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| |-+  2012 Elections (Moderators: Mr. Morden, Bacon King, Sheriff Buford TX Justice)
| | |-+  The Institute of 2012 GOP nomination Intrade rankings
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Author Topic: The Institute of 2012 GOP nomination Intrade rankings  (Read 86542 times)
Mr. Morden
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« Reply #975 on: December 19, 2011, 12:34:06 am »

Will Paul soon be in second place?

Up: Romney
Down: Gingrich

Romney 65.9
Gingrich 11.4
Paul 8.1
Huntsman 7.1
Perry 2.7
Bachmann 1.8
Santorum 1.2
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« Reply #976 on: December 19, 2011, 01:34:59 am »

Gingrich crashing big time:

Romney 67.0
Gingrich 8.6
Paul 8.0
Huntsman 7.1
Perry 2.7
Bachmann 2.3
Santorum 1.2
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #977 on: December 19, 2011, 01:46:59 am »
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Wow.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #978 on: December 19, 2011, 05:13:43 am »
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Paul ahead of Gingrich on last transaction, 8.2-8.1.
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brittain33
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« Reply #979 on: December 19, 2011, 07:26:01 am »
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Note that Paul hasn't moved upward, it's all Gingrich crashing...
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АverroŽs Nix
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« Reply #980 on: December 19, 2011, 07:27:36 am »
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That's quite a surge for Santorum (he's now at 1.5). I don't know if I've ever seen his price stay that high, at least not while there's been a significant volume of trades happening in the market.
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« Reply #981 on: December 19, 2011, 10:15:42 am »
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Rumors flying that Romney has surged to 5.2 on the jmfcstrade.
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« Reply #982 on: December 19, 2011, 11:28:16 am »
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Romney 69.5
Gingrich 9.0
Paul 8.4
Huntsman 6.6
Perry 2.5
Bachmann 2.0
Santorum 1.1
J. Bush 1.1
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« Reply #983 on: December 19, 2011, 12:53:10 pm »
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Rumors flying that Romney has surged to 5.2 on the jmfcstrade.

Oh, how I wish jmfcst were here...
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Meeker
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« Reply #984 on: December 19, 2011, 03:59:39 pm »
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I still don't get why Huntsman is so overvalued.
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Governor Simfan
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« Reply #985 on: December 19, 2011, 04:07:59 pm »
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Rumors flying that Romney has surged to 5.2 on the jmfcstrade.

Oh, how I wish jmfcst were here...
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« Reply #986 on: December 19, 2011, 04:20:24 pm »
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Rumors flying that Romney has surged to 5.2 on the jmfcstrade.

Oh, how I wish jmfcst were here...

Indeed. No fair that he's gone now. And is Wonkish still here?
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Torie
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« Reply #987 on: December 19, 2011, 04:26:35 pm »
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Rumors flying that Romney has surged to 5.2 on the jmfcstrade.

Oh, how I wish jmfcst were here...

Indeed. No fair that he's gone now. And is Wonkish still here?

Who was Wonkish supporting?
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Politico
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« Reply #988 on: December 19, 2011, 04:39:17 pm »
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Rumors flying that Romney has surged to 5.2 on the jmfcstrade.

Oh, how I wish jmfcst were here...

Indeed. No fair that he's gone now. And is Wonkish still here?

Who was Wonkish supporting?

Gingrich, I believe. He certainly argued that Gingrich did not engage in lobbying.
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АverroŽs Nix
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« Reply #989 on: December 19, 2011, 04:50:05 pm »
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Is Wonkish still here?

Either he's busy paying for his Escalade or the Gingrich implosion has driven him deep into hiding. 

EDIT: Tory, if I remember correctly Wonkish said that he was undecided, but he had quite a Gingrich fetish. He claimed to have spent hundreds of hours watching Gingrich speeches and bragged that he'd managed to parlay several of Gingrich's ideas into a "lucrative" raise. And he was a vehement defender of the idea that Gingrich had a plausible shot at the nomination, arguing with me over that fact as early as late September.
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Wonkish1
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« Reply #990 on: December 19, 2011, 05:03:43 pm »
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Rumors flying that Romney has surged to 5.2 on the jmfcstrade.

