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Author Topic: Alabama  (Read 20440 times)
bgwah
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« Reply #25 on: January 28, 2009, 02:11:57 pm »
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I dunno, I could see Davis narrowly winning against someone like Moore...
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #26 on: January 28, 2009, 02:14:55 pm »
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A black vs spinster race in Alabama would be fun

Maybe 45% is the best I can imagine for Davis.

He would need about 35% of Whites to win. Obama got 10% - half what Kerry got - despite a 5-point national swing among Whites.

It would be really stunning if he'd win.
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« Reply #27 on: January 28, 2009, 02:18:02 pm »
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Are the primiaries in Alabama open or closed? If they closed, I wonder if the Dixies vote in them...
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« Reply #28 on: January 28, 2009, 02:28:15 pm »
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Is Darryl W. Perry running?
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Franzl
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« Reply #29 on: January 28, 2009, 02:42:50 pm »
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Is Darryl W. Perry running?

maybe he'll get 50 votes this time around?
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Jimmie
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« Reply #30 on: January 28, 2009, 03:04:54 pm »
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Davis will win. Unlike Obama.. I will support davis during the whole campaign season against Roy Moore.. and will predict his win, regardless of what ""polling" says.
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It's become a tradition to say that the party that loses is doomed.

2004: The Democrats are done for! They're just a coastal party now!

2008: The Republicans are done for! They're just a Southern party now!

2010: Obama is done for in 2012!

2012: The Republicans are done for! They're just a Southern party now!

2016: The Democrats are done for! They're just a coastal party now!
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« Reply #31 on: February 03, 2009, 02:46:45 am »
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I'm intrigued by this.  Artur Davis is completely aware of what he's doing and the challenges involved.  He knows he's quite young in this career and giving up a plum job in the House for what is at best a tossup race.

Artur is a smart Harvard guy, I think there's a legitimate reason somewhere that he can win this but I can't really understand what that is.
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Sibboleth
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« Reply #32 on: February 03, 2009, 07:02:26 am »
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I see no reason to assume that he "must" know what he's doing just because he went to a posh uni.
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Lunar
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« Reply #33 on: February 03, 2009, 12:34:18 pm »
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I see no reason to assume that he "must" know what he's doing just because he went to a posh uni.

That wasn't really critical to my theory.  More important factors include his age, the seat he's giving up, the obviousness of what he "must" know, and my perceived intelligence of him outside of his scholarly history
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Lunar
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« Reply #34 on: February 07, 2009, 11:18:20 am »
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In 2000, 40% of Alabama voters opposed ending the constitutional ban on mixed-race marriages

In 2004, 50.1 percent of voters opposed a 2004 measure to remove a constitutional provision mandating segregated public schools for "white and colored children"
« Last Edit: February 07, 2009, 11:21:08 am by Lunar »Logged

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« Reply #35 on: February 07, 2009, 11:44:46 am »
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In 2000, 40% of Alabama voters opposed ending the constitutional ban on mixed-race marriages

In 2004, 50.1 percent of voters opposed a 2004 measure to remove a constitutional provision mandating segregated public schools for "white and colored children"


Sounds like the Real America to me.
Sarah Palin would be proud.
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Bob Findley: "You're a real dyed-in-the-wool son-of-a-bitch. Anyone ever told you that?"
Steve Everett: "Just close friends and family,"

Clint Eastwood's "True Crime", 1999.
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« Reply #36 on: March 02, 2009, 08:59:54 pm »
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Didn't Davis say he would have an announcement for us in February?
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Obama High's debate team:

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« Reply #37 on: March 02, 2009, 09:02:01 pm »
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Alabama is definitely the most solidly Republican Southern state.

I could see Mississippi going Dem before Alabama.
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Rob
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« Reply #38 on: March 02, 2009, 11:50:35 pm »
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I could see Mississippi going Dem before Alabama.

Alabama has a larger population of "populist"-leaning white voters who might, theoretically, at some point in the future, be more inclined to support a Democratic presidential candidate. Alabama also has a larger population of socially "moderate" (not "moderate" in the normal sense of the term, but not proudly racist) suburban whites who might, theoretically, etc.
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Here’s what Sarah Palin represents: being a fat fucking pig who pins “Country First” buttons on his man titties and chants “U-S-A! U-S-A!” at the top of his lungs while his kids live off credit cards and Saudis buy up all the mortgages in Kansas.
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« Reply #39 on: March 03, 2009, 12:24:16 am »
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I could see Mississippi going Dem before Alabama.

