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If we got rid of the electoral vote system....
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Topic: If we got rid of the electoral vote system.... (Read 11193 times)
Vepres
YaBB God
Posts: 8146
Political Matrix
E: 6.26, S: -7.39
Re: If we got rid of the electoral vote system....
«
Reply #25 on:
May 24, 2010, 01:34:41 pm »
Quote from: SoFA Franzl on May 24, 2010, 11:26:59 am
Can anybody explain
why exactly
it would be a bad thing if candidates spend time in urban areas?
I remember when Obama completely ignored Pueblo, Columbus, Pittsburgh, Las Vegas, Albuquerque, and many other cities because of the electoral college.
Logged
LOL, Failure
Quote from: Vepres on October 31, 2010, 02:21:38 pm
Alright, if Republicans gain less than 75 seats, I'll prominently display my failure in my signature.
I left.
Franzl
YaBB God
Posts: 20474
Re: If we got rid of the electoral vote system....
«
Reply #26 on:
May 24, 2010, 02:29:56 pm »
Quote from: Vepres on May 24, 2010, 01:34:41 pm
Quote from: SoFA Franzl on May 24, 2010, 11:26:59 am
Can anybody explain
why exactly
it would be a bad thing if candidates spend time in urban areas?
I remember when Obama completely ignored Pueblo, Columbus, Pittsburgh, Las Vegas, Albuquerque, and many other cities because of the electoral college.
Why should people in Albuquerque get more attention than those in New York? Does that make any sense?
Logged
I've lost interest in the forum and I've wasted far too much time here.
To those I consider forum friends, it's been nice and I hope to keep contact in some form.
Cheers.
Vepres
YaBB God
Posts: 8146
Political Matrix
E: 6.26, S: -7.39
Re: If we got rid of the electoral vote system....
«
Reply #27 on:
May 24, 2010, 02:56:55 pm »
Quote from: SoFA Franzl on May 24, 2010, 02:29:56 pm
Quote from: Vepres on May 24, 2010, 01:34:41 pm
Quote from: SoFA Franzl on May 24, 2010, 11:26:59 am
Can anybody explain
why exactly
it would be a bad thing if candidates spend time in urban areas?
I remember when Obama completely ignored Pueblo, Columbus, Pittsburgh, Las Vegas, Albuquerque, and many other cities because of the electoral college.
Why should people in Albuquerque get more attention than those in New York? Does that make any sense?
Sure, because this place worships them:
Logged
LOL, Failure
Quote from: Vepres on October 31, 2010, 02:21:38 pm
Alright, if Republicans gain less than 75 seats, I'll prominently display my failure in my signature.
I left.
Franzl
YaBB God
Posts: 20474
Re: If we got rid of the electoral vote system....
«
Reply #28 on:
May 24, 2010, 03:04:03 pm »
What's your point, Vepres?
Logged
I've lost interest in the forum and I've wasted far too much time here.
To those I consider forum friends, it's been nice and I hope to keep contact in some form.
Cheers.
Vepres
YaBB God
Posts: 8146
Political Matrix
E: 6.26, S: -7.39
Re: If we got rid of the electoral vote system....
«
Reply #29 on:
May 24, 2010, 03:18:11 pm »
Quote from: SoFA Franzl on May 24, 2010, 03:04:03 pm
What's your point, Vepres?
State governments are more powerful than the federal government, the federal government is secondary really. The New York state government focuses on NYC and Buffalo and Albany, etc, so who cares if the President doesn't campaign there. Besides, while Presidents
campaign
in swing states, they still
govern
with a proportional focus of resources and time on urban areas such as New York.
Logged
LOL, Failure
Quote from: Vepres on October 31, 2010, 02:21:38 pm
Alright, if Republicans gain less than 75 seats, I'll prominently display my failure in my signature.
I left.
Franzl
YaBB God
Posts: 20474
Re: If we got rid of the electoral vote system....
«
Reply #30 on:
May 24, 2010, 03:40:45 pm »
as evidenced by the amount of federal dollars that large states on average get back?
Logged
I've lost interest in the forum and I've wasted far too much time here.
To those I consider forum friends, it's been nice and I hope to keep contact in some form.
Cheers.
Vepres
YaBB God
Posts: 8146
Political Matrix
E: 6.26, S: -7.39
Re: If we got rid of the electoral vote system....
