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Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
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States with 90+% for one candidate?
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Poll
Question:
Like the early part of the 19th Century. Will we ever see states giving 90+% to one candidate?
Yes
16 (26.7%)
No
33 (55%)
Maybe
11 (18.3%)
Show Pie Chart
Total Voters: 57
Author
Topic: States with 90+% for one candidate? (Read 7412 times)
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StatesRights
YaBB God
Posts: 31519
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00
States with 90+% for one candidate?
«
on:
October 04, 2004, 01:31:25 am »
its your choose...
Edit : I meant to say the early part of the 20th Century!
DOH!
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A18
YaBB God
Posts: 23972
Political Matrix
E: 9.23, S: -6.35
Re: States with 90+% for one candidate?
«
Reply #1 on:
October 04, 2004, 01:48:29 am »
Probably one day
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Gabu
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Re: States with 90+% for one candidate?
«
Reply #2 on:
October 04, 2004, 01:55:16 am »
Yes, but it would have to be an extremely good politician like Reagan or FDR (and even they didn't achieve that, to my recollection) and the country would have to be less polarized on isses. When half of the country disagrees with the other half, 90% voting in one direction in any large area is unlikely.
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??????????
StatesRights
YaBB God
Posts: 31519
Political Matrix
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Re: States with 90+% for one candidate?
«
Reply #3 on:
October 04, 2004, 01:56:26 am »
Quote from: Gabu on October 04, 2004, 01:55:16 am
Yes, but it would have to be an extremely good politician like Reagan or FDR (and even they didn't achieve that, to my recollection) and the country would have to be less polarized on isses. When half of the country disagrees with the other half, 90% voting in one direction in any large area is unlikely.
The south was pretty polarized from the north from 1865-1960.
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Gabu
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Re: States with 90+% for one candidate?
«
Reply #4 on:
October 04, 2004, 01:58:13 am »
Quote from: Senator StatesRights on October 04, 2004, 01:56:26 am
Quote from: Gabu on October 04, 2004, 01:55:16 am
Yes, but it would have to be an extremely good politician like Reagan or FDR (and even they didn't achieve that, to my recollection) and the country would have to be less polarized on isses. When half of the country disagrees with the other half, 90% voting in one direction in any large area is unlikely.
The south was pretty polarized from the north from 1865-1960.
Yes, but that's one region disagreeing with the other. Currently the disagreement is more widespread and is not localized as one region against another, although certain regions are more tilted to one end than others.
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Nym90
nym90
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Re: States with 90+% for one candidate?
«
Reply #5 on:
October 04, 2004, 07:50:20 am »
Quote from: Gabu on October 04, 2004, 01:55:16 am
Yes, but it would have to be an extremely good politician like Reagan or FDR (and even they didn't achieve that, to my recollection) and the country would have to be less polarized on isses. When half of the country disagrees with the other half, 90% voting in one direction in any large area is unlikely.
FDR got over 90% in some Southern states.
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Donovan
Full Member
Posts: 237
Re: States with 90+% for one candidate?
«
Reply #6 on:
October 05, 2004, 03:17:29 am »
If Washington DC becomes a State the Democrats will get 90% of the vote in that state.
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A18
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Posts: 23972
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Re: States with 90+% for one candidate?
«
Reply #7 on:
October 05, 2004, 11:56:18 am »
Washington DC will not become a state
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Vasall des Midas
Lewis Trondheim
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Posts: 56719
Re: States with 90+% for one candidate?
«
Reply #8 on:
October 05, 2004, 12:27:44 pm »
A dem polling 53%+ nationally would likely get 90% in DC.
Otherwise, not in the foreseeable future.
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A18
YaBB God
Posts: 23972
Political Matrix
E: 9.23, S: -6.35
Re: States with 90+% for one candidate?
«
Reply #9 on:
October 05, 2004, 12:30:05 pm »
DC is not a state
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Redefeatbush04
YaBB God
Posts: 1500
Re: States with 90+% for one candidate?
