The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread

[ajb]

That's still bad especially for Huffington Post.

Actually, all the Huffington Post is doing there is compiling a list of all the polls that are out there. I would have given you a list from RealClearPolitics instead, but they don't seem to have a page listing approval ratings on the economy for Obama.
And you're right, Obama's numbers on the economy aren't great (though the trend is positive). I could pick a few that look pretty good, you could pick some that are pretty awful, but hopefully we'd both agree that it's the average that's more useful.
It's just easier to have a discussion about the actual recent numbers, rather than about one poll from eleven months ago.

[Tidewater_Wave]

You're right. I was off on that poll. Usually I don't check the dates because the more recent ones come up first when searching. Polls now don't mean anything for the election in November, but do indicate what candidates need to do from now until then.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 47%, u.

Disapprove 51%, -1.

"Strongly Approve" is at 26%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at  41%, -1.

[Yank2133]

http://weaselzippers.us/2011/04/28/poll-americans-disapproval-of-obamas-handling-of-economy-hits-fresh-high-57/

The longer he babbles about birth control the more women will turn against him on other issues such as the economy. As that goes on it will lead to actual votes in the fall. Obama just doesn't have it with the ladies anymore.

That poll is from April 2011.

You are really a troll, right?

Please describe for me in depth detail how you get that I'm a troll? Is it because I dared to say that Obama may struggle for votes that have traditionally been female? Is it because I don't stand by as a cheerleader for Obama? Is it because I don't walk in line with the liberal media?

You posted a poll from a year ago that is why everyone thinks your a troll. Public perception is consistently changing, a poll from a month ago is outdated......but to cite a poll from April 2011......seriously?

GOP hacks are getting desperate then.

[J. J.]

Gallup Daily:  http://www.gallup.com/poll/124922/Presidential-Job-Approval-Center.aspx

Approve:  45%, -4.

Disapprove:  49%, +3.

Everyone in unison:

If you don't like Obama's numbers on Gallup, just wait a few days. 

[Obviously, a bad sample in there someplace.]

[argentarius]

I really don't see the point of this poll anymore. It's telling us nothing.

[J. J.]

I really don't see the point of this poll anymore. It's telling us nothing.

Longer term, like the weekly, it does. 

[Lief]

Any poll that has a sudden 7-point shift in one day for no reason is trash, sorry.

[Tidewater_Wave]

Any poll that has a sudden 7-point shift in one day for no reason is trash, sorry.

Even if it's the GOP Presidential candidate losing 7 points? You don't think there is a single thing such as the housing market collapse or 9/11 that can turn the country's mood by 7 points?

[Lief]

That's why I said for no reason. As far as I know, there was no huge cataclysmic event yesterday that would have seven percent of the country to change their mind on Obama. And yes, if Obama was tied with Romney on one day and then suddenly leading him by 7 the next day, without some big event, then I would say the poll is suspect as well.

[Tidewater_Wave]

That's why I said for no reason. As far as I know, there was no huge cataclysmic event yesterday that would have seven percent of the country to change their mind on Obama. And yes, if Obama was tied with Romney on one day and then suddenly leading him by 7 the next day, without some big event, then I would say the poll is suspect as well.

Ok that's true then. My fault if I misunderstood. 7 points is understandable in a week but not a day. One thing that is overlooked in polling though is the margin of error.

[J. J.]

Any poll that has a sudden 7-point shift in one day for no reason is trash, sorry.

It's probably just a bad set of numbers coming in or dropping out.

On the weekly, the biggest shift has been 3 points.

[BigSkyBob]

That's why I said for no reason. As far as I know, there was no huge cataclysmic event yesterday that would have seven percent of the country to change their mind on Obama. And yes, if Obama was tied with Romney on one day and then suddenly leading him by 7 the next day, without some big event, then I would say the poll is suspect as well.

Greece defaulted on restructured their debt a few days ago. Subsequently, the markets, and media, have shrugged off the largest dollar default ever.

[Tender Branson]

Allstate/National Journal poll:

51% Approve
45% Disapprove

The president's numbers among independents are now positive (49%-47%), an improvement since December 2011 (38%-52%).

http://syndication.nationaljournal.com/communications/Allstate%20National%20Journal%20Heartland%20Monitor%20XII%20TOPLINE.pdf

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 49%, +2.

Disapprove 49%, +2.

"Strongly Approve" is at 27%, +1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at  39%, -2.

[J. J.]

Gallup Daily:  http://www.gallup.com/poll/124922/Presidential-Job-Approval-Center.aspx

Approve:  44%, -1.

Disapprove:  50%, +1.

Probably a bad sample is moving through the system.

[Bacon King]

"Strongly Disapprove" is at  49%, -2.

*39%

[King]

That's why I said for no reason. As far as I know, there was no huge cataclysmic event yesterday that would have seven percent of the country to change their mind on Obama. And yes, if Obama was tied with Romney on one day and then suddenly leading him by 7 the next day, without some big event, then I would say the poll is suspect as well.

Greece defaulted on restructured their debt a few days ago. Subsequently, the markets, and media, have shrugged off the largest dollar default ever.

And you're saying that 7% of swing vote Americans know this happened?

[J. J.]

"Strongly Disapprove" is at  49%, -2.

*39%

Fixed it.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 50%, +1.

Disapprove 49%, u.

"Strongly Approve" is at 28%, +1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at  38%, -1.

Perhaps O'Bama has the luck of the Irish today. 

[J. J.]

Gallup Daily:  http://www.gallup.com/poll/124922/Presidential-Job-Approval-Center.aspx

Approve:  43%, -1.

Disapprove:  50%, u.

I'm guessing a bad sample. 

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 49%, u.

Disapprove 50%, +1.

"Strongly Approve" is at 28%, +1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at  39%, u.

[Jax27]

I've noticed that Rasmussen is more to the left of most polls this cycle compared to 2004 and 2008 when they were to the right. Hopefully they're the most accurate because that's what I go by.

[J. J.]

I've noticed that Rasmussen is more to the left of most polls this cycle compared to 2004 and 2008 when they were to the right. Hopefully they're the most accurate because that's what I go by.

Nationally, they tend to be better than Gallup.  For states, they are better than nothing. 

[Jax27]

I've noticed that Rasmussen is more to the left of most polls this cycle compared to 2004 and 2008 when they were to the right. Hopefully they're the most accurate because that's what I go by.

Nationally, they tend to be better than Gallup.  For states, they are better than nothing. 

There are 2 things I like about Rasmussen that leads me to follow them above all other polls. They have daily reports and they poll states at least once or twice a week. Did you happen to see that they polled 4 states at once this past week? FL, NC, VA, and OH if I'm remembering correctly.