«
Reply #31 on:
May 24, 2010, 03:45:02 pm »
Quote from: SoFA Franzl on May 24, 2010, 03:40:45 pm
as evidenced by the amount of federal dollars that large states on average get back?
Rural areas
always
receive more money in any developed democracy because they have much smaller tax bases to sustain local governments, and are generally poorer, thus they have a hard time just sustaining themselves. The Colorado state government to this day favors rural farmers with water rights over other groups, the state has always had a Governor elected by popular vote and a proportional legislature.
Logged
LOL, Failure
Quote from: Vepres on October 31, 2010, 02:21:38 pm
Alright, if Republicans gain less than 75 seats, I'll prominently display my failure in my signature.
I left.
Franzl
YaBB God
Posts: 20474
Re: If we got rid of the electoral vote system....
«
Reply #32 on:
May 24, 2010, 03:55:21 pm »
OK, that argument is fair enough....but do you
honestly
think Colorado should get so much more attention than....say.....Alabama simply because Colorado is close enough that both candidates believe they have a chance of winning?
What's so terrible about having each vote count equally....especially in a single winner election where the winner is supposed to have a mandate from a majority of the country? Why should a person in New York care about voting if he knows he has no way of helping his candidate further?
Logged
I've lost interest in the forum and I've wasted far too much time here.
To those I consider forum friends, it's been nice and I hope to keep contact in some form.
Cheers.
Vepres
YaBB God
Posts: 8146
Political Matrix
E: 6.26, S: -7.39
Re: If we got rid of the electoral vote system....
«
Reply #33 on:
May 24, 2010, 04:05:33 pm »
Quote from: SoFA Franzl on May 24, 2010, 03:55:21 pm
OK, that argument is fair enough....but do you
honestly
think Colorado should get so much more attention than....say.....Alabama simply because Colorado is close enough that both candidates believe they have a chance of winning?
What's so terrible about having each vote count equally....especially in a single winner election where the winner is supposed to have a mandate from a majority of the country? Why should a person in New York care about voting if he knows he has no way of helping his candidate further?
Colorado has lots of independents, and thus lots of voters that one can convince. Does NYC have that? Not really. It is very polarized between affluent Republicans and poor Democrats. New York, in a typical election, gave it's mandate to the Democrats by default.
To continue on my analogy, Boulder County, in a typical election, gives the Democrats its mandate by default (for all intents and purposes). Why should Hickenlooper give as much attention to Boulder County as the similarly populated, but far less partisan, Lairmer County? Similarly, Colorado and Alabama have similar populations, but Colorado is
far
less polarized than Alabama, thus there are more votes up for grabs.
In my opinion, the electoral college wouldn't change where candidates visit that much, but it has the benefit of ensuring that our strong federalist structure isn't subverted by the federal executive branch. As I like a weak federal executive branch generally, I don't mind if there is less of a mandate for the President.
As for turnout, New York turnout would be just as low absent a Presidential election because all state-wide offices will likely go Democrat.
Logged
LOL, Failure
Quote from: Vepres on October 31, 2010, 02:21:38 pm
Alright, if Republicans gain less than 75 seats, I'll prominently display my failure in my signature.
I left.
Franzl
YaBB God
Posts: 20474
Re: If we got rid of the electoral vote system....
«
Reply #34 on:
May 24, 2010, 04:09:42 pm »
Whether or not you like a weak executive branch.....the executive branch isn't getting weaker any time soon....so wouldn't it be preferable that citizens have an equal chance to elect that executive?
Your only arguments are the "federal structure" and keeping the executive branch weak. The reasons that people vote how they do should be completely irrelevant in determining how much weight to give those votes. Who are you to tell New Yorkers that their opinion is worse less because it's a battle between afluent Republicans and poor Whites (which certainly isn't even entirely true anymore)?
Logged
I've lost interest in the forum and I've wasted far too much time here.
To those I consider forum friends, it's been nice and I hope to keep contact in some form.
Cheers.
Vepres
YaBB God
Posts: 8146
Political Matrix
E: 6.26, S: -7.39
Re: If we got rid of the electoral vote system....
