HI-01

[minionofmidas]

Utterly safe D.

[minionofmidas]

Yeah I don't see the accusation. Just think you way overestimate this stuff. And even if I scoffed at Gillibrand, it wasn't due to being white. I also scoffed at the idea that a minority MUST be appointed in order to win the primary. Honestly I doubt even most minorities care about stuff like that, just Al Sharpton types.

And what great GOP candidate can beat a white Democrat in HI-01? The GOP bench throughout all of Hawaii is simply pathetic to put it mildly.

A military man could win. Hawaii has great loyalty to the military.

Maybe a nonwhite military man during a Republican administration.

[minionofmidas]

Yeah I don't see the accusation. Just think you way overestimate this stuff. And even if I scoffed at Gillibrand, it wasn't due to being white. I also scoffed at the idea that a minority MUST be appointed in order to win the primary. Honestly I doubt even most minorities care about stuff like that, just Al Sharpton types.

And what great GOP candidate can beat a white Democrat in HI-01? The GOP bench throughout all of Hawaii is simply pathetic to put it mildly.

A military man could win. Hawaii has great loyalty to the military.

Maybe a nonwhite military man during a Republican administration.

Republicans can only win a seat like this if they're out of power.  Having a GOP held House or a GOP President is a massive albatross on the neck of a GOP candidate in a district like this.

Uh, this is Hawaii. They only vote for Republicans when it's unpatriotic not to.

[minionofmidas]

Republican Pat Saiki represented HI-01 from 1987-1991.

Which ties in well with what I was saying.

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Interesting. Something must have been up with that '96 race.

[minionofmidas]

http://www.pbs.org/newshour/convention96/regions/west/rohter_essay.html

includes a pre-campaign rundown on that race... that doesn't make you think it could end up this close.

Swindle went on to be GWBush's FTC Commissioner.