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| | |-+  The Institute of 2012 GOP nomination Intrade rankings
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Author Topic: The Institute of 2012 GOP nomination Intrade rankings  (Read 70580 times)
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Bull Moose Base
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« Reply #975 on: December 15, 2011, 10:39:11 am »
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Romney now 63, Gingrich 16.  The party's operation to destroy Newt is now in full swing.  Research was just published yesterday which showed that intrade #s can sway voters.  I'd guess this is intrade manipulation by Romney backers or Karl Rove.
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« Reply #976 on: December 15, 2011, 11:26:18 am »
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Romney now 63, Gingrich 16.  The party's operation to destroy Newt is now in full swing.  Research was just published yesterday which showed that intrade #s can sway voters.  I'd guess this is intrade manipulation by Romney backers or Karl Rove.
Either that, or something really juicy is going to be revealed at tonight's debate.
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« Reply #977 on: December 15, 2011, 11:32:25 am »
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Romney now 63, Gingrich 16.  The party's operation to destroy Newt is now in full swing.  Research was just published yesterday which showed that intrade #s can sway voters.  I'd guess this is intrade manipulation by Romney backers or Karl Rove.
Either that, or something really juicy is going to be revealed at tonight's debate.

Yeah, I would bank on somebody knowing something we do not know (yet).
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« Reply #978 on: December 15, 2011, 03:19:39 pm »
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Gingrich collapse.  Huntsman, Romney, Perry surge


Romney 60.3
Gingrich 15.1
Paul 8.7
Huntsman 8.6
Perry 4.2
Bachmann 1.9
Santorum 1.2


Paul now the favorite on last transaction to win Iowa:

Paul 32.8
Romney 30.9
Gingrich 25.0
Bachmann 5.6
Perry 5.0
Santorum 2.2
Huntsman 0.4
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« Reply #979 on: December 15, 2011, 06:15:56 pm »
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The recent Iowa and New Hampshire polling is looking less solid for Gingrich. I'm not sure if it could explain that kind of drop though.
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« Reply #980 on: December 15, 2011, 06:17:49 pm »
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The recent Iowa and New Hampshire polling is looking less solid for Gingrich. I'm not sure if it could explain that kind of drop though.

Moneybags Mittens and his friends are no doubt selling off Newt and buying Mitt to feed into the Gingrich collapse/Romney comeback story.
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« Reply #981 on: December 15, 2011, 06:39:34 pm »
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Maybe the market is just reacting rationally to the notion of Paul winning Iowa. If Newt loses IA, it is pretty much over for him
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« Reply #982 on: December 15, 2011, 11:33:16 pm »
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Mitt Romney 59.1
Newt Gingrich 17.8
Ron Paul 7.8
Jon Huntsman 7.3
Rick Perry 4.0
Michele Bachmann 1.6
Rick Santorum 1.1
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« Reply #983 on: December 18, 2011, 05:13:42 pm »
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Romney surges, most others drop, especially Gingrich and Perry.

Romney 64.6
Gingrich 13.8
Paul 7.5
Huntsman 6.6
Perry 2.8
Bachmann 1.8
Santorum 0.7
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #984 on: December 19, 2011, 12:34:06 am »

Will Paul soon be in second place?

Up: Romney
Down: Gingrich

Romney 65.9
Gingrich 11.4
Paul 8.1
Huntsman 7.1
Perry 2.7
Bachmann 1.8
Santorum 1.2
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #985 on: December 19, 2011, 01:34:59 am »

Gingrich crashing big time:

Romney 67.0
Gingrich 8.6
Paul 8.0
Huntsman 7.1
Perry 2.7
Bachmann 2.3
Santorum 1.2
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Watch this video of Dave being briefed by the mods.

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« Reply #986 on: December 19, 2011, 01:46:59 am »
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Wow.
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« Reply #987 on: December 19, 2011, 05:13:43 am »
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Paul ahead of Gingrich on last transaction, 8.2-8.1.
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« Reply #988 on: December 19, 2011, 07:26:01 am »
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Note that Paul hasn't moved upward, it's all Gingrich crashing...
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« Reply #989 on: December 19, 2011, 07:27:36 am »
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That's quite a surge for Santorum (he's now at 1.5). I don't know if I've ever seen his price stay that high, at least not while there's been a significant volume of trades happening in the market.
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« Reply #990 on: December 19, 2011, 10:15:42 am »
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Rumors flying that Romney has surged to 5.2 on the jmfcstrade.
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Yelnoc
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« Reply #991 on: December 19, 2011, 11:28:16 am »
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Romney 69.5
Gingrich 9.0
Paul 8.4
Huntsman 6.6
Perry 2.5
Bachmann 2.0
Santorum 1.1
J. Bush 1.1
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« Reply #992 on: December 19, 2011, 12:53:10 pm »
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Rumors flying that Romney has surged to 5.2 on the jmfcstrade.

Oh, how I wish jmfcst were here...
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« Reply #993 on: December 19, 2011, 03:59:39 pm »
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I still don't get why Huntsman is so overvalued.
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« Reply #994 on: December 19, 2011, 04:07:59 pm »
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Rumors flying that Romney has surged to 5.2 on the jmfcstrade.

Oh, how I wish jmfcst were here...
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I haven't read the article, but I firmly support Simfan's efforts to blame Lena Dunham for our society's rot.

Simfan, your standards are impossible to meet. You can't have a girl who is also a large fireplace.

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« Reply #995 on: December 19, 2011, 04:20:24 pm »
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Rumors flying that Romney has surged to 5.2 on the jmfcstrade.

Oh, how I wish jmfcst were here...

Indeed. No fair that he's gone now. And is Wonkish still here?
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Torie
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« Reply #996 on: December 19, 2011, 04:26:35 pm »
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Rumors flying that Romney has surged to 5.2 on the jmfcstrade.

Oh, how I wish jmfcst were here...

Indeed. No fair that he's gone now. And is Wonkish still here?

Who was Wonkish supporting?
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Politico
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« Reply #997 on: December 19, 2011, 04:39:17 pm »
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Rumors flying that Romney has surged to 5.2 on the jmfcstrade.

Oh, how I wish jmfcst were here...

Indeed. No fair that he's gone now. And is Wonkish still here?

Who was Wonkish supporting?

Gingrich, I believe. He certainly argued that Gingrich did not engage in lobbying.
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« Reply #998 on: December 19, 2011, 04:50:05 pm »
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Is Wonkish still here?

Either he's busy paying for his Escalade or the Gingrich implosion has driven him deep into hiding. 

EDIT: Tory, if I remember correctly Wonkish said that he was undecided, but he had quite a Gingrich fetish. He claimed to have spent hundreds of hours watching Gingrich speeches and bragged that he'd managed to parlay several of Gingrich's ideas into a "lucrative" raise. And he was a vehement defender of the idea that Gingrich had a plausible shot at the nomination, arguing with me over that fact as early as late September.
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« Reply #999 on: December 19, 2011, 05:03:43 pm »
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Rumors flying that Romney has surged to 5.2 on the jmfcstrade.

Oh, how I wish jmfcst were here...


Indeed. No fair that he's gone now. And is Wonkish still here?

Who was Wonkish supporting?

I have remained undecided for practically the entire cycle. I have a big personal admiration for Newt, but that didn't necessarily mean that I'm going to cast a vote for him. When you know him real well yes you know his benefits real well, but you also know his drawbacks. All of the candidates are mixed bags.

And I'm around just increasingly more busy.
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