«
Reply #35 on:
May 24, 2010, 04:22:54 pm »
Quote from: SoFA Franzl on May 24, 2010, 04:09:42 pm
Whether or not you like a weak executive branch.....the executive branch isn't getting weaker any time soon....so wouldn't it be preferable that citizens have an equal chance to elect that executive?
Your only arguments are the "federal structure" and keeping the executive branch weak. The reasons that people vote how they do should be completely irrelevant in determining how much weight to give those votes. Who are you to tell New Yorkers that their opinion is worse less because it's a battle between afluent Republicans and poor Whites (which certainly isn't even entirely true anymore)?
It isn't worth less. If they were less polarized, I can guarantee candidates would visit New York far more than Nevada. Black communities get
no
attention in Presidential elections because they're locks for the Democrats. Changing the EC would not change that.
I'm not saying New Yorkers' votes should be worth less by virtue of them voting one way. I am saying that, given how New Yorkers vote, their votes would carry far less weight as far as the campaigns were concerned.
So they're votes are worth 10% than they would be in a popular vote system. They are still a huge population center. If they voted differently, they'd get more attention. That would be the case in any system.
Logged
LOL, Failure
Quote from: Vepres on October 31, 2010, 02:21:38 pm
Alright, if Republicans gain less than 75 seats, I'll prominently display my failure in my signature.
feeblepizza
YaBB God
Posts: 3104
Political Matrix
E: 4.45, S: -0.26
Re: If we got rid of the electoral vote system....
«
Reply #36 on:
July 16, 2010, 11:44:12 pm »
To avoid boredom and a redux of 2000, you have to pass a law in all 50 states dividing the Electors like Nebraska's and Maine's. Then we would still have suspence on Election Day, and there would be even less of a chance of the E.C.-winning candidate loosing the P.V.
Logged
Californian Tony
Antonio V
YaBB God
Posts: 24662
Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -4.87
Re: If we got rid of the electoral vote system....
«
Reply #37 on:
July 18, 2010, 04:27:33 am »
Quote from: Nick Allman for President 2032 on July 16, 2010, 11:44:12 pm
To avoid boredom and a redux of 2000, you have to pass a law in all 50 states dividing the Electors like Nebraska's and Maine's. Then we would still have suspence on Election Day, and there would be even less of a chance of the E.C.-winning candidate loosing the P.V.
Epic fail. As proved in a thread recently, gerrymandering would give republicans a significant advantage in every election.
Logged
Truer today than it was yesterday.
"A good portion of this country has created an alternate universe. I call this place were these folks live Bullsh*t Mountain. The denizens of Bullsh*t Mountain believe many things: they believe that a Kenyan Muslim President has fundamentally changed the relationship between government and the people of this country."
Jon Stewart
I left.
Franzl
YaBB God
Posts: 20474
Re: If we got rid of the electoral vote system....
«
Reply #38 on:
July 18, 2010, 04:43:20 am »
Quote from: Antonio V on July 18, 2010, 04:27:33 am
Quote from: Nick Allman for President 2032 on July 16, 2010, 11:44:12 pm
To avoid boredom and a redux of 2000, you have to pass a law in all 50 states dividing the Electors like Nebraska's and Maine's. Then we would still have suspence on Election Day, and there would be even less of a chance of the E.C.-winning candidate loosing the P.V.
Epic fail. As proved in a thread recently, gerrymandering would give republicans a significant advantage in every election.
Doesn't make sense to me....even though you always claim this. Why don't Republicans have a totally didproportionate share in the House if gerrymandering only benefits them?
Logged
I've lost interest in the forum and I've wasted far too much time here.
To those I consider forum friends, it's been nice and I hope to keep contact in some form.
Cheers.
Californian Tony
Antonio V
YaBB God
Posts: 24662
Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -4.87
Re: If we got rid of the electoral vote system....
«
Reply #39 on:
July 18, 2010, 01:52:08 pm »
Quote from: Senator Franzl on July 18, 2010, 04:43:20 am
Quote from: Antonio V on July 18, 2010, 04:27:33 am
Quote from: Nick Allman for President 2032 on July 16, 2010, 11:44:12 pm
To avoid boredom and a redux of 2000, you have to pass a law in all 50 states dividing the Electors like Nebraska's and Maine's. Then we would still have suspence on Election Day, and there would be even less of a chance of the E.C.-winning candidate loosing the P.V.