Oh, how I wish jmfcst were here...


Indeed. No fair that he's gone now. And is Wonkish still here?

Who was Wonkish supporting?

I have remained undecided for practically the entire cycle. I have a big personal admiration for Newt, but that didn't necessarily mean that I'm going to cast a vote for him. When you know him real well yes you know his benefits real well, but you also know his drawbacks. All of the candidates are mixed bags.

And I'm around just increasingly more busy.
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Wonkish1
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« Reply #991 on: December 19, 2011, 05:05:54 pm »
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Rumors flying that Romney has surged to 5.2 on the jmfcstrade.

Oh, how I wish jmfcst were here...

Indeed. No fair that he's gone now. And is Wonkish still here?

Who was Wonkish supporting?

Gingrich, I believe. He certainly argued that Gingrich did not engage in lobbying.

You believed wrong. And he didn't engage in lobbying.
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Wonkish1
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« Reply #992 on: December 19, 2011, 05:14:55 pm »
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Is Wonkish still here?

Either he's busy paying for his Escalade or the Gingrich implosion has driven him deep into hiding. 

EDIT: Tory, if I remember correctly Wonkish said that he was undecided, but he had quite a Gingrich fetish. He claimed to have spent hundreds of hours watching Gingrich speeches and bragged that he'd managed to parlay several of Gingrich's ideas into a "lucrative" raise. And he was a vehement defender of the idea that Gingrich had a plausible shot at the nomination, arguing with me over that fact as early as late September.

Busy working! And you have a good memory. On speeches alone a good estimate would be between 80 and 150 hours(average speech time of about 30-45 minutes). Usually listened to them in the background of doing something else. Decent amount of repetition(but significantly less than other people).

Not a raise. When I was younger I did some marketing for a start up firm that is still around. During the interview process they asked for some ideas. I produced a list of them and got the job. One of them was partially gleaned from a speech Newt gave, I believe that was the one that clinched the deal because that was the one we moved on immediately after I got contracted. That marketing idea has since become a lot more common.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #993 on: December 19, 2011, 05:15:29 pm »
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So will you be able to accept Romney as the nominee? I seem to remember you being pretty anti-Romney.
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« Reply #994 on: December 19, 2011, 05:20:49 pm »
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Wait, jmfcst left? Why?
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Meeker
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« Reply #995 on: December 19, 2011, 05:29:50 pm »
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Wait, jmfcst left? Why?

He was hired as a campaign advisor.
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Wonkish1
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« Reply #996 on: December 19, 2011, 05:32:26 pm »
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So will you be able to accept Romney as the nominee? I seem to remember you being pretty anti-Romney.

I would be curious for you to quote me ever being anti-Romney.

He has a decent share of drawbacks just like the rest of them. I see Romney as very, very slight improvement on GWB and 100 times better than John McCain. I've met a lot of Romney-like people in my industry. I understand them. Doesn't mean I agree with them, but they don't bother me that much. They were the teachers pet types when they took their econ classes in college. So they are a mixture of Neo-Keynesianism and fiscal conservatism.

If you want to understand Mitt Romney look at his key economic adviser(in 08 and now), Greg Mankiw. Some of the stuff that has come out of Mankiw's mouth is absolutely atrocious, but its still a huge improvement to the crap that comes out of people like Krugman and Stiglitz.
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Yelnoc
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« Reply #997 on: December 19, 2011, 05:50:17 pm »
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Wait, jmfcst left? Why?

He was hired as a campaign advisor.
Really?  To who?
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Wonkish1
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« Reply #998 on: December 19, 2011, 05:51:56 pm »
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Wait, jmfcst left? Why?

He was hired as a campaign advisor.
Really?  To who?

LOL, I think it was family related. More time demands by his family if I'm not mistaken.
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Obamaisdabest
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« Reply #999 on: December 20, 2011, 05:04:11 pm »
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Ron Paul now in second place....
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