The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread

[Tender Branson]

no more polls of surveyUSA?? CA?WA?KS?

No, there have been no October polls.

Maybe they have dropped them, because they were utterly ridiculous.

[Tender Branson]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 47%, +2.
Disapprove 52%, -1.

"Strongly Approve" is at 22%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 38%, -2.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 47%, +2.
Disapprove 52%, -1.

"Strongly Approve" is at 22%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 38%, -2.

Thanks, here is the link:  http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/obama_approval_index_history

[The Vorlon]

A mild Obama bump in the polls...

Doing an apples to apples comparison and taking the current RCP average versus the same poll from (about) a month ago.....

Rasmussen Reports 11/5 - 11/7 1500 LV 45 54 -9 (Unchanged at -9 versus October 1st)

Gallup 11/4 - 11/6 1500 A 43 50 -7 (Unchanged at -7 from October 1st)

NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl  44 51 -7 (unchanged at-7 net as Oct 10th poll)

ABC News/Wash Post 10/31 - 11/3 1004 A 44 53 -9 (Gain of 3 % net from October 2nd poll)

Reuters/Ipsos 10/31 - 11/3 1106 A 49 50 -1 (gain of 2% from October 10th poll)

Quinnipiac 10/25 - 10/31 2294 RV 47 49 -2 (Gain of 12% from October 3rd poll)

FOX News 10/23 - 10/25 904 RV 43 50 -7 (Gain of 1% from September 27th poll)

How does the Sesame Street song go... "One of these things, is not like the others....."

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 45%, -2.

Disapprove 54%, +2.

"Strongly Approve" is at 21%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 39%, +1.

I am going to be very busy in the next week; could someone else get this.

[Tender Branson]

Ayres, McHenry & Associates (R):

50% Approve
47% Disapprove

Results are based on 1000 weighted cases, Margin of Error = ±3.10 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.

http://www.resurgentrepublic.com/system/assets/436/original/RR_Nov_2011_Year_Out_Toplines.pdf

[BigSkyBob]

Rasmussen

Strong Approval:      22%
Strong Disapproval:  40%

Total Approval:         45%
Total Disapproval:     53%

[The Vorlon]

Ayres, McHenry & Associates (R):

50% Approve
47% Disapprove

Results are based on 1000 weighted cases, Margin of Error = ±3.10 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.

http://www.resurgentrepublic.com/system/assets/436/original/RR_Nov_2011_Year_Out_Toplines.pdf

An interesting poll.

They ask the "approval question" quite deep into the survey after having presented the GOP and Dem positions on a variety of issues.

Because of this, this poll is "kinda" a very mild version of a "push poll" - I am not saying this in a negative way BTW, in campaigns it is standard procedure to present a variety of issues and see if the presentation of these issues impacts the "horse race question" as a way of testing campaign themes.

Given that it has been quite a while since Obama has a net positive approval rating in any poll, this poll suggests, at least as presented in this survey, that Obama can make up a bit of ground "on the issues" and that the policy issues , at least as framed in this poll,  are more popular than he is personally.

[Tender Branson]

CA (Rasmussen):

49% Approve
48% Disapprove

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/california/california_obama_45_generic_republican_41

FL (Rasmussen):

47% Approve
52% Disapprove

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/florida/in_florida_obama_trails_generic_republican_by_six

...

Missouri Senate numbers out later today.

[pbrower2a]

Ayres, McHenry & Associates (R):

50% Approve
47% Disapprove

Results are based on 1000 weighted cases, Margin of Error = ±3.10 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.

http://www.resurgentrepublic.com/system/assets/436/original/RR_Nov_2011_Year_Out_Toplines.pdf

An interesting poll.

They ask the "approval question" quite deep into the survey after having presented the GOP and Dem positions on a variety of issues.

Because of this, this poll is "kinda" a very mild version of a "push poll" - I am not saying this in a negative way BTW, in campaigns it is standard procedure to present a variety of issues and see if the presentation of these issues impacts the "horse race question" as a way of testing campaign themes.

Given that it has been quite a while since Obama has a net positive approval rating in any poll, this poll suggests, at least as presented in this survey, that Obama can make up a bit of ground "on the issues" and that the policy issues , at least as framed in this poll,  are more popular than he is personally.

The President is doing fine on everything but the economy.  Of course, it is questionable that anyone can get the sort of results that most of us want... fast. Only a fool believes that the President can win re-election on  inertia alone. So there is a little good news... maybe not enough. Of course, Hoover was a fine President on about everything but economic performance.

Some Republican could offer a "secret fifteen-point plan for growing our way out of the Obama Depression", and if people are desperate enough they will fall for it. The best thing about some such plans is that there is no plan; second-best would be that it would be fifteen trivialities. The worst thing about such a plan is that there might be good reasons for keeping its contents secret. Almost nobody wants a huge reduction in living standards for himself so that someone far away and far better-off can get richer.