Epic fail. As proved in a thread recently, gerrymandering would give republicans a significant advantage in every election.
Doesn't make sense to me....even though you always claim this. Why don't Republicans have a totally didproportionate share in the House if gerrymandering only benefits them?
Come on, you certainly know what gerrymandering means. The GOP is favored in States like Michigan, Pennsyvania or Texas because the democratic vote is concentrted in overwhelmingly dem districts so that the other ones lean blue. It's very easy to see what would happen in a cse of tie or for a dem+1 margin. In most of these case, republicans would win with NE/ME system. That doesn't mean the GOP will always take the House, just that democrats need a strong advantage in the PV to take the House.
Logged
Truer today than it was yesterday.
"A good portion of this country has created an alternate universe. I call this place were these folks live Bullsh*t Mountain. The denizens of Bullsh*t Mountain believe many things: they believe that a Kenyan Muslim President has fundamentally changed the relationship between government and the people of this country."
Jon Stewart
I left.
Franzl
YaBB God
Posts: 20474
Re: If we got rid of the electoral vote system....
«
Reply #40 on:
July 18, 2010, 01:57:58 pm »
Only problem is that what You're saying isn't confirmed by reality.
Logged
I've lost interest in the forum and I've wasted far too much time here.
To those I consider forum friends, it's been nice and I hope to keep contact in some form.
Cheers.
I left.
Franzl
YaBB God
Posts: 20474
Re: If we got rid of the electoral vote system....
«
Reply #41 on:
July 18, 2010, 02:05:31 pm »
For example:
2008: DEMs have 53pc of the vote....and actually 59pc of seats.
2006: DEMs have 52pc of the vote...and 54 pc of seats.
2004: DEMs have 46pc of both seats and votes.
Forgive me, but I don't see how gerrymandering benefits only Republicans.
Logged
I've lost interest in the forum and I've wasted far too much time here.
To those I consider forum friends, it's been nice and I hope to keep contact in some form.
Cheers.
Californian Tony
Antonio V
YaBB God
Posts: 24662
Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -4.87
Re: If we got rid of the electoral vote system....
«
Reply #42 on:
July 18, 2010, 02:38:53 pm »
What led me to my conclusion were
those posts
in Libertas' threas. As evidenced, Gore would have needed a 3% edge nationwide to win EC using NE/ME, and Kerry a 2% edge. Doesn't it look like there is a republican advantage ?
Logged
Truer today than it was yesterday.
"A good portion of this country has created an alternate universe. I call this place were these folks live Bullsh*t Mountain. The denizens of Bullsh*t Mountain believe many things: they believe that a Kenyan Muslim President has fundamentally changed the relationship between government and the people of this country."
Jon Stewart
Bo
Rochambeau
YaBB God
Posts: 14684
Political Matrix
E: -5.23, S: -2.52
Re: If we got rid of the electoral vote system....
«
Reply #43 on:
July 18, 2010, 03:37:41 pm »
Quote from: Antonio V on July 18, 2010, 02:38:53 pm
What led me to my conclusion were
those posts
in Libertas' threas. As evidenced, Gore would have needed a 3% edge nationwide to win EC using NE/ME, and Kerry a 2% edge. Doesn't it look like there is a republican advantage ?
There might be one for the 2000s, but the Democrats are going to do a lot of gerrymanders in their favor after the 2010 midterms and thus it might benefit Democrats instead in the 2010s.
Logged
Χahar
Xahar
YaBB God
Posts: 36865
Re: If we got rid of the electoral vote system....
«
Reply #44 on:
July 19, 2010, 01:37:26 am »
Quote from: Senator Franzl on July 18, 2010, 04:43:20 am
Quote from: Antonio V on July 18, 2010, 04:27:33 am
Quote from: Nick Allman for President 2032 on July 16, 2010, 11:44:12 pm
To avoid boredom and a redux of 2000, you have to pass a law in all 50 states dividing the Electors like Nebraska's and Maine's. Then we would still have suspence on Election Day, and there would be even less of a chance of the E.C.-winning candidate loosing the P.V.
Epic fail. As proved in a thread recently, gerrymandering would give republicans a significant advantage in every election.
Doesn't make sense to me....even though you always claim this. Why don't Republicans have a totally didproportionate share in the House if gerrymandering only benefits them?