«
Reply #10 on:
October 09, 2004, 02:08:05 pm »
It would have to be someone moderate, like McCain. Or perhaps someone who is strong on defense, an environmentalist, fairly liberal on social issues....yet religious, supports tax cuts, and has no congressional record to defend.....a governor would be best.
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Harry
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Posts: 17762
Re: States with 90+% for one candidate?
«
Reply #11 on:
October 09, 2004, 02:15:42 pm »
maybe a reknowned governor of a state like MA or UT...
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Jim Valvano
Liberty
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Posts: 1326
Re: States with 90+% for one candidate?
«
Reply #12 on:
October 09, 2004, 05:31:31 pm »
It didn't matter if it was FDR in 1936 or Cox in 1920, South Carolina was always giving the Democrat about 95% of its vote. I don't think a Republican party even existed in the state until the 1950s. For all the talk of polarization that's going around, I don't see a state ever being as one sided as South Carolina was for all those years.
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Redefeatbush04
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Posts: 1500
Re: States with 90+% for one candidate?
«
Reply #13 on:
October 09, 2004, 09:58:58 pm »
If McCain ran for president ..... he would probablly win all but Rhode Island and D.C, I'd be willing to bet Utah is somewhere around 85%. That's close enough.
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Redefeatbush04
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Posts: 1500
Re: States with 90+% for one candidate?
«
Reply #14 on:
October 09, 2004, 10:00:55 pm »
South Carolina is still pretty one sided. The reason it is now running around 60% is because blacks can, and do, vote.
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StatesRights
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Posts: 31519
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00
Re: States with 90+% for one candidate?
«
Reply #15 on:
October 10, 2004, 12:12:26 am »
Quote from: Redefeatbush04 on October 09, 2004, 10:00:55 pm
South Carolina is still pretty one sided. The reason it is now running around 60% is because blacks can, and do, vote.
Very true. But beware because I believe National Democrats should start worrying. Blacks are starting to swing Republican here in the south. I believe Bush will improve his %'s among black southerners. As black southerners realize their conservative social views fit better w/Republicans then I believe their vote will follow.
And welcome to the forum ReDefeat. Nice to see you finally step out of the prediction section and into the real world.
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AuH2O
YaBB God
Posts: 4256
Re: States with 90+% for one candidate?
«
Reply #16 on:
October 10, 2004, 12:15:29 am »
I am more sure Bush will improve with black voters than I am sure he will win the election. Then again, hard not to improve after 2000.
A governor of Kansas or Utah or something could get up to 75% maybe, but not 90.
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Redefeatbush04
YaBB God
Posts: 1500
Re: States with 90+% for one candidate?
«
Reply #17 on:
October 11, 2004, 07:40:41 pm »
thanks statesrights
«
Last Edit: March 21, 2005, 10:40:48 pm by Redefeatbush04
»
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DC Al Fine
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Posts: 2639
Re: States with 90+% for one candidate?
«
Reply #18 on:
January 18, 2013, 09:24:13 am »
Quote from: Donovan on October 05, 2004, 03:17:29 am
If Washington DC becomes a State the Democrats will get 90% of the vote in that state.
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soniquemd21921
Full Member
Posts: 114
Re: States with 90+% for one candidate?
«
Reply #19 on:
January 18, 2013, 11:00:17 am »
Quote from: Jim Valvano on October 09, 2004, 05:31:31 pm
It didn't matter if it was FDR in 1936 or Cox in 1920, South Carolina was always giving the Democrat about 95% of its vote. I don't think a Republican party even existed in the state until the 1950s. For all the talk of polarization that's going around, I don't see a state ever being as one sided as South Carolina was for all those years.
Don't forget Mississippi. Between 1896 and 1948, the GOP broke 10 percent in Mississippi only twice: in 1920 (14 percent) and 1928 (18 percent).
Even Vermont was never as one-sided as Mississippi and South Carolina when it was Republican. The highest percentage any GOP presidential candidate got in VT was when McKinley got 80% in 1896, followed by Coolidge's 78% in 1924.
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