European Elections 2009 - Britain!

[Jens]

Eastern: Con 2/3 UKIP 1 Ind 1/0 Lib Dem 1 Lab 1 Green 1

Who is the Independent candidate?

Peter Rigby

Is it really likely that SSP could win a MEP?

I don't think so. SSP is a fringe party. It think the good days are quite over for them.

No. Certainly not before the LDs. The 1/0 seat should be LD, not SSP. (Harry is just using "Other" to guess that the SSP is strong. The SSP is a dead party.)

That makes more sense. It would be quite a surprise if SSP suddenly bounced back.

[doktorb]

Polling day has finally got here. With everything that has happened, I am less certain than ever about the results, it really is the least predictable election I've known.

One hour to polls open, my polling station is essentially next door so that's convienience itself...

[Phony Moderate]

Polling day has finally got here. With everything that has happened, I am less certain than ever about the results, it really is the least predictable election I've known.

One hour to polls open, my polling station is essentially next door so that's convienience itself...

They open at 8AM?

[Serenity Now]

Polling day has finally got here. With everything that has happened, I am less certain than ever about the results, it really is the least predictable election I've known.

One hour to polls open, my polling station is essentially next door so that's convienience itself...

They open at 8AM?

7AM - I got back from voting 10 minutes ago. Like doktorb, my polling station is also essentially nest door..

[Serenity Now]

Does anyone know when we'll get local authority level results?

Two outlandish predictions: The Greens top the poll in Norwich and in Brighton & Hove. Anyone have any more (for any party)?

[Phony Moderate]

The Tories will top the poll in East Anglia and the South East, the Lib Dems will do well in the South West. I don't really know where Labour can do well, i guess thier safe seats areas, but the BNP have a lot of support in the safe Labour seats.

[ChrisJG777]

I voted about an hour and half ago, and to be honest none of the options on the ballot are what I would consider "first choice".  Not an easy decision.  Still, here's hoping the BNP don't get a seat in my region, and I doubt they will.

Anyway, I wonder if there's any polling information available for Wales?

[Verily]

Plaid is dead in the water in Wales because they're  in coalition with Labour, and so anything but a 2 Lab - 1 Plaid - 1 Con split is really unlikely. (The Lib Dems gaining a seat from Labour might be possible, but I wouldn't expect it.)

Also, the Scottish breakdown from the YouGov poll. The sample size is decent enough to have a not-atrocious MoE.

SNP 31
Lab 22
LD 17
Con 14
Grn 5
BNP 4
UKIP 3
Libertas 1
Jury Team 1
Oth 1

That looks like 2-2-1-1 quite easily to me, with the Conservatives in only minimal danger of losing their seat to the SNP. The Greens are not competitive for a seat (especially given the same poll had them doing very well nationally). The Scottish Greens are a different beast than the Green Party of E&W, among other things being more separatist than the SNP.

[Franzl]

UKIP Launches Legal Bid Over Ballot Paper


http://news.sky.com/skynews/Home/Politics/UKIP-To-Complain-About-Ballot-Paper-Fold-In-European-And-Local-Elections/Article/200906115296002?lpos=Politics_First_Home_Article_Teaser_Region_2&lid=ARTICLE_15296002_UKIP_To_Complain_About_Ballot_Paper_Fold_In_European_And_Local_Elections

[ChrisJG777]

UKIP Launches Legal Bid Over Ballot Paper


http://news.sky.com/skynews/Home/Politics/UKIP-To-Complain-About-Ballot-Paper-Fold-In-European-And-Local-Elections/Article/200906115296002?lpos=Politics_First_Home_Article_Teaser_Region_2&lid=ARTICLE_15296002_UKIP_To_Complain_About_Ballot_Paper_Fold_In_European_And_Local_Elections

When I went down to vote I encountered no difficulty with my ballot paper, so I have to admit that I don't really see what the fuss is about there.  Of course it could just be a local issue.

[Harry Hayfield]

Does anyone know when we'll get local authority level results?

Two outlandish predictions: The Greens top the poll in Norwich and in Brighton & Hove. Anyone have any more (for any party)?

Leeds will be publishing the Yorkshire authority numbers on the night online at ther website

[afleitch]

Some murmurs across the country of the turnout being lower than expected, possibly lower than 2004.

[Harry Hayfield]

Two outlandish predictions: The Greens top the poll in Norwich and in Brighton & Hove. Anyone have any more (for any party)?

Con GAINTower Hamlets from Respect
Lab GAINCarmarthenshire from Plaid Cymru
Lib Dem GAIN: Liverpool from Labour
Plaid Cymru GAIN: Nothing
SNP GAIN: Midlothian from Labour

[afleitch]

Two outlandish predictions: The Greens top the poll in Norwich and in Brighton & Hove. Anyone have any more (for any party)?

Con GAINTower Hamlets from Respect
Lab GAINCarmarthenshire from Plaid Cymru
Lib Dem GAIN: Liverpool from Labour
Plaid Cymru GAIN: Nothing
SNP GAIN: Midlothian from Labour

SNP are expecting a good night. Rumours are they may top the poll in Glasgow. Theres a local government by-election in Drumchapel/Anniesland Ward too as well as in Bishopbriggs South

[Keystone Phil]

Some murmurs across the country of the turnout being lower than expected, possibly lower than 2004.

Good or bad (or indifferent) for the Tories/does this increase the likelihood of Labour in fourth place?

[You kip if you want to...]

Some murmurs across the country of the turnout being lower than expected, possibly lower than 2004.

Good or bad (or indifferent) for the Tories/does this increase the likelihood of Labour in fourth place?

I assume as low turnout would help the smaller parties like the BNP I guess.

[afleitch]

The results for Scotland won't be released until Monday...because the f-ing Western Islands won't count votes on a Sunday.

[afleitch]

20% turnout forecast in Euros
30% expected in council election.

Dangerous territory.

[Hash]

20% turnout forecast in Euros
30% expected in council election.

Dangerous territory.

LOL!

Kudos to the 20-30% who actually bothered to move their ass and vote. The rest can shut up now.

[Joe Republic]

20% turnout forecast in Euros
30% expected in council election.

Dangerous territory.

LOL!

Kudos to the 20-30% who actually bothered to move their ass and vote. The rest can shut up now.

It's not like these elections are actually important though.

[Verily]

Low turnout means a likely higher-than-polled UKIP and Lib Dem vote (because their voters really care about the EU one way or another) and lower Conservative and especially Labour votes than polled. Labour could well come in fourth, or possibly even fifth if the Greens do well.

Low turnout also helps the BNP, who routinely win council seats in low turnout and then lose them back while increasing their vote at the next election as anti-BNP voters turn out to kick them out.

[minionofmidas]

20% turnout forecast in Euros
30% expected in council election.

Dangerous territory.

Same date?

Oh right, you Brits vote on a thursday. I keep forgetting that.

[Tetro Kornbluth]

Low turnout means a likely higher-than-polled UKIP and Lib Dem vote (because their voters really care about the EU one way or another) and lower Conservative and especially Labour votes than polled. Labour could well come in fourth, or possibly even fifth if the Greens do well.

Low turnout also helps the BNP, who routinely win council seats in low turnout and then lose them back while increasing their vote at the next election as anti-BNP voters turn out to kick them out.

Haven't all those BNP councillers been little more than embarrasing failures?

[afleitch]

7% turnout in Glasgow....

[The Man From G.O.P.]

7% turnout in Glasgow....

You mean to say 7/100 people eligible to vote in Glasgow voted? Really?