Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 17, 2014, 04:38:14 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections (Moderator: Joe Republic)
| | |-+  Alabama
« previous next »
Pages: 1 [2] 3 4 5 Print
Author Topic: Alabama  (Read 16400 times)
BeccaM
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1106
United States


View Profile
« Reply #25 on: January 28, 2009, 02:03:52 pm »
Ignore

A black vs spinster race in Alabama would be fun
Logged

bgwah
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13658
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.03, S: -6.96

View Profile
« Reply #26 on: January 28, 2009, 02:11:57 pm »
Ignore

I dunno, I could see Davis narrowly winning against someone like Moore...
Logged

Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 32022
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -6.09

P P P

View Profile
« Reply #27 on: January 28, 2009, 02:14:55 pm »
Ignore

A black vs spinster race in Alabama would be fun

Maybe 45% is the best I can imagine for Davis.

He would need about 35% of Whites to win. Obama got 10% - half what Kerry got - despite a 5-point national swing among Whites.

It would be really stunning if he'd win.
Logged
Holmes
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6853
Canada


View Profile
« Reply #28 on: January 28, 2009, 02:18:02 pm »
Ignore

Are the primiaries in Alabama open or closed? If they closed, I wonder if the Dixies vote in them...
Logged

Bacon King
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 15518
United States Minor Outlying Islands


View Profile
« Reply #29 on: January 28, 2009, 02:28:15 pm »
Ignore

Is Darryl W. Perry running?
Logged


BK without all the crazy drugs just wouldn't be BK.
Bacon King: 1.  You're cute, in a weird Tom Wopat kind of way.
BeccaM
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1106
United States


View Profile
« Reply #30 on: January 28, 2009, 02:41:03 pm »
Ignore

Davis is different from Obama. He's well known and generally respected in the state, so the "can we trust this Chicago black man named B. Hussein O." isn't as much of an issue.

It'd still be an uphill battle, but he has a chance depending on who his opponent is.
Logged

Franzl
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21404
Germany


View Profile
« Reply #31 on: January 28, 2009, 02:42:50 pm »
Ignore

Is Darryl W. Perry running?

maybe he'll get 50 votes this time around?
Logged
BushArizona
jamespol
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3690


Political Matrix
E: 0.12, S: 2.62

View Profile
« Reply #32 on: January 28, 2009, 03:04:54 pm »
Ignore

Davis will win. Unlike Obama.. I will support davis during the whole campaign season against Roy Moore.. and will predict his win, regardless of what ""polling" says.
Logged
Lunar
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30619
Ireland, Republic of
View Profile
« Reply #33 on: February 03, 2009, 02:46:45 am »
Ignore

I'm intrigued by this.  Artur Davis is completely aware of what he's doing and the challenges involved.  He knows he's quite young in this career and giving up a plum job in the House for what is at best a tossup race.

Artur is a smart Harvard guy, I think there's a legitimate reason somewhere that he can win this but I can't really understand what that is.
Logged

this is real
Comrade Sibboleth
Realpolitik
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 55444
Saint Helena


View Profile WWW
« Reply #34 on: February 03, 2009, 07:02:26 am »
Ignore

I see no reason to assume that he "must" know what he's doing just because he went to a posh uni.
Logged



Richard Hoggart 1918-2014
Lunar
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30619
Ireland, Republic of
View Profile
« Reply #35 on: February 03, 2009, 12:34:18 pm »
Ignore

I see no reason to assume that he "must" know what he's doing just because he went to a posh uni.

That wasn't really critical to my theory.  More important factors include his age, the seat he's giving up, the obviousness of what he "must" know, and my perceived intelligence of him outside of his scholarly history
Logged

this is real
Lunar
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30619
Ireland, Republic of
View Profile
« Reply #36 on: February 07, 2009, 11:18:20 am »
Ignore

In 2000, 40% of Alabama voters opposed ending the constitutional ban on mixed-race marriages

In 2004, 50.1 percent of voters opposed a 2004 measure to remove a constitutional provision mandating segregated public schools for "white and colored children"
« Last Edit: February 07, 2009, 11:21:08 am by Lunar »Logged

this is real
Landslide Lyndon
px75
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9067
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: -5.22

View Profile
« Reply #37 on: February 07, 2009, 11:44:46 am »
Ignore

In 2000, 40% of Alabama voters opposed ending the constitutional ban on mixed-race marriages

In 2004, 50.1 percent of voters opposed a 2004 measure to remove a constitutional provision mandating segregated public schools for "white and colored children"


Sounds like the Real America to me.
Sarah Palin would be proud.
Logged

Bob Findley: "You're a real dyed-in-the-wool son-of-a-bitch. Anyone ever told you that?"
Steve Everett: "Just close friends and family,"

Clint Eastwood's "True Crime", 1999.
Mideast Assemblyman Ben
benconstine
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30378
United States


View Profile
« Reply #38 on: March 02, 2009, 08:59:54 pm »
Ignore

Didn't Davis say he would have an announcement for us in February?
Logged

Obama High's debate team:

"Now let me be clear...I...I...um...uh...now let me be clear.  I strongly condemn the affirmative in the strongest possible terms, and I am closely monitoring their arguments.  Let me be clear on this."
Less-Progressivism, More Realism
Progressive Realist
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5345
United States


View Profile
« Reply #39 on: March 02, 2009, 09:02:01 pm »
Ignore

Alabama is definitely the most solidly Republican Southern state.

