Portugal 2009

[Hans-im-Glück]

The mandates by district:

Açores     PS 3 (n/c), PSD/PPD 2 (n/c)
Aveiro       PS 6 (-2), PSD/PPD 7 (+1), CDS/PP 2 (+1), B.E. 1 (+1),
Beja         PS 2 (n/c); PCP-PEV 1 (n/c)

Braga       PS 9 (n/c), PSD/PPD 6 (-1), CDS/PP 2 (+1), B.E. 1 (+1), PCP-PEV 1 (n/c)
Bragança      PS 1 (-1), PSD/PPD 2 (n/c)
Castelo Branco       PS 2 (-2), PSD/PPD  (+1)

Coimbra    PS 4 (-2), PSD/PPD 4 (n/c)), CDS/PP 1 (+1), B.E. 1 (+1)
Évora       PS 1 (-1), PSD/PPD 1 (+1), PCP-PEV 1 (n/c)
Faro       PS 3 (-3), PSD/PPD 6 (+1), CDS/PP 1 (+1), B.E. 1 (+1),

Guarda       PS 2 (n/c), PSD/PPD 6 (n/c)
Leiria       PS 4 (n/c), PSD/PPD 4 (-1), CDS/PP 1 (n/c), B.E. 1 (+1)
Lisboa       PS 19 (-4), PSD/PPD 13 (+1), CDS/PP 5 (+1), B.E. 5 (+1), PCP-PEV 5 (n/c)

Madeira       PS 1 (-2), PSD/PPD 4 (+1), CDS/PP 1 (+1)
Portalegre       PS 1 (-1), PSD/PPD 1 (+1)
Porto       PS 18 (-2), PSD/PPD 12 (n/c), CDS/PP 4 (+2), B.E. 3 (+1), PCP-PEV 2 (n/c)

Santarém       PS 4 (-2), PSD/PPD 3 (n/c), CDS/PP 1 (+1), B.E. 1 (+1), PCP-PEV 1 (n/c)
Setúbal       PS 7 (-1), PSD/PPD 3 (n/c), CDS/PP 1 (n/c), B.E. 2 (n/c), PCP-PEV 4 (+1)
Viana do Castelo     PS 3 (n/c), PSD/PPD 2 (n/c), CDS/PP 1 (n/c)

Vila Real      PS 2 (-1), PSD/PPD 3 (+1)
Viseu       PS 4 (n/c), PSD/PPD 4 (n/c), CDS/PP 1 (n/c)

PORTUGAL      PS 96 (-24), PSD/PPD 78 (+6), CDS/PP 21 (+9), B.E. 16 (+8), PCP-PEV 15 (+1)

Surprises for me are the CDS-mandate in Faro. I think this is the first time they win a seat in the Algarve. The CDS seat in Madeira i don't expect, too. That in Setúbal the B.E. don't win the 3rd seat is a little disappointment for me.

In Porto the difference between CDS and B.E. was only 902 votes. So goes the last seat to the CDS.

[Hash]

Why is Évora so left-wing? The Commies took second place (PS first, PSD third, BE a close fourth, hardline Commies 2%), but it sounds like a normal city.

It's the Alentejo. Commie country.

That's not a "why" explanation.

It is. Since you insist, it's anti-clerical country. The land of large landowners, agricultural workers and a much more collectivist spirit than the north. It's like Allier, Cher or Indre in France.

The north is much more individualist, Catholic-clerical and the Church is important there. Like Galicia. Except for Porto, which is an industrial centre and an old base of republicanism.

[minionofmidas]

It is. Since you insist, it's anti-clerical country. The land of large landowners, agricultural workers and a much more collectivist spirit than the north. It's like

Andalusia before irrigation, tourism and retirees.

[Bono]

It is. Since you insist, it's anti-clerical country. The land of large landowners, agricultural workers and a much more collectivist spirit than the north. It's like

Andalusia before irrigation, tourism and retirees.

Plus, Évora in particular is a university town.

[Hans-im-Glück]

Next sunday(11Th October) are local elections in Portugal. On this site you can see some opinion polls.
http://www.marktest.com/wap/a/p/id~f9.aspx

[Hans-im-Glück]

On Sunday were the Local Elections in Portugal. It gives no clear winner.  When i counted right the coalition of PSD and CDS wins 9 cities more than 2005, but they have lost to vote.

2005 the result was:

PS   35,84%   (852 mandates)
PSD+CDS   43,47% (953 mandates)
PCP   10,16% (203 mandates)
B.E.   2,95% (7 mandates)
Others   47 mandates

2009:

PS   37,66% (921 mandates)
PSD+CDS   41,82% (903 mandates)
PCP   9,75% (174 mandates)
B.E.  3,02% (9 mandates)
Others   67 mandates

In nearly every big city the PSD and the CDS have a common list. Sometimes with the PPM (monarchists) and MPT (center-right Greens). The PCP have candidates in almost every city and the B. E. (left Bloc) in the bigger cities and many small cities in the south. The B.E. is very weak in the local elections.

Every party says now they are the winner. The PSD_CDS wins some important cities, like Coimbra ans Faro. The PS wins votes and for example the City of Leiria.

I don't think there is a winner, because all parties are on the same level.

http://www.autarquicas2009.mj.pt/#none

[Hans-im-Glück]

After the elections in the September want José Sócrates form a minority government.
http://www.dw-world.de/dw/article/0,,4794540,00.html

We will see what the future brings. Maybe he can form a stable government, but i doubt it. I would bet all my money that it gives new elections in the next 2 years.