to imagine that Mesa didn't vote for McCain, either, and Fort Worth is probably more likely to have done so than Oklahoma City anyway. Of course, if Jacksonville (#12) did vote for McCain, the point is moot.

Has Phoenix been confirmed for Obama?

It voted decisively for Kerry, and Maricopa County swung slightly towards Obama, so I don't think it's worth checking.

Quote
Of the top 100 cities, the only other ones that could potentially go for McCain (with varying degrees of likelihood) are: Phoenix suburbs, Colo. Springs, OKC and Tulsa, suburbs of Dallas (and also the city of Corpus Christi) Tex, Wichita, Kan., some in Orange (also Bakersfield and/or Chula Vista) CA, Anchorage, suburbs of Vegas (though prob. not), Fort Wayne, Ind., It's also worth checking out the south Fla. ones due to concentration of Cubans.

Hialeah is the only really big heavily Cuban city (other than Miami, of course). But I think it's fairly Democratic nonetheless. Would have to check, of course.
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« Reply #22 on: December 29, 2008, 08:14:31 pm »
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Anyway, the cities worth checking out are Fort Worth (#17), Oklahoma City (#31), Mesa, Ariz. (#38) and Virginia Beach (#41, confirmed for McCain). Hard to imagine that Mesa didn't vote for McCain, either, and Fort Worth is probably more likely to have done so than Oklahoma City anyway. Of course, if Jacksonville (#12) did vote for McCain, the point is moot.

Has Phoenix been confirmed for Obama?

It voted decisively for Kerry, and Maricopa County swung slightly towards Obama, so I don't think it's worth checking.

Quote
Of the top 100 cities, the only other ones that could potentially go for McCain (with varying degrees of likelihood) are: Phoenix suburbs, Colo. Springs, OKC and Tulsa, suburbs of Dallas (and also the city of Corpus Christi) Tex, Wichita, Kan., some in Orange (also Bakersfield and/or Chula Vista) CA, Anchorage, suburbs of Vegas (though prob. not), Fort Wayne, Ind., It's also worth checking out the south Fla. ones due to concentration of Cubans.

Hialeah is the only really big heavily Cuban city (other than Miami, of course). But I think it's fairly Democratic nonetheless. Would have to check, of course.

Hialeah might be the only city in Miami-Dade that McCain won.

Its just that the non-Cuban Hispanics are increasing in number and are way more Democratic than the Cubans.
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« Reply #23 on: December 30, 2008, 04:36:31 am »
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Maricopa map with precincts and cities
List of Miami-Dade precincts by municipality and results by precinct.
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« Reply #24 on: December 30, 2008, 05:08:52 am »
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That's ridiculous even by my standards


So is that.  They must have a canvass format.  I think Dave is working on Florida.  Hopefully I can use his results and that first document.

Too lazy to upload now, but here's what I have:

(* = Some splitting)

1. New York: 79-20 Obama
3. Chicago: 85-14 Obama
6. Philadelphia: 83-16 Obama
13. San Francisco: 84-14 Obama
18. Memphis: 76-23 Obama
20. Baltimore: 87-12 Obama
21. Boston: 79-19 Obama
24. Seattle: 85-14 Obama
26. Denver: 75-23 Obama
27. Washington, DC: 92-7 Obama
28. Las Vegas: 59-39 Obama
30. Portland, OR: 80-17 Obama
38. Mesa: 59-39 McCain
41. Virginia Beach: 49-49 McCain
47. Colorado Springs*: 56-42 McCain
52. St. Louis, MO: 84-16 Obama
72. Henderson, NV: 51-47 Obama
78. New Orleans: 79-19 Obama
79. Norfolk: 71-28 Obama
85. Chesapeake, VA: 50-49 Obama
94. North Las Vegas: 69-29 Obama
98. Arlington, VA: 72-27 Obama
101. Boise: 54-44 Obama
104. Spokane: 53-44 Obama
105. Richmond: 79-20 Obama
112. Tacoma: 67-31 Obama
126. Newport News: 64-35 Obama
127. Jackson, MS: 81-18 Obama
131. Providence: 83-15 Obama
143. Vancouver, WA*: 58-40 Obama
151. Salem, OR: 57-40 Obama
152. Sioux Falls: 50-48 Obama
155. Springfield, MA: 77-22 Obama
156. Eugene, OR: 72-25 Obama
159. Paterson, NJ: 90-10 Obama
161. Hampton, VA: 69-30 Obama
173. Alexandria, VA: 72-27 Obama
200. Bellevue, WA: 64-35 Obama
207. Provo, UT: 73-23 McCain
229. Manchester, NH: 55-44 Obama
248. Lowell, MA: 65-33 Obama
253. Portsmouth, VA: 69-30 Obama
254. Billings, MT*: 50-47 McCain
257. Cambridge, MA: 88-10 Obama
258. Berkeley, CA: 92-5 Obama
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