I could see Mississippi going Dem before Alabama.
Logged

Ready 4 Reform.
Rob
Bob
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6321
United States
Political Matrix
E: -6.32, S: -9.39

View Profile
« Reply #40 on: March 02, 2009, 11:50:35 pm »
Ignore

I could see Mississippi going Dem before Alabama.

Alabama has a larger population of "populist"-leaning white voters who might, theoretically, at some point in the future, be more inclined to support a Democratic presidential candidate. Alabama also has a larger population of socially "moderate" (not "moderate" in the normal sense of the term, but not proudly racist) suburban whites who might, theoretically, etc.
Logged

Here’s what Sarah Palin represents: being a fat fucking pig who pins “Country First” buttons on his man titties and chants “U-S-A! U-S-A!” at the top of his lungs while his kids live off credit cards and Saudis buy up all the mortgages in Kansas.
a combination of tumblr leftism and moshing
BRTD
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 70910
Sweden


View Profile
« Reply #41 on: March 03, 2009, 12:24:16 am »
Ignore

I could see Mississippi going Dem before Alabama.

Alabama has a larger population of "populist"-leaning white voters who might, theoretically, at some point in the future, be more inclined to support a Democratic presidential candidate. Alabama also has a larger population of socially "moderate" (not "moderate" in the normal sense of the term, but not proudly racist) suburban whites who might, theoretically, etc.

Not in the South. Georgia is full of those "moderate" types, and they're the strongest Republican voters in the state.
Logged

Famous True Leftists:

Less-Progressivism, More Realism
Progressive Realist
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5345
United States


View Profile
« Reply #42 on: March 03, 2009, 12:26:03 am »
Ignore

I could see Mississippi going Dem before Alabama.

Alabama has a larger population of "populist"-leaning white voters who might, theoretically, at some point in the future, be more inclined to support a Democratic presidential candidate. Alabama also has a larger population of socially "moderate" (not "moderate" in the normal sense of the term, but not proudly racist) suburban whites who might, theoretically, etc.

Maybe, but Mississippi has a proportionally larger black population.
Logged

Ready 4 Reform.
Rob
Bob
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6321
United States
Political Matrix
E: -6.32, S: -9.39

View Profile
« Reply #43 on: March 03, 2009, 12:28:24 am »
Ignore

Not in the South. Georgia is full of those "moderate" types, and they're the strongest Republican voters in the state.
That's why I said "theoretically, at some point in the future..."
Logged

Here’s what Sarah Palin represents: being a fat fucking pig who pins “Country First” buttons on his man titties and chants “U-S-A! U-S-A!” at the top of his lungs while his kids live off credit cards and Saudis buy up all the mortgages in Kansas.
The Ex-Factor
xfactor99
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 879
Viet Nam


Political Matrix
E: -4.00, S: -6.10

View Profile
« Reply #44 on: March 07, 2009, 08:08:42 am »
Ignore

In 2000, 40% of Alabama voters opposed ending the constitutional ban on mixed-race marriages

In 2004, 50.1 percent of voters opposed a 2004 measure to remove a constitutional provision mandating segregated public schools for "white and colored children"


Wait, what? There was a constitutional ban on mixed-race marriages in Alabama all the way up to 2000?

I'd be surprised if Davis managed to win, although it's not entirely out of the realm of possibility. Considering the state, he'd be the best governor a Democrat could hope for.
Logged
Lunar
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30619
Ireland, Republic of
View Profile
« Reply #45 on: March 07, 2009, 09:08:29 pm »
Ignore

In 2000, 40% of Alabama voters opposed ending the constitutional ban on mixed-race marriages

In 2004, 50.1 percent of voters opposed a 2004 measure to remove a constitutional provision mandating segregated public schools for "white and colored children"


Wait, what? There was a constitutional ban on mixed-race marriages in Alabama all the way up to 2000?

I'd be surprised if Davis managed to win, although it's not entirely out of the realm of possibility. Considering the state, he'd be the best governor a Democrat could hope for.

indeed http://www.cnn.com/US/9903/12/interracial.marriage/
Logged

this is real
Lunar
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30619
Ireland, Republic of
View Profile
« Reply #46 on: March 08, 2009, 03:34:36 pm »
Ignore

http://www.politicalparlor.net/wp/2009/03/06/ron-sparks-plan-announcement-for-lg-race/

The white Agricultural Commissioner Ron Sparks is going to challenge Davis in what will likely be a pretty basic racial primary.



« Last Edit: March 08, 2009, 04:31:16 pm by Lunar »Logged

this is real
RBH
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2068


View Profile
« Reply #47 on: March 08, 2009, 04:17:25 pm »
Ignore

Uh. No.

Sparks is running for Lt. Gov

Folsom may run against Davis for Governor, or for the Senate.
Logged

RBH
Lunar
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30619
Ireland, Republic of
View Profile
« Reply #48 on: March 08, 2009, 04:31:02 pm »
Ignore

oops, I don't know why I said that.

braindead
Logged

this is real
bgwah
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13658
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.03, S: -6.96

View Profile
« Reply #49 on: April 01, 2009, 06:10:14 pm »
Ignore

Folsom is going for re-election as Lt. Governor instead of running for Governor.

Is there any chance Roy Moore will run again?
Logged

Pages: 1 [2] 3 4 5 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2013, Simple Machines