NYC - Map of results by Assembly District; now with added Queens!

[nclib]

2008 or 2000? (it refers to Obama and McCain, but is in the 2000 forum)

Anyhow, I'm surprised there are several assembly districts in Brooklyn voting for McCain. Do you know anything about them, Al?

[nclib]

A little insight re: the McCain areas in Brooklyn...

From the upper-left going to the lower right are Bay Ridge (Norwegian/Irish/mixed-white), Borough Park (Jewish), Midwood (Jewish), Bensonhurst (Italian), Bath Beach (Italian), Gravesend (Italian), Marine Park (Irish), Sheepshead Bay (mixed-white), and Brighton Beach and Manhattan Beach (Russian/Ukrainian Jews; aka "Little Odessa"). 

The two Obama areas surrounded by McCain areas in Brooklyn are Dyker Heights (mixed-white; affluent) and Coney Island (Black/Hispanic).

Do you know how this matches up with Congressional districts? I saw on swingstateproject that McCain won Brooklyn's portion of NY-8, NY-9, and came close in Brooklyn's portion of NY-13.

[nclib]

Have difficulty believing that McCain won NY-8; Kerry won it by like 45pts and it includes some really, really strong districts for Obama with higher turnouts than the Hassidic areas in Brooklyn. NY-9 is possible, I guess, though we need Queens figures to tell.

I think he meant the Brooklyn areas of NY-8 and NY-9. Bush probably won the Brooklyn areas of NY-9, too. The Queens part is where the Democrats are.

Correct, the Brooklyn portions of each. Though in both cases, Brooklyn's portions of votes were small. In addition to Queens being Democratic, most of NY-8 is in Manhattan, including some heavily Democratic areas.

[nclib]

I figured I'd post NYC's CD results, courtesy of swingstateproject. Some of these are quite intriguing. Obviously the majority black/hispanic districts (6, 10, 11, 12, 15, 16) were overwhelmingly Democratic, but here are the others:

(Obama percent first)

5   Queens (pt.)   67.02%   32.27%   

Also includes Nassau


.
   7      79.12%   20.37%   

.
   Bronx (pt.)   81.89%   17.73%   

.
   Queens (pt.)   74.00%   25.28%   
                           

.
   8      73.70%   25.45%   

.
   Brooklyn (pt.)   44.07%   55.31%   

.
   Manhattan (pt.)   85.55%   13.51%   

.
   9      55.32%   43.92%   

.
   Brooklyn (pt.)   42.16%   57.19%   

.
   Queens (pt.)   60.57%   38.62%   
   

.
   13      48.74%   50.56%   

.
   Brooklyn (pt.)   52.00%   47.18%   

.
   Staten Island   47.64%   51.70%   

.
   14      78.19%   20.92%   

.
   Manhattan (pt.)   77.43%   21.74%   

.
   Queens (pt.)   80.90%   18.05%   
                           

.
   17      Bronx (pt.)   86.87%   12.69%   

   though most of NY-17 is outside NYC.

-------

I am surprised that NY-7 was more Democratic than NY-8 and NY-14, since the latter two contain some very liberal parts of Manhattan. Also, NY-9 (consisting of parts of Brooklyn and Queens) was only 55.32% Obama. NY-9 had a large GOP swing from 2000 to 2004, which I had assumed was mainly a 9-11 bounce, but Obama ran slightly behind Kerry. Can anyone explain Obama's poor performance in this area.

[nclib]

QUEENS ADDED

I think Obama's best district was 57; McCain polled like 1% there. McCain's best was 48. Both are in Brooklyn and there's only one district between them. I think 48 is Dov Hikind's district.

If the lines look a little wonky in places it's because I drew the district outlines myself and racial gerrymandering is as evil to draw on such a small scale as it is morally.

^ Pretty sure those are Orthodox Jewish neighborhoods. I think the dark blue one is Boro/Borough Park. I would recommend reading about it on Wikipedia if you're curious.

I think the southernmost part of Brooklyn might be more like Staten Island--working class whites, probably mostly of Italian and Irish ancestry. But I'm not positive on that.

Basically, these are areas that aren't going to like a black guy named Hussein.

I think this map is worth reposting now:


Green=White
Blue=Black
Red=Hispanic
Yellow=Asian
White=No majority

I know the scales are off, but does anyone know which ADs were among Obama's best in majority-white ADs?

[nclib]

Obama's best in white ADs:

AD       borough             Obama    McCain      
69   Manhattan    91.17%   7.96%
52   Brooklyn    90.85%   8.18%
66   Manhattan    88.10%   10.79%
67   Manhattan    84.30%   14.85%
74   Manhattan    84.19%   14.80%   

Anyone have more details on these...

[nclib]

Are you two sure AD 69 is white majority? Yes, Morningside Heights is white-majority, but Manhattan Valley is overwhelmingly minority, and I can't imagine Morningside Heights being more than 60% or so white. (I suppose if you include Hispanic whites in the total as opposed to as a separate category, AD 69 might be majority white.) Plus, that district has Manhattanville, too, and Manhattanville has almost no whites at all.

It is actually white-plurality according to the 2000 census (can't find more recent data). White + Asian would put it over 50% keeping in mind that Asians reflect voting patterns of an area moreso than blacks or Hispanics.