Which Republican Senators will vote for Sotomayor? (user search)
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  Which Republican Senators will vote for Sotomayor? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Which Republican Senators will vote for Sotomayor?  (Read 15314 times)
JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 6,798
« on: May 27, 2009, 07:30:24 AM »
My guess: Collins, Gregg, Hatch, Lugar, Snowe, Voinovich. That would be five of the seven who voted for her in the 90s plus Voinovich, who has supported nearly all of Obama's appointments so far (I think Kagan was his only no vote). As to the other two from the gang of seven, I'm sure Cochran will switch, and Bennett will probably do so as well, more because of his primary challenge than anything.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 6,798
« Reply #1 on: May 28, 2009, 05:43:43 PM »
« Edited: May 28, 2009, 05:48:27 PM by JohnnyLongtorso »
I figured KBH would vote "no" because it would help her win the primary. She'd be a lock to win the general anyway.

Edit: Nelson put out a statement that looks a lot more positive than his previous comments:

"President Obama is to be commended for selecting a nominee with a significant breadth and depth of legal experience to replace retiring Justice David Souter," Nelson says, "I look forward to learning more about Judge Sonia Sotomayor's background, record and qualifications -- and to meeting with her to discuss her judicial philosophy -- as this important United States Supreme Court nomination moves forward."

I suspect he'll vote yes. I don't see problems with any other Democrats. Landrieu did vote yes in 1998.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #2 on: July 12, 2009, 02:11:30 PM »
« Edited: July 14, 2009, 05:34:04 PM by JohnnyLongtorso »
Bump since the hearings are starting tomorrow. Schumer apparently thinks it'll be 80+ "aye". I'm skeptical.

Confirmed "nay"s:

Sam Brownback
James Inhofe
Pat Roberts

Leaving us with 37 (I'm assuming unanimity among Democrats/Bernie/CfL). This is what I'd break them down to [edited]:

"Aye"s:

Susan Collins
Lindsey Graham
Judd Gregg
Dick Lugar
Olympia Snowe
George Voinovich

Swing voters:

Lamar Alexander
Kit Bond
Orrin Hatch
Mel Martinez
Lisa Murkowski

"Nay"s:

John Barrasso
Bob Bennett
Jim Bunning
Richard Burr
Saxby Chambliss
Tom Coburn
Thad Cochran
Bob Corker
John Cornyn
Mike Crapo
Jim DeMint
John Ensign
Mike Enzi
Chuck Grassley
Kay Bailey Hutchison
Johnny Isakson
Mike Johanns
Jon Kyl
John McCain
Mitch McConnell
Jim Risch
Jeff Sessions
Dick Shelby
John Thune
David Vitter
Roger Wicker
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #3 on: July 14, 2009, 07:28:33 AM »
Quote from: Senator Purple State on July 13, 2009, 11:18:46 PM
I would say that, unless Sotomayor says some really stupid things, you can move Hatch to Aye.

Ultimately he will probably vote aye, but his opening remarks sounded pretty pessimistic (although I guess that was more in a general sense).
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #4 on: July 14, 2009, 05:34:51 PM »
Cornyn votes along the lines of DeMint, Coburn, and Bunning, so I'd count him as a 100% hell no.

McCain won't vote for her, he didn't vote for her last time.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #5 on: July 16, 2009, 06:15:21 PM »
This AP article says Bunning is a confirmed "no" (shocking, I know):

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/us_sotomayor_senate

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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #6 on: July 17, 2009, 06:44:48 PM »
Snowe has also (unsurprisingly) announced her support. Bunning, McConnell and Bennett (damn primaries!) have announced their opposition. Updated list:

Confirmed "yea"s:

Dick Lugar
Mel Martinez
Olympia Snowe

Confirmed "nay"s:

Bob Bennett
Sam Brownback
Jim Bunning
James Inhofe
Mitch McConnell
Pat Roberts

Predicted votes:

"Aye"s:

Susan Collins
Lindsey Graham
Judd Gregg
George Voinovich

Swing voters:

Lamar Alexander
Kit Bond
Orrin Hatch
Lisa Murkowski

"Nay"s:

John Barrasso
Richard Burr
Saxby Chambliss
Tom Coburn
Thad Cochran
Bob Corker
John Cornyn
Mike Crapo
Jim DeMint
John Ensign
Mike Enzi
Chuck Grassley
Kay Bailey Hutchison
Johnny Isakson
Mike Johanns
Jon Kyl
John McCain
Jim Risch
Jeff Sessions
Dick Shelby
John Thune
David Vitter
Roger Wicker
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #7 on: July 20, 2009, 05:05:23 PM »
We've got another confirmed no: John Thune.

http://www.keloland.com/News/NewsDetail6375.cfm?Id=87518
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #8 on: July 21, 2009, 05:42:21 PM »
« Edited: July 21, 2009, 07:03:51 PM by JohnnyLongtorso »
Collins, unsurprisingly, announced her support today, and Roger Wicker announced his opposition.

