Results of large cities

[Vasall des Midas]

I've just done Hialeah for self-amusement purposes, actually.

Obama won two precincts there (oh yah, and they have two precincts with 0 registered voters, and one with 3 registered voters and 0 votes cast).

62,024 valid votes
McCain 63.75
Obama 35.82

[Grad Students are the Worst]

I've just done Hialeah for self-amusement purposes, actually.

Obama won two precincts there (oh yah, and they have two precincts with 0 registered voters, and one with 3 registered voters and 0 votes cast).

62,024 valid votes
McCain 63.75
Obama 35.82

Any chance you can post the Obama/McCain/Other so I can add it?

[Vasall des Midas]

I've just done Hialeah for self-amusement purposes, actually.

Obama won two precincts there (oh yah, and they have two precincts with 0 registered voters, and one with 3 registered voters and 0 votes cast).

62,024 valid votes
McCain 63.75
Obama 35.82

Any chance you can post the Obama/McCain/Other so I can add it?

You mean the raw vote?

22,220 / 39,538 / (62,024 minus previous figures equals 266. Which seems a tad low. Maybe there's a summing error somewhere. Will get back to you.).

Nope, it's correct.

[Husker]

I'll work on getting Omaha, NE. Lincoln, NE was 53-44 Obama.

[Grad Students are the Worst]

I'll work on getting Omaha, NE. Lincoln, NE was 53-44 Obama.

Any chance you can get the raw vote numbers on that, Obama/McCain/Other?  Then I can add it.

[nclib]

bump - anyone have new data?

[bgwah]

Here are Indiana results... I guess Gary has supposedly fallen under 100,000 since the last census, though it would still be interesting...

http://www.scribd.com/doc/13067328/2008-INDIANA-Precinct-Level-Vote-for-President-Partial

[nclib]

It would be interesting to find out the most densely populated municipalities to vote for McCain as most of the cities here that voted for McCain, have large land areas.

According to the Calif. supplement, these are the most densely populated municipalities in Calif. to vote for McCain

City (county)            McCain margin    density

Garden Grove (Orange)   4.312%      9,238.7
Westminster (Orange)   13.986%      8,952.0
Huntington Beach (Orange)      7.339%      7,478.3
El Cajon (San Diego)      5.209%      6,554.0
Lake Forest (Orange)      9.203%      6,360.3

The only city listed in this thread that has a higher density than any on the above list, is Hialeah, Fla. with 11,309.4 people/sq. mi.

I've just done Hialeah for self-amusement purposes, actually.

62,024 valid votes
McCain 63.75
Obama 35.82

Any other possibilities? (I've checked that Mesa, Virginia Beach, Colorado Springs, Provo, UT, Billings, MT also have lower densities)

[Grad Students are the Worst]

I believe there's a town in Idaho that is freakishly dense because of how it's plotted, but damned if I can remember its name.  Minuscule place.

[memphis]

Let's not forget Kiryas Joel. Wikipedia has their density at 18,246 people/sq mi.

[bgwah]

I believe there's a town in Idaho that is freakishly dense because of how it's plotted, but damned if I can remember its name.  Minuscule place.

Huetter

[DariusNJ]

Detroit voted 96.9% for Obama. Don't have the raw data though, sorry.

[Lephead]

Here is the info I have on large cities.  Mainly stumped on Phoenix AZ

http://www.scribd.com/doc/13474955/2008-VOTE-FOR-PRESIDENT-Top-50-Cities

[Badger]

Here is the info I have on large cities.  Mainly stumped on Phoenix AZ

http://www.scribd.com/doc/13474955/2008-VOTE-FOR-PRESIDENT-Top-50-Cities

Very cool.

Welcome to the Forum!

[Vasall des Midas]

Here is the info I have on large cities.  Mainly stumped on Phoenix AZ

http://www.scribd.com/doc/13474955/2008-VOTE-FOR-PRESIDENT-Top-50-Cities

Phoenix should be possible from the precinct map up on the Maricopa County website (or at least, that used to be up on the Maricopa COunty website), just take days and days of work.

[DariusNJ]

Wow, it looks like Obama won Fort Worth! That surprised me.

Oklahoma City voted for McCain by a pretty large margin. I thought the city would lean slightly Obama.

I think McCain's best city in the top 50 was Mesa, correct me if I'm wrong.

[Lephead]

Didn't he squeek out a win in Jacksonville?  But I think his largest margin was in Mesa?

[DariusNJ]

Didn't he squeek out a win in Jacksonville?  But I think his largest margin was in Mesa?

Yeah, I meant largest margin.

