Basque and Galician Regional Elections, 1 March 2009

[Hash]

Full exit poll data from Euskadi gives Aralar 2-4, EA 1-3, EBB 0-3, UPyD 0-1.

[Hash]

With around 20% reporting in Galicia, the PP would have 39 seats (+2), PSdeG 24 (-1), and BNG 12 (-1). The PV is PP 47, PSOE 30, BNG 16.

Nothing as of yet from Euskadi.

[Hash]

But when the Basques come in, it's massive. 50.5% reporting

EAJ 37.95 / 29
PSE-EE 31.04 / 26
PP 13.83 / 11
Aralar 6.66 / 5
EB-B 3.57 / 2
EA 3.75 / 1

PSE-EE leads in Alava province, the "least Basque" one.

[Hash]

Galicia is depressing. PP is still at 39 seats.

[Hash]

UPyD could have won a seat in Euskadi. Seat count now EAJ 29, PSE 26, PP 12, Aralar 5, EA 1, EBB 1, UPyD 1. Hopefully those fake centrists don't hold it.

PP has probably won in Galicia. Tragic.

[Hash]

EB-B up to 2 seats, PSE down to 25.

[Harry Hayfield]

Pais vasco (Basque) Regional Election Results 2009 with all results in

Vote Shares (as broadcast by TVE): PNV 38.5% PSOE 30.7% PP 14.0% Others 16.8%
Seats: PNV 30 PSOE 25 PP 13 Araclar 4 EA 1 EB 1 UPD 1

[Bono]

Urgh, no nationalist majority, and the PSOE bastards have gained.

[Hash]

Urgh, no nationalist majority, and the PSOE bastards have gained.

Though the outgoing coalition+Aralar has a majority (52%) in the popular vote.

[Bono]

Urgh, no nationalist majority, and the PSOE bastards have gained.

Though the outgoing coalition+Aralar has a majority (52%) in the popular vote.

True, but because all three provinces have the same number of seats, regardless of population differences, that isn't translated into the seat distribution.

[Bono]

I can't believe the idiots who are suggesting that the PSOE will lead a non-nationalist coalition government, as if they'd ever make a coalition with the PP.

[Hash]

I can't believe the idiots who are suggesting that the PSOE will lead a non-nationalist coalition government, as if they'd ever make a coalition with the PP.

Is there any precedent of a PSOE-PP coalition anywhere in Spain?

[Hash]

Invalid votes in Euskadi (aka ETA) is 8.84%

[Hash]

Truly proportional and fair legislature:

Araba (11 seats)

EAJ-PNV 4
PSE-EE 4
PP 3

Gipuzkoa (24 seats)

EAJ-PNV 10
PSE-EE 8
PP 2
Aralar 2
EA 1
EB-B 1

Araba (40 seats)

EAJ-PNV 19
PSE-EE 13
PP 6
Aralar 1
EB-B 1

Which gives us a new legislature (with change on actual allocation)

EAJ-PNV 33 (+3)
PSE-EE 25 (+1)
PP 11 (-2)
Aralar 3 (-1)
EA 1 (-1)
EB-B 2 (+1)
UPyD 0 (-1)

[Hash]

Well, fourth post in a row, but whatever. I found this Spanish poll.

Socialist Worker’s Party (PSOE) 41.0% (2008: 43.9%)
Popular Party (PP) 38.5% (39.9%)
United Left (IU) / Initiative for Catalonia-Greens (IC-V) 4.8% (3.8%)
Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) 4.4% (1.2%)
Convergence and Union (CiU) 2.8% (3%)
Basque Nationalist Party (PNV) 1.1% (1.2%)
Republican Left of Catalonia (ERC) 1.0% (1.2%)

[Bono]

The odd thing is that everyone is calling this a PNV defeat, when they actually increased their own seats to more than what PNV+EA had the last legislature. The "problem" is that the stupid ETA supporters threw away their vote and gave us a non-nationalist majority, but anyone claiming the PNV doesn't have a mandate is out of his mind.

[Hash]

There isn't a nationalist majority partly because the seats are allocated unproportionally so that a small province like Araba which has 14% of the population holds a third of the seats.