Alabama has a larger population of "populist"-leaning white voters who might, theoretically, at some point in the future, be more inclined to support a Democratic presidential candidate. Alabama also has a larger population of socially "moderate" (not "moderate" in the normal sense of the term, but not proudly racist) suburban whites who might, theoretically, etc.

Not in the South. Georgia is full of those "moderate" types, and they're the strongest Republican voters in the state.
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PR
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« Reply #40 on: March 03, 2009, 12:26:03 am »
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I could see Mississippi going Dem before Alabama.

Alabama has a larger population of "populist"-leaning white voters who might, theoretically, at some point in the future, be more inclined to support a Democratic presidential candidate. Alabama also has a larger population of socially "moderate" (not "moderate" in the normal sense of the term, but not proudly racist) suburban whites who might, theoretically, etc.

Maybe, but Mississippi has a proportionally larger black population.
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Rob
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« Reply #41 on: March 03, 2009, 12:28:24 am »
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Not in the South. Georgia is full of those "moderate" types, and they're the strongest Republican voters in the state.
That's why I said "theoretically, at some point in the future..."
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Here’s what Sarah Palin represents: being a fat fucking pig who pins “Country First” buttons on his man titties and chants “U-S-A! U-S-A!” at the top of his lungs while his kids live off credit cards and Saudis buy up all the mortgages in Kansas.
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« Reply #42 on: March 07, 2009, 08:08:42 am »
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In 2000, 40% of Alabama voters opposed ending the constitutional ban on mixed-race marriages

In 2004, 50.1 percent of voters opposed a 2004 measure to remove a constitutional provision mandating segregated public schools for "white and colored children"


Wait, what? There was a constitutional ban on mixed-race marriages in Alabama all the way up to 2000?

I'd be surprised if Davis managed to win, although it's not entirely out of the realm of possibility. Considering the state, he'd be the best governor a Democrat could hope for.
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Lunar
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« Reply #43 on: March 07, 2009, 09:08:29 pm »
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In 2000, 40% of Alabama voters opposed ending the constitutional ban on mixed-race marriages

In 2004, 50.1 percent of voters opposed a 2004 measure to remove a constitutional provision mandating segregated public schools for "white and colored children"


Wait, what? There was a constitutional ban on mixed-race marriages in Alabama all the way up to 2000?

I'd be surprised if Davis managed to win, although it's not entirely out of the realm of possibility. Considering the state, he'd be the best governor a Democrat could hope for.

indeed http://www.cnn.com/US/9903/12/interracial.marriage/
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Lunar
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« Reply #44 on: March 08, 2009, 03:34:36 pm »
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http://www.politicalparlor.net/wp/2009/03/06/ron-sparks-plan-announcement-for-lg-race/

The white Agricultural Commissioner Ron Sparks is going to challenge Davis in what will likely be a pretty basic racial primary.



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RBH
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« Reply #45 on: March 08, 2009, 04:17:25 pm »
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Uh. No.

Sparks is running for Lt. Gov

Folsom may run against Davis for Governor, or for the Senate.
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RBH
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« Reply #46 on: March 08, 2009, 04:31:02 pm »
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oops, I don't know why I said that.

braindead
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bgwah
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« Reply #47 on: April 01, 2009, 06:10:14 pm »
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Folsom is going for re-election as Lt. Governor instead of running for Governor.

Is there any chance Roy Moore will run again?
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Lunar
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« Reply #48 on: April 01, 2009, 07:18:07 pm »
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So that eliminates Davis's top two contenders.  That should set himself up to be very strongly favored to be the Democratic nominee.  So Sparks will challenge Folsom?
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Lunar
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« Reply #49 on: April 01, 2009, 07:22:47 pm »
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http://times-journal.com/story.lasso?ewcd=72cbeff9728a2af8&-session=FPTJ:42F943EB09cad2769EVXW3C9F801

nevermind, Sparks has decided to be the white guy in this race.

“I will not run against Jim Folsom,” said Sparks, who would not elaborate on his statement.

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