The Institute of 2012 GOP nomination Intrade rankings (user search)
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  The Institute of 2012 GOP nomination Intrade rankings (search mode)
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Author Topic: The Institute of 2012 GOP nomination Intrade rankings  (Read 201676 times)
Simfan34
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Posts: 15,744
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Political Matrix
E: 0.90, S: 4.17

« on: July 01, 2011, 07:00:18 PM »

Whoa! Huntsman lost 3.5. Why?
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Simfan34
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Posts: 15,744
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Political Matrix
E: 0.90, S: 4.17

« Reply #1 on: August 02, 2011, 11:42:17 AM »
« Edited: August 02, 2011, 11:44:03 AM by Simfan34 »

Lookie that...McCain and Huntsman in almost the exact same position....

Let's hope that isn't the only similarity. I think McCain was doing better in the polls, no?
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Simfan34
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Posts: 15,744
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.90, S: 4.17

« Reply #2 on: August 05, 2011, 09:52:58 AM »

Perry and Romney tied

Perry 31.0
Romney 31.0
Huntsman 7.5
Palin 7.0
Bachmann 5.6
Christie 4.5
Paul 3.0
Pawlenty 2.1
Guliani 1.8
Gingrich 0.6
Johnson 0.6


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Simfan34
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*****
Posts: 15,744
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.90, S: 4.17

« Reply #3 on: August 07, 2011, 01:59:15 PM »

Cain's numbers are just embarrassing.

Here's a question.  Do you guys think Intrade tends to lead polling trends or follow them?

Leads them, if by a whisker.
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Simfan34
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Posts: 15,744
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.90, S: 4.17

« Reply #4 on: August 09, 2011, 07:03:35 PM »
« Edited: August 09, 2011, 07:06:54 PM by Simfan34 »

I imagine the Bushes are going to back Perry.

Supposedly, they can't stand him.

Huntsman has been making some noises about a "major endorsement" tommorow. Some say it may be Jeb Bush Jr... but I'm hoping for the big one.

Quote
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http://blogs.miaminewtimes.com/riptide/2011/08/will_jeb_bush_endorse_jon_hunt.php
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Simfan34
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*****
Posts: 15,744
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.90, S: 4.17

« Reply #5 on: August 14, 2011, 04:06:49 PM »
« Edited: August 14, 2011, 04:09:04 PM by Simfan34 »

Up: Perry, Palin, Huntsman
Down: Romney, Pawlenty

Perry 37.0
Romney 30.7
Huntsman 7.0
Bachmann 6.9
Paul 4.9
Gingrich 0.8
Cain 0.4
Johnson 0.4
Santorum 0.4
McCotter 0.1
Moore 0.1
Roemer 0.1
Pawlenty 0.1

Undeclared:

Palin 6.6
Giuliani 2.0
Christie 1.5
Pataki 0.5
Ryan 0.5
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Simfan34
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*****
Posts: 15,744
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.90, S: 4.17

« Reply #6 on: August 14, 2011, 04:51:07 PM »

Romney + Huntsman + Bachmann paying between 1:1 and 3:2?  sounds like a "buying opportunity", until I start thinking about it just a bit more.

I do not like this threeway
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Simfan34
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*****
Posts: 15,744
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.90, S: 4.17

« Reply #7 on: August 14, 2011, 05:04:55 PM »

Romney + Huntsman + Bachmann paying between 1:1 and 3:2?  sounds like a "buying opportunity", until I start thinking about it just a bit more.

I do not like this threeway

Stop giving Hustler any ideas, please. Tongue

Oh! God! God! NO!
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Simfan34
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*****
Posts: 15,744
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.90, S: 4.17

« Reply #8 on: August 22, 2011, 08:40:37 AM »

Huntsman above Paul is surprising.

Huntsman has always been above Paul.
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Simfan34
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*****
Posts: 15,744
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.90, S: 4.17

« Reply #9 on: August 23, 2011, 06:41:47 AM »

Pataki-mentum didn't go too far, eh?
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Simfan34
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*****
Posts: 15,744
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.90, S: 4.17

« Reply #10 on: September 02, 2011, 08:31:14 AM »

A portent, eh?
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Simfan34
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*****
Posts: 15,744
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.90, S: 4.17

« Reply #11 on: September 12, 2011, 02:05:36 PM »

The statistics seem to show otherwise. The fact that he's third when he isn't third in the polls suggests something different from the point to are trying to make.
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Simfan34
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*****
Posts: 15,744
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.90, S: 4.17

« Reply #12 on: September 16, 2011, 07:40:53 PM »

Santorum went down after an incredible debate performance?

I was wondering the same.
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Simfan34
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*****
Posts: 15,744
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.90, S: 4.17

« Reply #13 on: December 03, 2011, 04:07:58 PM »

Are we being told Huntsman is the gainer here?
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Simfan34
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*****
Posts: 15,744
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.90, S: 4.17

« Reply #14 on: December 03, 2011, 04:12:09 PM »

Are we being told Huntsman is the gainer here?

^

These betters clearly do not understand the politics of Herman Cain. His supporters are the most anti-Romney, anti-Huntsman (especially since he worked in Obama's administration)

Exactly what I was thinking.
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Simfan34
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*****
Posts: 15,744
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.90, S: 4.17

« Reply #15 on: December 15, 2011, 11:33:16 PM »

Mitt Romney 59.1
Newt Gingrich 17.8
Ron Paul 7.8
Jon Huntsman 7.3
Rick Perry 4.0
Michele Bachmann 1.6
Rick Santorum 1.1
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Simfan34
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,744
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.90, S: 4.17

« Reply #16 on: December 19, 2011, 04:07:59 PM »

Rumors flying that Romney has surged to 5.2 on the jmfcstrade.

Oh, how I wish jmfcst were here...
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Simfan34
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*****
Posts: 15,744
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.90, S: 4.17

« Reply #17 on: December 29, 2011, 05:39:16 PM »

Nooooooooooooo!
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Simfan34
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*****
Posts: 15,744
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.90, S: 4.17

« Reply #18 on: January 19, 2012, 07:15:41 PM »

Mitch Daniels climbs to fifth place in Republican nomination market!

Romney 82.5%
Gingrich 9.1%
Paul 3.5%
Santorum 0.8%
Daniels 0.7%

Kind of sad for Santorum that he gets almost beaten by a guy who isn't even running. Tongue

If Daniels jumped in right now, which he won't, he'd have my full support.
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