Ireland 2009

[Hash]

Wow.

[Hash]

Fianna Epic Fail.

OK, I need to go repent.  Sorry.

I move that we now say epic fáil instead of epic fail.

[Hash]

What seat allocation would that poll give us in the June EU elections?

[Hash]

In other Euro-news, Fianna Fáil will be changing their European affiliation and moving from the small UEN to the Liberals (Irish Times).

'bout time.

Hopefully, this deals the final blow to the UEN after the June elections.

[Hash]

In the European elections, the poll found support for the new Libertas party at just 2%, leaving the party with a lot of work to do in the next six weeks.

Interesting: Libertas with 3-times the support in France than in Ireland.

That's misleading. Libertas is polling high in France only because Libertas in France is the MPF-CPNT. I think France is the only country where Libertas has managed to affiliate/whatever with a relatively important local entity. People aren't voting Libertas, and MPF voters probably have no clue what Libertas is. If Libertas ran alone with no parties, it would poll 0.5% or so.

[Hash]

but I'm not sure if Ahern would be eliminated on the first count of three on these numbers or on the second count of four (as I don't know how strong candidates further down are polling).

I'm quite sure Ahern won't be bumped out on the first count. The Trot will likely go out first obviously, then I'd expect the Greenie to go out on the second count. I just don't see the Greenie polling more than Ahern.

I'm not sure if Sinn Féin is running a candidate, but they would pretty much certainly be out before Ahern.

[Hash]

Lech Walesa, who supports Libertas, has called for a YES vote to Lisbon. What a joke he is nowadays.

[Hash]

What is the quota in Dublin Central?

[Hash]

Transfers from the Greenie to the Failer have been pretty bad for coalition partners... Are the remaining Greenie voters opposed to the coalition?

[Hash]

ElectionsIreland reports only 4 seats in the local election results. Is that really all that's been declared?

[Hash]

Philippe de Villiers is now, AFAIK, the only Libertas MEP. He can effectively take over this short-lived joke.

[Hash]

Didn't Green voters vote NO to Lisbon last year?

[Hash]

Could this backfire on the Irish PM? During the address to the UN of the President of Iran, the cameras panned across the people watching and showed a person in the Irish delegation's area and no one in the UK's area. Could the opposition say this shows that Ireland supports Iran?

People don't vote on those issues.

[Hash]

Libertas is back? How many seats did you win in June again, guys?