 

     

[Senator Sbane]

Ayres, McHenry & Associates (R):

50% Approve
47% Disapprove

Results are based on 1000 weighted cases, Margin of Error = ±3.10 percent. Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.

http://www.resurgentrepublic.com/system/assets/436/original/RR_Nov_2011_Year_Out_Toplines.pdf

An interesting poll.

They ask the "approval question" quite deep into the survey after having presented the GOP and Dem positions on a variety of issues.

Because of this, this poll is "kinda" a very mild version of a "push poll" - I am not saying this in a negative way BTW, in campaigns it is standard procedure to present a variety of issues and see if the presentation of these issues impacts the "horse race question" as a way of testing campaign themes.

Given that it has been quite a while since Obama has a net positive approval rating in any poll, this poll suggests, at least as presented in this survey, that Obama can make up a bit of ground "on the issues" and that the policy issues , at least as framed in this poll,  are more popular than he is personally.

I think this should have been obvious by looking at how well Hillary Clinton does in head to head match ups against the Republican field. Not a lot of polls have come out with that match up though, but it's still very interesting.

[The Vorlon]

The President is doing fine on everything but the economy.
    

And last night Rick Perry did just fine, other than that one question.....

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=loBe0WXtts8

[Tender Branson]

Rasmussen:

46% Approve (+1)
53% Disapprove (nc)

23% Strongly Approve (+1)
40% Strongly Disapprove (nc)

New data will be released today for specific presidential match-ups in Missouri and a generic match-up in Ohio.

...

Oh come on Scott, dump these stupid "generic matchups" and poll real matchups in different states instead ...

[Tender Branson]

Ohio (Rasmussen):

46% Approve
54% Disapprove

Ohio voters currently favor a Generic Republican over the president by a 46% to 41% margin. Four percent (4%) prefer a third option, while 10% are undecided.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/ohio/election_2012_ohio_generic_presidential_ballot

[Tender Branson]

JJ seems to be absent, so:

Rasmussen:

47% Approve (+1)
52% Disapprove (-1)

22% Strongly Approve (-1)
39% Strongly Disapprove (-1)

[Tender Branson]

JJ seems to be absent, so:

Rasmussen:

48% Approve (+1)
51% Disapprove (-1)

22% Strongly Approve (nc)
38% Strongly Disapprove (-1)

[You kip if you want to...]

JJ seems to be absent, so:

Rasmussen:

48% Approve (+1)
51% Disapprove (-1)

22% Strongly Approve (nc)
38% Strongly Disapprove (-1)

Could BHO be above water by next Sunday, or atleast have broke even for a day or so, do we think?

[J. J.]

I'll try to get back tomorrow.

Obama was at 43% on Gallup, which is survivable. 

[Tender Branson]

JJ seems to be absent, so:

Rasmussen:

48% Approve (+1)
51% Disapprove (-1)

22% Strongly Approve (nc)
38% Strongly Disapprove (-1)

Could BHO be above water by next Sunday, or atleast have broke even for a day or so, do we think?

You got it right:

Rasmussen:

50% Approve (+2)
49% Disapprove (-2)

23% Strongly Approve (+1)
38% Strongly Disapprove (nc)

"That’s the first time since June that the president has reached the 50% mark."

New numbers for a match-up with former House Speaker Newt Gingrich and President Obama will be released today at noon Eastern.

Tomorrow, we will release updated numbers on a match-up between Herman Cain and the president.

Numbers for Pennsylvania will be released today at 1:00 p.m. Eastern.

[oakvale]

Huh. Obama seems to be on an upward trend, although Rasmussen (of all pollsters!) have him a few points higher than everyone else.

[Lief]

Rasmussen's poll today is the first poll (from any firm) to find Obama with positive national approvals since July.

[kingthlayer]

I'm not really sure what is fueling Obama's uptick. Messaging on the jobs bill? Support for ending the Iraq war? Warm and fuzzy holiday goodyfeelings?

The economy sucks, yet Obama rises to 50%. Just seems counter intuitive.

[Angel of Death]

It could be that people's opinion about the state of the GOP primary is subconsciously influencing their approval of Obama.

[Swing low, sweet chariot. Comin' for to carry me home.]

It could be that people's opinion about the state of the GOP primary is subconsciously influencing their approval of Obama.

yep...the Cain scandal is helping Obama...and Libya

[Nagas]

I'm not really sure what is fueling Obama's uptick. Messaging on the jobs bill? Support for ending the Iraq war? Warm and fuzzy holiday goodyfeelings?

The economy sucks, yet Obama rises to 50%. Just seems counter intuitive.

Better than expected economic data keeps happening (it's not that much better but an improvement is an improvement), Libya, and a pathetic GOP field works well in his favor.