Is Arizona in Play for the Democrats?

[minionofmidas]

Of course it's in play.
And of course it remains lean Rep for now.

Clinton in 1996 was the first Democrat to carry AZ since Harry Truman.

[minionofmidas]

In 1992, they'd have split roughly 50-50 (those who would have voted)
In 1996, the vast majority would've preferred Dole. Although I guess there's still some who wouldn't have voted, so Clinton wins narrowly (but not in AZ). Plus, the race would have been close in that case, turnout higher, and Clinton would have been a net beneficiary of that.