Time to update the list [edited to drop the "swing voter" category]:

Confirmed "yea"s:

Susan Collins
Dick Lugar
Mel Martinez
Olympia Snowe

Confirmed "nay"s:

Bob Bennett
Sam Brownback
Jim Bunning
James Inhofe
Mitch McConnell
Pat Roberts
John Thune
Roger Wicker

Predicted votes:

"Aye"s:

Lindsey Graham
Judd Gregg
Orrin Hatch
Lisa Murkowski
George Voinovich

"Nay"s:

Lamar Alexander
John Barrasso
Kit Bond
Richard Burr
Saxby Chambliss
Tom Coburn
Thad Cochran
Bob Corker
John Cornyn
Mike Crapo
Jim DeMint
John Ensign
Mike Enzi
Chuck Grassley
Kay Bailey Hutchison
Johnny Isakson
Mike Johanns
Jon Kyl
John McCain
Jim Risch
Jeff Sessions
Dick Shelby
David Vitter
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #9 on: July 21, 2009, 06:27:35 PM »
Mississippi Sen.  Roger Wicker (R) just announced he would oppose Sotomayor, primarily because of her comments on the Second Amendment. "I have great respect for Judge Sotomayor's life story and professional accomplishments," Wicker said in a statement. "However, this appreciation does not change or hide the flaws in her record and judicial philosophy."
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #10 on: July 22, 2009, 07:04:39 PM »
Cochran also a no:

http://www.americanchronicle.com/articles/yb/133267726

Shocking, all of these announcements. Pure shock. It seems like every time a Republican says they'll vote yes, two come out against Sotomayor.

The list, once again, with 15/40 Republicans confirmed:

Confirmed "yea"s:

Susan Collins
Lindsey Graham
Dick Lugar
Mel Martinez
Olympia Snowe

Confirmed "nay"s:

Bob Bennett
Sam Brownback
Jim Bunning
Thad Cochran
James Inhofe
Jon Kyl
Mitch McConnell
Pat Roberts
John Thune
Roger Wicker

Predicted votes:

"Aye"s:

Judd Gregg
Orrin Hatch
Lisa Murkowski
George Voinovich

"Nay"s:

Lamar Alexander
John Barrasso
Kit Bond
Richard Burr
Saxby Chambliss
Tom Coburn
Bob Corker
John Cornyn
Mike Crapo
Jim DeMint
John Ensign
Mike Enzi
Chuck Grassley
Kay Bailey Hutchison
Johnny Isakson
Mike Johanns
John McCain
Jim Risch
Jeff Sessions
Dick Shelby
David Vitter
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #11 on: July 24, 2009, 11:45:15 AM »
Two more no votes: cornyn, not a surprise, and hatch, who is a surprise. This will be the first time he's voted against a scotus nominee in his tenure on the judiciary committee.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #12 on: July 24, 2009, 05:54:46 PM »


“I entered into the confirmation process of Judge Sotomayor with the strong desire to vote in favor of her nomination. Her credentials and experience are very impressive and her personal demeanor is pleasantly cordial and friendly. I found that the great respect I have for Judge Sotomayor’s heritage and history added even more to my desire to carefully review her record and opinions in hopes of finding them truly grounded in the rule of law and acceptable to earn the support and trust of the American people and myself.

“Arriving at a final decision was particularly difficult because I like and highly respect Judge Sotomayor and, in general, give a great deal of deference to any President’s nominee. The prospect of a woman of Puerto Rican heritage serving on the Supreme Court brought great excitement to me and says a lot about America.

“However, after thoroughly reviewing Judge Sotomayor’s record and being able to hear her testimony and responses during the hearing process, I reluctantly, and with a heavy heart, have found that I cannot support her nomination to the U.S. Supreme Court. In truth, I wish President Obama had chosen a Hispanic nominee that all Senators could support. I believe it would it would have done a great deal for our great county. Although Judge Sotomayor has a compelling life story and dedication to public service, her statements and record were too much at odds with the principles and the judiciary in which I deeply believe.

“As I said during the hearing, some of Judge Sotomayor’s critics have been intemperate and unfair. No nominee deserves that kind of treatment. I was grateful her confirmation hearing was both dignified and thorough, as they all should be. I was particularly pleased that Judge Sotomayor felt her hearing was as gracious and fair as she could have asked for.

