When will the GOP start rising again?

[Joe Biden 2020]

When will the National Republican Party begin the turn around and rise back to national prominence, again?

Note:  This is not when they will retake either Chamber of Congress or the White House, but it is just when they will actually gain seats in Congress, even if its just a net gain of 1 or 2 seats.

[Joe Biden 2020]

When will the National Republican Party begin the turn around and rise back to national prominence, again?

Note:  This is not when they will retake either Chamber of Congress or the White House, but it is just when they will actually gain seats in Congress, even if its just a net gain of 1 or 2 seats.

I actually chose the 2010 mid terms.  I think the Republican Party has already hit rock bottom and has no where to go but up.  The odds are against them in 2010, although not as bad as they were in 2006 or 2008.  I suspect the Republican Party will use the next 18 months or so to get their heads together and figure out what's gone wrong the past four years.  Hopefully, they got the problem out of there and that problem is back in Crawford, Texas.

[justfollowingtheelections]

Why are you replying to yourself?  And why does a guy who calls himself BushOklahoma have a Democratic avatar?

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

In 2010 one of two things will happen: Either Obama and the Democrats in Congress fail to get a program going, in which case they will face serious backlash, or Obama and the Democrats in Congress succeed in getting a program going, in which case they will face serious backlash.

The Democrats have a rock solid hold on the Senate, and I can't see the GOP picking up any more than 4 seats unless Obama really screws the pooch.  But the GOP could make substantial gains in the House.  There are a lot of Democrats hailing from GOP PVI CDs.

[opebo]

People won't start to forget their vulnerability to the depression until 2014 at the earliest.  Economic conditions will actually continue to get worse through all of 2010, and then stagnate for at least a couple of more years. 

[Purple State]

Assuming Obama succeeds (and I do), I don't think there will be any gains for Republicans until 2014 midterms. You will have a bungled message in 2010, Obama's coattails in 2012, and finally the rise of moderate pragmatist Republicans in 2014 with the beginnings of a new Republican message.

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

2010.  I really don't see where we'd lose any more seats.

[Rob]

In a perfect world, the GOP would continue to lose seats until the only states still electing Republicans- Utah, Idaho, Oklahoma, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama- could be kicked out of the US. At this point, with the Christian Nationalist Party neutralized, America could move forward.

But as we all know, this world is far from perfect. The GOP may be perverted beyond all recognition from what it started as (even from what it was fifty years ago), but there is still a base of people out there who will continue to support it. I say the Republicans will lose a couple of Senate seats in 2010, gain a few House seats, and lose more seats in both Houses in 2012.

("Predicting" elections that far out is pointless but fun )

[J. J.]

They already picked up the runoff in GA Senate and an LA House.  That was to be expected, however.

I would expect gains in both the House and Senate in 2010.

[they don't love you like i love you]

They already picked up the runoff in GA Senate

They picked up a seat by having one of their incumbents win a runoff?

...oh wait, look who I'm talking to. LMAO.

[Eraserhead]

2010.  I really don't see where we'd lose any more seats.

I'd take another look then.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

All I keep hearing is that the Dems have an advantage in 2010 cause the GOP has more seats up. The GOP has 19 and The Dems 16(thanks to Joe Biden being elected V.P.) The Dems overcame similar disadvantage in 2006 and gained seats despite having more seats to defend. In 2012 that class will have had 2 straight Dem election years(2000, 2006). The GOP only controlls 9 seats in 2012 all the others are Dems or a Sanders or Lieberman.  Even though Obama will be running for reelection it would be stupid to let this golden opportunity slip by.

[Brittain33]

They will likely net some seats in the House in 2010, but it still won't be a comeback. Just a settling in at a low level until the real comeback.

[Torie]

They will likely net some seats in the House in 2010, but it still won't be a comeback. Just a settling in at a low level until the real comeback.

Yup. I think that is the top of the bell curve projection at the moment.

[CARLHAYDEN]

Suggest everyone watch Virginia this year.

[paul718]

I say 2012.  While I think Obama is likely to be re-elected (barring extreme circumstances), I could see the GOP realizing a net gain in Congress.  In 2010, the GOP will still have a negative connotation with the majority of voters, which won't change until 2012 at the earliest. 

[perdedor]

They'll become more relevant when people start forgetting the Bush years and what they entailed. In other words, no time soon. 2010 will not be good for them, barring disaster.

[Matt Damon™]

2010. Based on Obama's leftward swing we could see a repeat of 1993-94.

[Kaine for Senate '18]

2014 Midterms.  I don't call anything less than 10 seats "rising", I call it merely winning seats you shouldn't have lost in the first place.

[Marokai Backbeat]

2014 Midterms.  I don't call anything less than 10 seats "rising", I call it merely winning seats you shouldn't have lost in the first place.

Going to have to agree. When I saw the topic I immediately thought "Well probably 2012 or 2014."

Sorry topic author, but winning a handful of seats isn't really a "rise."

[Governor PiT]

When they eliminate the Neo-con Zionist Threat.

http://neoconzionistthreat.blogspot.com/

[© tweed]

they probably will make marginal gains in the HoR in 2010 as a bit of a 'market correction' but Dems appear likely to gain a Senate supermajority in the same cycle.  2012 logically would provide the Republicans with a decent opportunity to make gains in the Senate but Obama will be headlining the Dem ticket, and is currently about a 1:2 favorite to win re-election, so...