South Dakota Heatin' up

[Psychic Octopus]

I think she should challenge Thune. and change her name to Stephanie Sandlin.

[Holmes]

I think she should challenge Thune.

This. Although I'm a Sandlin fan and Thune anti-fan, and prefer to see people in DC rather than a state capital.

She'd have a good chance at beating him too.

[Psychic Octopus]

I think she should challenge Thune.

This. Although I'm a Sandlin fan and Thune anti-fan, and prefer to see people in DC rather than a state capital.

She'd have a good chance at beating him too.

It's not that I do not like Thune, I just think It'd be more entertaining.

[Mr.Phips]

I think she should challenge Thune. and change her name to Stephanie Sandlin.

She wouldnt have a chance against Thune.  He's too popular. 

[Holmes]

I think you're wrong. Thune is a very conservative person, and although it is true that South Dakota is also a conservative state, Sandlin isn't a liberal postergirl.

I think she'd hold her ground with the moderate Republicans, would do alright with independents, and sweep the female vote. And she'd be in. Of course, the same can be said for a governor race as well.

[BM]

I think she should go for what's closer to a sure thing than jumping into a tight Senate race so early in her career. I'd prefer she go for Senate since I don't care about who the governor of SD is and it'd be a fun, high profile race since Democrats would be dying to take out the man who toppled Daschle.  I don't think it's likely though.

Governor --> Senator seems like a more logical path. Tim Johnson has had a lot of health problems over the last few years so he may retire at the right time for her.

[Kaine for Senate '18]

She should run for Governor in 2010; she'll win easily, and would be a prime contender to be Mark Warner's VP in 2016.

[BM]

Would that be the most conservative Democratic ticket ever?

[Kaine for Senate '18]

Would that be the most conservative Democratic ticket ever?

Not by a long shot.

[Ronnie]

Don't forget that Thune brought down Daschle.  I think he has done enough in the state to be able to bring down Herseth as well.

I don't think Herseth will do it, because her political career would likely be over if she loses to Thune.

Herseth is popular, but can she take down a very popular incumbent in a state that was 16 points more Republican than the national average in the presidential race?

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Herseth can hold her house seat until she dies, which won't be for a long, long, time, so I don't think she'd risk her political career on what would be at best a 50/50 shot. She must know she can just waltz into the governor's mansion.

[Mr.Phips]

Don't forget that Thune brought down Daschle.  I think he has done enough in the state to be able to bring down Herseth as well.

I don't think Herseth will do it, because her political career would likely be over if she loses to Thune.

Herseth is popular, but can she take down a very popular incumbent in a state that was 16 points more Republican than the national average in the presidential race?

Try about seven points. 

[Ronnie]

Don't forget that Thune brought down Daschle.  I think he has done enough in the state to be able to bring down Herseth as well.

I don't think Herseth will do it, because her political career would likely be over if she loses to Thune.

Herseth is popular, but can she take down a very popular incumbent in a state that was 16 points more Republican than the national average in the presidential race?

Try about seven points. 

No.  McCain won the state by 9 points and Obama won nationally by 7.  Add those together and you get 16.

Subtracting the raw national numbers from the raw state level numbers doesn't really work if you want to figure out trends.

[Psychic Octopus]

She should run for Governor in 2010; she'll win easily, and would be a prime contender to be Mark Warner's VP in 2016.

Yes, she would be, due to her speaking style and rhetoric being better then Obama's, Warner would certainly choose her.