Cuomo/Bumpers (D) - 439 EVs
Dole/Thornburgh (R) - 79 EVs
Perot/Stockdale (I) - 20 EVs
This is based on results from 1988 and 1992. Most states where Dukakis came close, i've given to Cuomo; most states where Clinton came close i've given to Cuomo. Bush '92 states in which Perot did well in, i've given to Perot. Some states, like Tennessee where just from my gut feeling; even Gore couldn't do it (although that was not in a depression, but it was his home state).
The 5 closest state are:
1.
New Hampshire - The margin was just a few hundred votes.
2.
Kansas - Perot comes close to carrying the state, but the Favourite Son wins it.
3.
Mississippi4.
Nebraska5.
Idaho