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If all states were to use the ME/NE system, then Obama would have won, 301-237
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Topic: If all states were to use the ME/NE system, then Obama would have won, 301-237 (Read 7257 times)
Χahar
Xahar
YaBB God
Posts: 36869
Re: If all states were to use the ME/NE system, then Obama would have won, 301-237
«
Reply #25 on:
March 01, 2010, 07:52:20 pm »
Quote from: Antonio V on March 01, 2010, 04:34:15 pm
Quote from: Хahar on March 01, 2010, 04:00:11 pm
Quote from: Antonio V on March 01, 2010, 04:46:14 am
Quote from: OFKA Governor Vepres on February 28, 2010, 01:24:03 pm
Quote from: Antonio V on February 28, 2010, 08:17:53 am
Quote from: timmer123 on February 27, 2010, 10:48:56 pm
Quote from: Antonio V on February 27, 2010, 04:21:22 am
Considering the number of States where districts are gerrymandered in favor of Republicans, it's not surprising at all.
That really has little to do with it.
The fact is that Democrats are highly concentrated in few congressional districts around major cities, while most other districts are marginally or strongly Republican.
It means nothing. If congressional districts were drawn fairly, so that the most possible of them are close to the Statewide margin, there would be no problem with democratic underrepresentation. But indeed if the democratic vote is concentred in a few stronghold urban districts, such thing happens. It's all about how you draw districts.
Having districts with an unusual proportion of Democrats would occur even if the lines were drawn fairly. For example, CO-1 makes perfect sense, no matter what else you do in the state, but clearly has a vast number of Democrats.
Depends how you define "fairly drawn districts". The aesthetic aspect of a district isn't a criterion of fairness for me. The only valuable criterion is its competitivity in a situation of overall tie.
For example, in a situation of 50-50 statewide, if a district goes to democrats 60-40, no matter how it looks, then it is gerrymandered. And such gerrymander favors republicans.
Incorrect. If every district was 50-50, and the election result was 55-45, then every seat would go to the winning party.
True, but it would be fairer so than otherwise.
Another possibility is to draw districts which are all 90-10 for one party or the other, but I guess it's quite difficult to do (plus, it destroys competitivity and therefore favors incumbents).
Or you could draw districts that make sense from a geographical perspective and ignore voting patterns.
Logged
Quote from: Sibboleth on February 28, 2009, 04:08:37 pm
I'm not sure if this new tendency to appeal to the apparent inherent evil of Xahar in all things even remotely related to forum policing or this damn game is especially helpful.
Californian Tony
Antonio V
YaBB God
Posts: 24689
Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -4.87
Re: If all states were to use the ME/NE system, then Obama would have won, 301-237
«
Reply #26 on:
March 02, 2010, 04:21:24 am »
Quote from: Хahar on March 01, 2010, 07:52:20 pm
Quote from: Antonio V on March 01, 2010, 04:34:15 pm
Quote from: Хahar on March 01, 2010, 04:00:11 pm
Quote from: Antonio V on March 01, 2010, 04:46:14 am
Quote from: OFKA Governor Vepres on February 28, 2010, 01:24:03 pm
Quote from: Antonio V on February 28, 2010, 08:17:53 am
Quote from: timmer123 on February 27, 2010, 10:48:56 pm
Quote from: Antonio V on February 27, 2010, 04:21:22 am
Considering the number of States where districts are gerrymandered in favor of Republicans, it's not surprising at all.
That really has little to do with it.
The fact is that Democrats are highly concentrated in few congressional districts around major cities, while most other districts are marginally or strongly Republican.
It means nothing. If congressional districts were drawn fairly, so that the most possible of them are close to the Statewide margin, there would be no problem with democratic underrepresentation. But indeed if the democratic vote is concentred in a few stronghold urban districts, such thing happens. It's all about how you draw districts.
Having districts with an unusual proportion of Democrats would occur even if the lines were drawn fairly. For example, CO-1 makes perfect sense, no matter what else you do in the state, but clearly has a vast number of Democrats.
Depends how you define "fairly drawn districts". The aesthetic aspect of a district isn't a criterion of fairness for me. The only valuable criterion is its competitivity in a situation of overall tie.
For example, in a situation of 50-50 statewide, if a district goes to democrats 60-40, no matter how it looks, then it is gerrymandered. And such gerrymander favors republicans.
Incorrect. If every district was 50-50, and the election result was 55-45, then every seat would go to the winning party.
True, but it would be fairer so than otherwise.
Another possibility is to draw districts which are all 90-10 for one party or the other, but I guess it's quite difficult to do (plus, it destroys competitivity and therefore favors incumbents).
Or you could draw districts that make sense from a geographical perspective and ignore voting patterns.
Such drawing would be unfair, because it necessarily distorts the PV results to the number of districts won.
Logged
Truer today than it was yesterday.
"A good portion of this country has created an alternate universe. I call this place were these folks live Bullsh*t Mountain. The denizens of Bullsh*t Mountain believe many things: they believe that a Kenyan Muslim President has fundamentally changed the relationship between government and the people of this country."
Jon Stewart
jimrtex
YaBB God
Posts: 5089
Re: If all states were to use the ME/NE system, then Obama would have won, 301-237
«
Reply #27 on:
March 15, 2010, 04:22:12 pm »
Quote from: muon2 on February 04, 2010, 10:31:27 pm
Quote from: Getúlio L'Hermine Vargas on March 25, 2009, 03:30:19 pm
The problem with this ME/NE system is gerrymandering.
I agree, but this could be remedied. Congress mandated single-member districts in 1967. The original bill introduced then would have provided for non-gerrymandered redistricting as well. If Congress could pass that law today, the ME/NE system would be more attractive.
Following the 1800 election, the Vermont legislature proposed to Congress that a constitutional amendment be proposed that would have electors popularly elected by electoral district, and that the districts have equal population and not be changed between censuses.
The ME/NE system of having a mix of district and at large electors is somewhat of an anomaly. The more common system was electing all electors from districts.
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