Congressional districts voting for/against Obama in primary and general
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  Congressional districts voting for/against Obama in primary and general
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Author Topic: Congressional districts voting for/against Obama in primary and general  (Read 2647 times)
nclib
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« on: April 08, 2009, 10:30:45 PM »

Husker's counties thread gave me this idea--Obama's performance in CD's he did well in the primary, and in those he didn't do well.

states where all CD's went Obama/Obama: DE,HI,VT,ME,DC
all Clinton/Obama: RI
all Obama/McCain: ND,MT,WY,AK,ID,UT
all Clinton/McCain: SD,WV,AR,OK

the rest broken down by state

AL
Obama/Obama 7
Obama/McCain 1-3,6
Clinton/McCain 4,5

AZ
Clinton/Obama 4,7
Obama/McCain 5
Clinton/McCain 1-3,6,8

CA
Obama/Obama 1,6,8,9,14,23,33,35,37,53
Clinton/Obama 3,5,7,10-13,15-18,20,24-32,34,36,38,39,43-45,47,48,50,51
Clinton/McCain 2,4,19,21,22,40-42,46,49,52

CT
Obama/Obama 1,3-5
Clinton/Obama 2

FL
Obama/Obama 3,11,17,23
Clinton/Obama 8,10,18-20,22
Obama/McCain 1,2
Clinton/McCain 4-7,9,12-16,21,24,25

GA
Obama/Obama 2,4,5,12,13
Obama/McCain 1,3,6-8,10,11
Clinton/McCain 9

IL
Obama/Obama 1-14,16,17
Obama/McCain 15,18,19

IN
Obama/Obama 1,7
Clinton/Obama 2
Obama/McCain 5
Clinton/McCain 3,4,6,8,9

KS
Obama/Obama 3
Obama/McCain 1,2,4

KY
Obama/Obama 3
Clinton/McCain 1,2,4-6

LA
Obama/Obama 2
Obama/McCain 3-7
Clinton/McCain 1

MD
Obama/Obama 2-5,7,8
Clinton/McCain 1,6

MA
Obama/Obama 8
Clinton/Obama 1-7,9,10

MN
Obama/Obama 1,3-5,8
Obama/McCain 2,6,7

MS
Obama/Obama 2
Obama/McCain 3,4
Clinton/McCain 1

MO
Obama/Obama 1,3,5
Obama/McCain 2
Clinton/McCain 4,6-9

NH
Obama/Obama 2
Clinton/Obama 1

NM
Obama/Obama 1,3
Clinton/McCain 2

NY
Obama/Obama 6,10,11
Clinton/Obama 1,2,4,5,7-9,12,14-25,27,28
Clinton/McCain 3,13,26,29

NC
Obama/Obama 1,2,4,8,12,13
Obama/McCain 9
Clinton/McCain 3,5-7,10,11

OH
Obama/Obama 1,11,12
Clinton/Obama 9,10,13,15,17
Obama/McCain 3
Clinton/McCain 2,4-8,14,16,18

OR
Obama/Obama 1,3-5
Obama/McCain 2

PA
Obama/Obama 1,2,6,14
Clinton/Obama 7,8,11,13,15
Obama/McCain 16
Clinton/McCain 3-5,9,10,12,16-19

SC
Obama/Obama 6
Obama/McCain 1-5

TN
Obama/Obama 5,9
Clinton/McCain 1-4,6-8

VA
Obama/Obama 2-4,8,10,11
Obama/McCain 1,5-7
Clinton/McCain 9

WI
Obama/Obama 1-4,6-8
Obama/McCain 5


I don't have consistent data for: IA,MI,TX,NJ,NV,CO,NE,WA
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #1 on: April 08, 2009, 10:42:18 PM »

I don't have consistent data for: IA,MI,TX,NJ,NV,CO,NE,WA

Obama won every CD in CO, NE, and WA in the primary. IA was all Obama/Obama and Clinton/McCain. NV was all Obama/McCain and Clinton/Obama.
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Alcon
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« Reply #2 on: April 10, 2009, 09:40:16 PM »

I don't have consistent data for: IA,MI,TX,NJ,NV,CO,NE,WA

Obama won every CD in CO, NE, and WA in the primary. IA was all Obama/Obama and Clinton/McCain. NV was all Obama/McCain and Clinton/Obama.

If you mean the presidential preference primary, Clinton won WA-3, WA-4 and WA-9; Obama also lost WA-4 in the General.
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #3 on: April 10, 2009, 10:05:55 PM »

I don't have consistent data for: IA,MI,TX,NJ,NV,CO,NE,WA

Obama won every CD in CO, NE, and WA in the primary. IA was all Obama/Obama and Clinton/McCain. NV was all Obama/McCain and Clinton/Obama.

If you mean the presidential preference primary, Clinton won WA-3, WA-4 and WA-9; Obama also lost WA-4 in the General.

I actually meant the caucus. I couldn't find the CD data for the primary.
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Verily
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« Reply #4 on: April 10, 2009, 10:14:00 PM »
« Edited: April 10, 2009, 10:16:56 PM by Verily »

Obama clearly lost every NJ CD except NJ-07 and NJ-10 (and maybe NJ-12) in the primaries, then did win both NJ-10 (overwhelmingly) and NJ-07 (barely) in the general, as well as NJ-12 (decisively but not overwhelmingly). NJ-01, NJ-02, NJ-03, NJ-06, NJ-08, NJ-09 and NJ-13 were all definitely Clinton/Obama; NJ-12 might have been. NJ-04, NJ-05 and NJ-11 were Clinton/McCain.

The primary information can't be confirmed with certainty because NJ doesn't distribute delegates by CD (but rather by special districts used only for delegates), but you can make a pretty good guess based on the county map.
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nclib
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« Reply #5 on: June 06, 2009, 02:04:04 PM »

Obama/Obama 107 districts
Clinton/McCain 102 districts
Clinton/Obama 85 districts (32 in Calif., 22 in NY, 12 in New England)
Obama/McCain 55 districts (30 in South, 13 in Midwest, 10 in Interior West (inc. AK))

Explanations for the bottom two:

Clinton/Obama districts:

1) Ethnic whites in the Northeast - would have preferred Clinton but satisfied voting Democratic
2) Hispanics - see (1)
3) Hillary's Home state of N.Y.

Obama/McCain districts:

1) Southern districts where primary and general voting were both racially polarized--blacks made of a high enough % of voters in the primary but not the general.
2) Interior West where Obama was popular among the few Democrats in the area (and relatively popular among Republicans, but there were still too many Republicans for Obama to win.
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