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Author Topic: Special Election for IL-5  (Read 8766 times)
muon2
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« on: December 31, 2008, 03:44:32 pm »
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The letter makes it official that Emmanuel is resigning his seat. Blagojevich must now set a date for the special election (A seat that Blago held before Rahm). Here's what Lynn Sweet of the Sun-Times says about the contenders:

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Eleven people have filed statements with the Federal Election Commission that they are mulling a run, with more contestants expected. The Democratic primary front-runners so far (the district is heavily Democratic) are state Rep. Sara Feigenholtz (D-Chicago), Cook County Board member Mike Quigley and former Transportation Security Administration official Justin Oberman.

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« Reply #1 on: December 31, 2008, 03:57:08 pm »
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WE WANT BLAGO! WE WANT BLAGO! WE WANT BLAGO!

Rosty would do, too, I suppose.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #2 on: December 31, 2008, 03:58:12 pm »
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Blagojevich v. Keyes!
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« Reply #3 on: December 31, 2008, 04:04:06 pm »
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Is any of the candidates a true friend of Polonia? (wondering if anyone else remembers that...)
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #4 on: January 01, 2009, 01:33:50 am »
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WE WANT BLAGO! WE WANT BLAGO! WE WANT BLAGO!

Yes. The GOP needs another Cao.  Smiley
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« Reply #5 on: January 01, 2009, 01:35:36 am »
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WE WANT BLAGO! WE WANT BLAGO! WE WANT BLAGO!

Yes. The GOP needs another Cao.  Smiley

Cao is another Flanagan. You know the guy who did hold this seat.

And with that, my first post of 2009.
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« Reply #6 on: January 01, 2009, 01:35:55 am »
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I have no way of analyzing a House Primary with a dozen different contenders


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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #7 on: January 01, 2009, 01:39:09 am »
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Cao is another Flanagan. You know the guy who did hold this seat.


No, I don't know. Enlighten me.
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Nym90
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« Reply #8 on: January 01, 2009, 02:38:37 am »
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Cao is another Flanagan. You know the guy who did hold this seat.


No, I don't know. Enlighten me.

The 1994 wave was so big that the GOP actually held a Congressional seat in the city of Chicago.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Michael_Patrick_Flanagan
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #9 on: January 01, 2009, 03:09:24 am »
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Cao is another Flanagan. You know the guy who did hold this seat.


No, I don't know. Enlighten me.

The 1994 wave was so big that the GOP actually held a Congressional seat in the city of Chicago.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Michael_Patrick_Flanagan

Oh, how I long for the days of 1994. Flanagan went down pretty hard. So sad that Cao will probably go down just as hard or even worse.
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« Reply #10 on: January 01, 2009, 06:53:17 am »
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Cao is another Flanagan. You know the guy who did hold this seat.


No, I don't know. Enlighten me.

The 1994 wave was so big that the GOP actually held a Congressional seat in the city of Chicago.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Michael_Patrick_Flanagan

Oh, how I long for the days of 1994. Flanagan went down pretty hard.
The only reason he won in the first place is that Dan Rostenkowski was, well, another Dollar Bill.
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muon2
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« Reply #11 on: January 01, 2009, 12:16:15 pm »
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Cao is another Flanagan. You know the guy who did hold this seat.


No, I don't know. Enlighten me.

The 1994 wave was so big that the GOP actually held a Congressional seat in the city of Chicago.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Michael_Patrick_Flanagan

Oh, how I long for the days of 1994. Flanagan went down pretty hard. So sad that Cao will probably go down just as hard or even worse.

And for those that missed it, Flanagan was defeated by none other than Blagojevich. Will Cao draw a challenge with such future notoriety?
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« Reply #12 on: January 02, 2009, 11:20:07 am »
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Cao is another Flanagan. You know the guy who did hold this seat.


No, I don't know. Enlighten me.

The 1994 wave was so big that the GOP actually held a Congressional seat in the city of Chicago.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Michael_Patrick_Flanagan

Oh, how I long for the days of 1994. Flanagan went down pretty hard. So sad that Cao will probably go down just as hard or even worse.

And for those that missed it, Flanagan was defeated by none other than Blagojevich. Will Cao draw a challenge with such future notoriety?

This being N'awlins we're talking about, I wouldn't be surprised. Smiley
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muon2
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« Reply #13 on: January 05, 2009, 08:45:28 pm »
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The election dates are set. The primary is set for Mar 3, and the general on April 7. The Gov followed the suggestions of the Cook Co Clerk and Chicago Board of Elections. April 7 is the municipal election, but it's result is not much in doubt. The letter from Emmanuel was too late to the Gov for them to use the Feb 24 suburban municipal primary date for the primary so that part of the district will have elections on consecutive Tuesdays.
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muon2
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« Reply #14 on: January 06, 2009, 01:01:06 pm »
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I found a nice page on Prairie State Blue that runs down many of the top contenders.
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« Reply #15 on: January 11, 2009, 06:48:39 pm »
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The Dem committeemen failed to slate anyone for the Mar 3 primary. State Rep. John Fritchey was very close to the needed 50%+1, which suggests some solid ground troop support may be available, even if the endorsement isn't.
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« Reply #16 on: January 19, 2009, 11:58:58 am »
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An internal poll from Cook County Commissioner Mike Quigley gives a look at primary prospects. One big variable is whether or not Alderman Pat O'Connor decides to enter the race. With 55% undecided there's a lot of room for movement.

Without O'Connor:
Quigley: 19%
Feigenholtz: 11%
Fritchey: 8%

With O'Connor:
Quigley: 14%
Feigenholtz: 10%
O'Connor: 8%
Fritchey: 7%
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muon2
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« Reply #17 on: January 20, 2009, 12:48:56 pm »
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Filing for the special primary closed yesterday. There are 26 candidates before challenges (the link opens a search for the full list). The challenge period runs until next Monday, then those challenges will have to be resolved. There are 15 Dems, 6 GOPs, and 5 Greens at this point.
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« Reply #18 on: January 20, 2009, 06:51:12 pm »
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http://www.progressillinois.com/2009/1/20/feigenholtz-hit-for-negative-poll
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« Reply #19 on: January 20, 2009, 07:20:22 pm »
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Kinda sad for the GOP when there's almost as much Green candidates...?
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Linus Van Pelt
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« Reply #20 on: January 20, 2009, 09:38:50 pm »
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Is the initial winner immediately the nominee, or is there a runoff if there's no majority?
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« Reply #21 on: January 20, 2009, 09:55:28 pm »
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The election dates are set. The primary is set for Mar 3, and the general on April 7. The Gov followed the suggestions of the Cook Co Clerk and Chicago Board of Elections. April 7 is the municipal election, but it's result is not much in doubt. The letter from Emmanuel was too late to the Gov for them to use the Feb 24 suburban municipal primary date for the primary so that part of the district will have elections on consecutive Tuesdays.

That doesn't sound promising for primary candidates from the suburbs.  What percentage of the district is in Chicago proper versus the suburbs?
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #22 on: January 20, 2009, 10:37:51 pm »
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Is the initial winner immediately the nominee, or is there a runoff if there's no majority?

There is no runoff.
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muon2
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« Reply #23 on: January 20, 2009, 10:47:54 pm »
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Is the initial winner immediately the nominee, or is there a runoff if there's no majority?

No runoff. The top vote-getter in each party gets the nomination.
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« Reply #24 on: January 20, 2009, 11:08:33 pm »
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like 90% of the IL-5 vote is in Chicago anyways, so it's not a huge loss to hold the primary on 3/3
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