Results of large cities

[nclib]

For Obama unless otherwise noted

WDC: 92.5%-6.5%
Baltimore: 87.2%-11.7%
Chicago 85.4%-13.7%
San Fran: 84.2%-13.7%
St. Louis: 83.5%-15.5%
Philly: 83%-16.3%
NYC: 79.3%-20%
Boston: 78.6%-19.3%
Denver: 75.5%-23%
Arlington, VA: 71.7%-27.1%
Va. Beach: McCain, 49.8%-49.1%

Anyone have any more?

[nclib]

Anyway, the cities worth checking out are Fort Worth (#17), Oklahoma City (#31), Mesa, Ariz. (#38) and Virginia Beach (#41, confirmed for McCain). Hard to imagine that Mesa didn't vote for McCain, either, and Fort Worth is probably more likely to have done so than Oklahoma City anyway. Of course, if Jacksonville (#12) did vote for McCain, the point is moot.

Has Phoenix been confirmed for Obama?

Of the top 100 cities, the only other ones that could potentially go for McCain (with varying degrees of likelihood) are: Phoenix suburbs, Colo. Springs, OKC and Tulsa, suburbs of Dallas (and also the city of Corpus Christi) Tex, Wichita, Kan., some in Orange (also Bakersfield and/or Chula Vista) CA, Anchorage, suburbs of Vegas (though prob. not), Fort Wayne, Ind., It's also worth checking out the south Fla. ones due to concentration of Cubans.

[nclib]

bump - anyone have new data?

[nclib]

It would be interesting to find out the most densely populated municipalities to vote for McCain as most of the cities here that voted for McCain, have large land areas.

According to the Calif. supplement, these are the most densely populated municipalities in Calif. to vote for McCain

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The only city listed in this thread that has a higher density than any on the above list, is Hialeah, Fla. with 11,309.4 people/sq. mi.

I've just done Hialeah for self-amusement purposes, actually.

62,024 valid votes
McCain 63.75
Obama 35.82

Any other possibilities? (I've checked that Mesa, Virginia Beach, Colorado Springs, Provo, UT, Billings, MT also have lower densities)

[nclib]

Largest cities for McCain      Obama %   McCain %

13   Jacksonville   FL   49.3%   49.8%
31   Oklahoma City   OK   42.6%   57.4%
38   Mesa   AZ   37.9%   60.1%
42   Virginia Beach   VA   49.1%   49.8%
46   Tulsa   OK   44.3%   55.7%
48   Colorado Springs   CO   42.2%   56.4%
50   Arlington   TX   47.2%   52.0%
51   Wichita   KS   46.4%   51.3%
57   Bakersfield   CA   42.9%   55.6%
64   Corpus Christi   TX   47.3%   51.8%
67   Anchorage   AK   40.9%   56.8%
70    Plano  TX               39.7%  59.1%
74  Glendale AZ   43.3%  55.0%
76   Chandler   AZ   45.1%   53.3%
79   Scottsdale   AZ   42.1%   56.6%
87   Lubbock   TX   33.1%   66.1%
90   Garland   TX   46.4%   52.6%
94    Gilbert  AZ           35.8%  62.8%
95   Hialeah   FL   35.8%   63.7%


Obama's best in cities over 100,000

            obama      mccain
Detroit   MI   96.9%   2.6%
Miami Gardens   FL   93.3%   6.2%
Inglewood   CA   92.8%   6.0%
Berkeley   CA   92.5%   4.9%
Washington   DC   92.5%   6.5%
Newark   NJ   92.5%   7.1%
Hartford   CT   91.7%   7.8%
Oakland   CA   91.2%   7.0%
Paterson   NJ   90.0%   9.7%
Flint   MI   88.0%   11.0%
Cambridge   MA   87.8%   10.1%
New Haven   CT   87.8%   11.4%
Baltimore   MD   87.2%   11.7%

majority race:            

black   Detroit, Washington, DC Baltimore, Newark, NJ, Flint, MI, Miami Gardens, FL      
hisp   Paterson (NJ), Inglewood (CA)         
white   Berkeley (CA), Cambridge (MA)         
none   Oakland, Hartford, New Haven (CT)

McCain cities all white except

hisp: Corpus Christi and Hialeah
none: Arlington and Garland, TX

[nclib]

Where does the Scottsdale figure up there come from?

This link (below) that Lephead posted. I don't know what his original source is.

Here is the info I have on large cities.  Mainly stumped on Phoenix AZ

http://www.scribd.com/doc/13474955/2008-VOTE-FOR-PRESIDENT-Top-50-Cities

[nclib]

Aside from Phoenix, the largest city in each state voted Democratic except:

AK (Anchorage)
FL (Jacksonville, deceptive b/c land area)
KS (Wichita)
OK (Oklahoma City)
VA (Virginia Beach, deceptive b/c land area)
WY (Cheyenne)

The only states where the largest city was less Democratic than the state were: FL, VA (see above) and HI (Honolulu, which was still quite Democratic)

[nclib]

I added some more cities to my chart, mostly from Florida and Texas.  They are listed at the end of p.2.

Good work. I noticed that you have The Woodlands, Montgomery Co., Texas as almost 3-1 Obama. Haven't looked at any data there (other than the county totals), but I was under the impression that it was a very conservative area. Can you make sure it is not transposed. Thanks.

[nclib]

Anyway, the cities worth checking out are Fort Worth (#17), Oklahoma City (#31), Mesa, Ariz. (#38) and Virginia Beach (#41, confirmed for McCain). Hard to imagine that Mesa didn't vote for McCain, either, and Fort Worth is probably more likely to have done so than Oklahoma City anyway. Of course, if Jacksonville (#12) did vote for McCain, the point is moot.

Has Phoenix been confirmed for Obama?

It voted decisively for Kerry, and Maricopa County swung slightly towards Obama, so I don't think it's worth checking.

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Hialeah is the only really big heavily Cuban city (other than Miami, of course). But I think it's fairly Democratic nonetheless. Would have to check, of course.

Hialeah might be the only city in Miami-Dade that McCain won.

Its just that the non-Cuban Hispanics are increasing in number and are way more Democratic than the Cubans.

According to Lephead's Florida page, cities in Miami-Dade with a pop. over 10,000 that McCain carried:
hialeah
coral gables
miami lakes
hialeah gardens
sweetwater
miami springs
key biscayne

Only Hialeah and Hialeah Gardens are majority Cuban.