[nclib]

Largest cities for McCain      Obama %   McCain %

13   Jacksonville   FL   49.3%   49.8%
31   Oklahoma City   OK   42.6%   57.4%
38   Mesa   AZ   37.9%   60.1%
42   Virginia Beach   VA   49.1%   49.8%
46   Tulsa   OK   44.3%   55.7%
48   Colorado Springs   CO   42.2%   56.4%
50   Arlington   TX   47.2%   52.0%
51   Wichita   KS   46.4%   51.3%
57   Bakersfield   CA   42.9%   55.6%
64   Corpus Christi   TX   47.3%   51.8%
67   Anchorage   AK   40.9%   56.8%
70    Plano  TX               39.7%  59.1%
74  Glendale AZ   43.3%  55.0%
76   Chandler   AZ   45.1%   53.3%
79   Scottsdale   AZ   42.1%   56.6%
87   Lubbock   TX   33.1%   66.1%
90   Garland   TX   46.4%   52.6%
94    Gilbert  AZ           35.8%  62.8%
95   Hialeah   FL   35.8%   63.7%


Obama's best in cities over 100,000

            obama      mccain
Detroit   MI   96.9%   2.6%
Miami Gardens   FL   93.3%   6.2%
Inglewood   CA   92.8%   6.0%
Berkeley   CA   92.5%   4.9%
Washington   DC   92.5%   6.5%
Newark   NJ   92.5%   7.1%
Hartford   CT   91.7%   7.8%
Oakland   CA   91.2%   7.0%
Paterson   NJ   90.0%   9.7%
Flint   MI   88.0%   11.0%
Cambridge   MA   87.8%   10.1%
New Haven   CT   87.8%   11.4%
Baltimore   MD   87.2%   11.7%

majority race:            

black   Detroit, Washington, DC Baltimore, Newark, NJ, Flint, MI, Miami Gardens, FL      
hisp   Paterson (NJ), Inglewood (CA)         
white   Berkeley (CA), Cambridge (MA)         
none   Oakland, Hartford, New Haven (CT)

McCain cities all white except

hisp: Corpus Christi and Hialeah
none: Arlington and Garland, TX

[Vasall des Midas]

Where does the Scottsdale figure up there come from?

[nclib]

Where does the Scottsdale figure up there come from?

This link (below) that Lephead posted. I don't know what his original source is.

Here is the info I have on large cities.  Mainly stumped on Phoenix AZ

http://www.scribd.com/doc/13474955/2008-VOTE-FOR-PRESIDENT-Top-50-Cities

[Lephead]

To NCLIB :
"This link (below) that Lephead posted. I don't know what his original source is."

There are so many sources it defies comprehension.

[Vasall des Midas]

Anyway, the cities worth checking out are Fort Worth (#17), Oklahoma City (#31), Mesa, Ariz. (#38) and Virginia Beach (#41, confirmed for McCain). Hard to imagine that Mesa didn't vote for McCain, either, and Fort Worth is probably more likely to have done so than Oklahoma City anyway. Of course, if Jacksonville (#12) did vote for McCain, the point is moot.

Has Phoenix been confirmed for Obama?

It voted decisively for Kerry, and Maricopa County swung slightly towards Obama, so I don't think it's worth checking.

Certainly for Obama. Not so sure about Kerry.

The Republican 3rd and Democratic 4th district combined voted for Bush by ~14k IIRC (for Obama by a narrow margin). This includes the bulk of the city of Phoenix. It also includes the southern half of Glendale (in the fourth. Certainly less Democratic than the average of the 4th, but pretty sure it went for Kerry. The northern half of Glendale is in the 2nd and quite Republican), a lot of unincorporated land north of Phoenix in the third (heavily Republican) and some smaller corners of unincorporated land southwest of Phoenix (solidly Democratic) and the very small city of Guadalupe southeast of Phoenix (almost 80% Democratic in both 2004 and 2008. Higher turnout in 2008, though.) In balance, the part of Phoenix included in the two districts definitely voted for Bush. There are some small parts of Phoenix in the 5th and 7th districts, and these I think both voted for Kerry, but getting me to believe they're enough to flip the city will take convincing.

[nclib]

Aside from Phoenix, the largest city in each state voted Democratic except:

AK (Anchorage)
FL (Jacksonville, deceptive b/c land area)
KS (Wichita)
OK (Oklahoma City)
VA (Virginia Beach, deceptive b/c land area)
WY (Cheyenne)

The only states where the largest city was less Democratic than the state were: FL, VA (see above) and HI (Honolulu, which was still quite Democratic)

[Lephead]

"Where does the Scottsdale figure up there come from?"

The upside of maricopa county was that there were municipal elections in some cities in November.  That information could be matched to precinct.  the downside was that Phoenix  and Glendale did not have a municipal election.