Which national pollsters do we pay attention to?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 26, 2024, 10:46:35 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2004 U.S. Presidential Election
  Which national pollsters do we pay attention to?		 « previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Which national pollsters do we pay attention to?  (Read 890 times)
Pollwatch99
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 549


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 05, 2004, 06:23:37 PM »
Lots to polls are coming out nationally to state the obvious.  Anybody care to list their top 3 and tell us why?  Some are clearly junk polls too heavy a sample of democrats or republicans.  Here is my list of polling firms reporting national results.

Fox News/Opinion Dynamics
ABC News/WP
ARG 
CBS News/NYT
Pew Research
Zogby
CNN/USAT/Gallup
Newsweek 
Battleground 
LA Times
IBD/TIPP 
Time
Marist
CBS News 
AP/Ipsos
NBC News/WSJ
Harris
Survery USA
Democracy Corps
Logged
The Vorlon
Vorlon
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,660


Political Matrix
E: 8.00, S: -4.21

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 05, 2004, 06:25:07 PM »
Quote from: Pollwatch99 on October 05, 2004, 06:23:37 PM
Lots to polls are coming out nationally to state the obvious.  Anybody care to list their top 3 and tell us why?  Some are clearly junk polls too heavy a sample of democrats or republicans.  Here is my list of polling firms reporting national results.

Fox News/Opinion Dynamics
ABC News/WP
ARG 
CBS News/NYT
Pew Research
Zogby
CNN/USAT/Gallup
Newsweek 
Battleground 
LA Times
IBD/TIPP 
Time
Marist
CBS News 
AP/Ipsos
NBC News/WSJ
Harris
Survery USA
Democracy Corps



Trust 'em by the dozen...

Ignore them 1 by 1.. Smiley
Logged
AuH2O
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,239


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 05, 2004, 06:25:30 PM »
This time around:

Pew
Ipsos
Gallup

With a glance at:

OD
Battleground
IBD/TIPP
Marist

State-level, it's Strategic Vision and then a smattering of large sample local jobs.
Logged
Pollwatch99
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 549


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 05, 2004, 06:30:32 PM »
Quote from: The Vorlon on October 05, 2004, 06:25:07 PM
Quote from: Pollwatch99 on October 05, 2004, 06:23:37 PM
Lots to polls are coming out nationally to state the obvious.  Anybody care to list their top 3 and tell us why?  Some are clearly junk polls too heavy a sample of democrats or republicans.  Here is my list of polling firms reporting national results.

Fox News/Opinion Dynamics
ABC News/WP
ARG 
CBS News/NYT
Pew Research
Zogby
CNN/USAT/Gallup
Newsweek 
Battleground 
LA Times
IBD/TIPP 
Time
Marist
CBS News 
AP/Ipsos
NBC News/WSJ
Harris
Survery USA
Democracy Corps



Trust 'em by the dozen...

Ignore them 1 by 1.. Smiley

okay that's what I've been doing
Logged
A18
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,794
Political Matrix
E: 9.23, S: -6.35

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 05, 2004, 07:46:20 PM »
Well, going by their track record, polls showing Bush in the lead are always worth paying attention to.

Polls showing Kerry has closed the gap, on the other hand, are complete trash and should be ignored.
Logged
Pollwatch99
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 549


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 05, 2004, 07:54:37 PM »
Quote from: Philip on October 05, 2004, 07:46:20 PM
Well, going by their track record, polls showing Bush in the lead are always worth paying attention to.

Polls showing Kerry has closed the gap, on the other hand, are complete trash and should be ignored.

Being in denial isn't good.  However 6 of the 9 post-debate polls show little or no change for Bush.  3 show big Kerry jumps and could very well be significantly overstated.  They should all show similar trends but since 2/3's don't we are in better shape than I thought 
Logged
A18
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,794
Political Matrix
E: 9.23, S: -6.35

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 05, 2004, 08:00:57 PM »
No, I'm serious. Polls showing Kerry in the lead always end up being Newsweek or something.
Logged
CARLHAYDEN
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,638


Political Matrix
E: 1.38, S: -0.51

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 05, 2004, 08:24:04 PM »
Quote from: Pollwatch99 on October 05, 2004, 06:23:37 PM
Lots to polls are coming out nationally to state the obvious.  Anybody care to list their top 3 and tell us why?  Some are clearly junk polls too heavy a sample of democrats or republicans.  Here is my list of polling firms reporting national results.

Fox News/Opinion Dynamics
ABC News/WP
ARG 
CBS News/NYT
Pew Research
Zogby
CNN/USAT/Gallup
Newsweek 
Battleground 
LA Times
IBD/TIPP 
Time
Marist
CBS News 
AP/Ipsos
NBC News/WSJ
Harris
Survery USA
Democracy Corps



Don't forget Mason-Dixon.

Also, Field is the grand old man of California polling.
Logged
A18
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,794
Political Matrix
E: 9.23, S: -6.35

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 05, 2004, 08:27:53 PM »
Cheney is killing Edwards in this debate. Anyone think there'll be a Cheney bump?
Logged
Pollwatch99
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 549


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 05, 2004, 09:46:15 PM »
Quote from: Philip on October 05, 2004, 08:27:53 PM
Cheney is killing Edwards in this debate. Anyone think there'll be a Cheney bump?
No; he stabilized the situation for Bush as he has done since 2000 election and his presidency.  The man is as steady a rock as you can find
Logged
ian
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,461


Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: -1.39

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 05, 2004, 09:57:41 PM »
I have to give props to my man, Rasmussen.  He is the most reliable pollster that there is.  The man rarely screws up and when he does, his mistake is corrected shortly.  I consider Rasmussen Reports to be the only polling company that is reliable and accurate.  And he should be added to the list.  Wink
Logged
cwelsch
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 677


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 06, 2004, 12:26:15 AM »
I like Rasmussen, but that might be because he's one of the few pollsters that even gives libertarians the time of day.  I'd also say Zogby for similar reasons but self-selected online polling was garbage.
Logged
○∙◄☻„tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,734


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: October 06, 2004, 01:41:40 AM »
Quote from: AuH2O on October 05, 2004, 06:25:30 PM
This time around:

Pew
Ipsos
Gallup

With a glance at:

OD
Battleground
IBD/TIPP
Marist

State-level, it's Strategic Vision and then a smattering of large sample local jobs.

I don't trust any polling agency that gets 16 point swing in party ID in 7 days.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.24 seconds with 13 queries.