It's worth noting that there are far more McCain districts represented by a Democrat than Obama districts represented by a Republican. The effect was even more extreme in 2004.
Logged
beneficii
Full Member
Posts: 159
Re: If we got rid of the electoral vote system....
«
Reply #45 on:
September 20, 2010, 06:01:18 pm »
Quote from: Senator Franzl on July 18, 2010, 04:43:20 am
Quote from: Antonio V on July 18, 2010, 04:27:33 am
Quote from: Nick Allman for President 2032 on July 16, 2010, 11:44:12 pm
To avoid boredom and a redux of 2000, you have to pass a law in all 50 states dividing the Electors like Nebraska's and Maine's. Then we would still have suspence on Election Day, and there would be even less of a chance of the E.C.-winning candidate loosing the P.V.
Epic fail. As proved in a thread recently, gerrymandering would give republicans a significant advantage in every election.
Doesn't make sense to me....even though you always claim this. Why don't Republicans have a totally didproportionate share in the House if gerrymandering only benefits them?
It was shown that with the Maine-Nebraska method, Bush still would have won 2000 (with a larger margin!), even though his popular vote was less:
Quote
As to accurately reflecting the nationwide popular vote, a second-place candidate could easily win the Presidency under the congressional-district approach. If the congressional-district approach had been applied to the results of the 2000 presidential election, then Bush would have received 288 electoral votes (53.3% of the total number of electoral votes), and Gore would have received 250 electoral votes (46.5% of the total). That is, the congressional-district approach would have given Bush a 6.8% lead in electoral votes over Gore in 2000. Nationwide, Gore received 50,992,335 popular votes (50.2% of the two-party popular vote), whereas Bush received 50,455,156 (49.7% of the two-party popular vote). Under the existing system, Bush received 271 electoral votes in 2000 (50.4% of the total number of electoral votes)—a 0.8% lead in electoral votes over Gore. In summary, the congressional-district approach would have been even less accurate than the existing statewide winner-take-all system in terms of reflecting the will of the voters.
http://www.nationalpopularvote.com/pages/answers/m21.php
Logged
muon2
Moderators
YaBB God
Posts: 6944
Re: If we got rid of the electoral vote system....
«
Reply #46 on:
September 21, 2010, 11:31:29 pm »
Quote from: beneficii on September 20, 2010, 06:01:18 pm
Quote from: Senator Franzl on July 18, 2010, 04:43:20 am
Quote from: Antonio V on July 18, 2010, 04:27:33 am
Quote from: Nick Allman for President 2032 on July 16, 2010, 11:44:12 pm
To avoid boredom and a redux of 2000, you have to pass a law in all 50 states dividing the Electors like Nebraska's and Maine's. Then we would still have suspence on Election Day, and there would be even less of a chance of the E.C.-winning candidate loosing the P.V.
Epic fail. As proved in a thread recently, gerrymandering would give republicans a significant advantage in every election.
Doesn't make sense to me....even though you always claim this. Why don't Republicans have a totally didproportionate share in the House if gerrymandering only benefits them?
It was shown that with the Maine-Nebraska method, Bush still would have won 2000 (with a larger margin!), even though his popular vote was less:
Quote
As to accurately reflecting the nationwide popular vote, a second-place candidate could easily win the Presidency under the congressional-district approach. If the congressional-district approach had been applied to the results of the 2000 presidential election, then Bush would have received 288 electoral votes (53.3% of the total number of electoral votes), and Gore would have received 250 electoral votes (46.5% of the total). That is, the congressional-district approach would have given Bush a 6.8% lead in electoral votes over Gore in 2000. Nationwide, Gore received 50,992,335 popular votes (50.2% of the two-party popular vote), whereas Bush received 50,455,156 (49.7% of the two-party popular vote). Under the existing system, Bush received 271 electoral votes in 2000 (50.4% of the total number of electoral votes)—a 0.8% lead in electoral votes over Gore. In summary, the congressional-district approach would have been even less accurate than the existing statewide winner-take-all system in terms of reflecting the will of the voters.
http://www.nationalpopularvote.com/pages/answers/m21.php
That's in part because we have no agreed criteria for CDs other than racial and language minority protection under the VRA. This allows politically gerrymandered districts that tilt the balance during competitive elections.
Logged
The high precision muon g-2 storage ring moving to Fermilab.
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