biggest swing

[Franzl]

which county had the biggest swing?

[Alcon]

Edit: Keep finding bigger ones!

Coal County, Oklahoma, went from Bush +7 to McCain +48, a 41-point swing.  Which is, coincidentally, insane.

[elcorazon]

Edit: Keep finding bigger ones!

Coal County, Oklahoma, went from Bush +7 to McCain +48, a 41-point swing.  Which is, coincidentally, insane.

a 41 point swing AGAINST the national swing of about 9 points toward Obama, which is basicallylike a 50 point swing.  CRAZY.

[Hash]

Edit: Keep finding bigger ones!

Coal County, Oklahoma, went from Bush +7 to McCain +48, a 41-point swing.  Which is, coincidentally, insane.

Joke County

[bgwah]

The second biggest Democrat swing I've found so far Maverick County, Texas that went from +19 Kerry to +57 Obama (a 37.9 point swing). lol

(Honolulu, at 38.3, is the biggest D swing that I know of)

[Lief 🗽]

Honolulu County also had a 38 point swing to Obama, from Kerry +3 to Obama +41. Haha, Hawaii.

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

Edit: Keep finding bigger ones!

Coal County, Oklahoma, went from Bush +7 to McCain +48, a 41-point swing.  Which is, coincidentally, insane.

Not for a county with all of 2200 voters.

We should have a category for counties with more than 25,000 votes.

Meanwhile, check out the college counties in Indiana:

Tippecanoe, IN (Purdue): Bush +19 to Obama + 11 (30 points)
Delaware, IN (Ball State): Bush +14 to Obama + 15 (29 points)
Monroe, IN (Indiana U.): Kerry +8 to Obama + 33 (25 points)
Vigo, IN (Indiana State): Bush +8 to Obama + 15 (23 points)
St. Joseph, IN (Notre Dame): Bush +2 to Obama + 17 (19 points)

That's a fantastic statistic.

[Hash]

The second biggest Democrat swing I've found so far Maverick County, Texas that went from +19 Kerry to +57 Obama (a 37.9 point swing). lol

(Honolulu, at 38.3, is the biggest D swing that I know of)

Apparently they didn't like the "team of mavericks" very much in Maverick Co.

[Harry Hayfield]

As Tippercanoe County, IN was the match for Indiana in 2004  I am suprised that data has only just been released

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Edit: Keep finding bigger ones!

Coal County, Oklahoma, went from Bush +7 to McCain +48, a 41-point swing.  Which is, coincidentally, insane.

Look at all the counties around it, too.

Southeast OK is a joke.  Seriously.

[Holmes]

Edit: Keep finding bigger ones!

Coal County, Oklahoma, went from Bush +7 to McCain +48, a 41-point swing.  Which is, coincidentally, insane.

Not for a county with all of 2200 voters.

We should have a category for counties with more than 25,000 votes.

Meanwhile, check out the college counties in Indiana:

Tippecanoe, IN (Purdue): Bush +19 to Obama + 11 (30 points)
Delaware, IN (Ball State): Bush +14 to Obama + 15 (29 points)
Monroe, IN (Indiana U.): Kerry +8 to Obama + 33 (25 points)
Vigo, IN (Indiana State): Bush +8 to Obama + 15 (23 points)
St. Joseph, IN (Notre Dame): Bush +2 to Obama + 17 (19 points)

That's a fantastic statistic.

Honestly, some of those are kinda underwhelming for college counties, but the swings are pretty big.

[Associate Justice PiT]

Edit: Keep finding bigger ones!

Coal County, Oklahoma, went from Bush +7 to McCain +48, a 41-point swing.  Which is, coincidentally, insane.

a 41 point swing AGAINST the national swing of about 9 points toward Obama, which is basicallylike a 50 point swing.  CRAZY.

     50 point trend, basically. I strongly doubt any county trended further than that, though that's besides the topic question.

[Kaine for Senate '18]

Albemarle (UVA) had a swing of 16%.
Montgomery (VT) had a swing of 14%.
Williamsburg (W&M) had a swing of 26%.

[Verily]

Kendall County, IL went from 60% Bush to 53% Obama, which is the second-largest swing I can find where the county changed hands, swing of 29.4% (after Tippecanoe County, IN, which swung 30.9%, from 59% Bush to 55% Obama). I think Kendall is the only county where Bush won more than 60% that Obama won. (Check that, also true of Rockdale, Newton and Douglas Counties, Georgia. Stupid Atlanta, always screwing things up.)

Dubois County, IN swung 34.0% from 69% Bush to 51% McCain.

[nclib]

Edit: Keep finding bigger ones!

Coal County, Oklahoma, went from Bush +7 to McCain +48, a 41-point swing.  Which is, coincidentally, insane.

Not for a county with all of 2200 voters.

We should have a category for counties with more than 25,000 votes.

Yeah, small counties can more easily have wild swings. This thread, though the numbers might been adjusted since then, has swings with counties over 100,000 votes.

I'm also computing CD swings as such are being made available. So far:

to Obama:

HI-1   36.51
HI-2   35.84
IN-4   26.29
IN-7   25.84
IN-5   24.6
IL-8   24.38
CA-47   23.76


to McCain:

AR-1   15.79
AR-4   14.9
KY-5   13.77
TN-4   12.98
OK-2   12.38

[pbrower2a]

Edit: Keep finding bigger ones!

Coal County, Oklahoma, went from Bush +7 to McCain +48, a 41-point swing.  Which is, coincidentally, insane.

Not for a county with all of 2200 voters.

We should have a category for counties with more than 25,000 votes.

Meanwhile, check out the college counties in Indiana:

Tippecanoe, IN (Purdue): Bush +19 to Obama + 11 (30 points)
Delaware, IN (Ball State): Bush +14 to Obama + 15 (29 points)
Monroe, IN (Indiana U.): Kerry +8 to Obama + 33 (25 points)
Vigo, IN (Indiana State): Bush +8 to Obama + 15 (23 points)
St. Joseph, IN (Notre Dame): Bush +2 to Obama + 17 (19 points)

That's a fantastic statistic.

It also portends ill for the GOP. The State colleges churn out teachers, which implies that schools will be inundated with Bush-bashers for decades among those born in the 1980s and 1990s. Schools are the incubators for political values. But even among non-teachers, that implies that even those young adults who go into private industry are less likely to put some right-wing bumper sticker on the bumper. That includes Purdue, which has a fine engineering school.

Anything on Steuben County, which has a small university (Tri-State, as it was then known)?

The GOP absolutely must redefine itself to have relevance beyond current times.


Contrary to the image that one gets of Notre Dame University as a university of cultural and intellectual importance (it is!) it is really a small school, and St. Joseph County is very much an industrial area.

   

[minionofmidas]

Tippecanoe, IN (Purdue): Bush +19 to Obama + 11 (30 points)
Delaware, IN (Ball State): Bush +14 to Obama + 15 (29 points)
Monroe, IN (Indiana U.): Kerry +8 to Obama + 33 (25 points)
Vigo, IN (Indiana State): Bush +8 to Obama + 15 (23 points)
St. Joseph, IN (Notre Dame): Bush +2 to Obama + 17 (19 points)

That's a fantastic statistic.

Anything on Steuben County, which has a small university (Tri-State, as it was then known)?

Bush +32 to McCain +10 (22 points)