“During my analysis, I focused on her record and applied standards and principles that define the kind of judge all Americans need. Qualifications for judicial service include not only legal experience but, more importantly, a nominee’s approach to judging. This make Judge Sotomayor’s judicial philosophy more important than her stellar resume. I thoroughly examined her record with the more exacting focus appropriate for a Supreme Court nomination. This included reading and studying Judge Sotomayor’s speeches, articles, and cases; meeting with and hearing from legal experts and advocates from different perspectives; and actively participating in the confirmation hearing.

“The duty of confirmation entrusted to all Senators requires we determine whether Judge Sotomayor has the legal experience and, more importantly, the judicial philosophy that properly equips her for service on the Supreme Court. I have done my best to leave politics aside and stay true to this standard during all twelve Supreme Court confirmations I have participated in. It saddens me to realize that after reviewing her record, I have reluctantly concluded that I cannot vote in favor of her confirmation. However, I wish her well in her future endeavors and believe she is a wonderful and talented American with much to offer this great country.”
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #13 on: July 25, 2009, 06:56:24 AM »
Quote from: px75 on July 24, 2009, 12:01:50 PM
Apparently Cornyn either is more tone deaf than anyone imagined or he has a political death wish.
What remains to be seen is what kind of signal that vote sends to his senate recruits.

I really don't understand why everyone thinks this vote is the kiss of death to Republicans in Latino-heavy states. Presumably the Latinos that vote for Republicans won't be dissuaded by this vote, as they're probably conservative in the first place. Cornyn won re-election by 55-43 while losing Latinos 61-36, so it's not like he's got that much further down to go among that constituency.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #14 on: July 27, 2009, 06:08:24 AM »
« Edited: July 27, 2009, 05:31:55 PM by JohnnyLongtorso »
Sessions is a no:

http://blog.al.com/sweethome/2009/07/alabama_senator_jeff_sessions.html

Here's the list again (updated):

Confirmed "yea"s:

Susan Collins
Lindsey Graham
Dick Lugar
Mel Martinez
Olympia Snowe

Confirmed "nay"s:

Bob Bennett
Sam Brownback
Jim Bunning
Thad Cochran
John Cornyn
Mike Crapo
Chuck Grassley
Orrin Hatch
James Inhofe
Mike Johanns
Jon Kyl
Mitch McConnell
Jim Risch
Pat Roberts
Jeff Sessions
John Thune
Roger Wicker

Predicted votes:

"Yea"s:

Judd Gregg
Lisa Murkowski
George Voinovich

"Nay"s:

Lamar Alexander
John Barrasso
Kit Bond
Richard Burr
Saxby Chambliss
Tom Coburn
Bob Corker
Jim DeMint
John Ensign
Mike Enzi
Kay Bailey Hutchison
Johnny Isakson
John McCain
Dick Shelby
David Vitter
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #15 on: July 27, 2009, 05:31:13 PM »
More no votes: Grassley, Crapo, Risch, and Johanns. List above updated. We now have over half the Republican caucus on record, as 17-5 against.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #16 on: July 27, 2009, 07:48:33 PM »
Specter has said he'll vote for her. Nelson has been pretty tight-lipped about the whole thing, but I expect he'll quietly vote for her. I don't imagine he wants to rock the boat, especially when he can point out to his constituents that he voted for Alito as well. The "I support the president's nominees if they're qualified, regardless of party" defense.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #17 on: July 28, 2009, 05:51:24 PM »
More nos: Shelby and Hutchison. I'm sure everyone's more interest in Hutchison's reasoning:

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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #18 on: July 28, 2009, 08:19:58 PM »
Vitter also a no:

http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5hArCPOGdKY39zYIZJs_V4GZxuD2gD99NPPR00
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #19 on: July 29, 2009, 05:43:40 PM »
« Edited: July 29, 2009, 06:57:50 PM by JohnnyLongtorso »
Burr and Demint also came out as nos. Meanwhile, Ben Nelson engages in a little hand-wringing:

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Here's the list... (updated)

Confirmed "yea"s:

Susan Collins
Lindsey Graham
Dick Lugar
Mel Martinez
Olympia Snowe

Confirmed "nay"s:

Bob Bennett
Sam Brownback
Jim Bunning
Richard Burr
Tom Coburn
Thad Cochran
Bob Corker
John Cornyn
Mike Crapo
Jim DeMint
Chuck Grassley
Orrin Hatch
Kay Bailey Hutchison
James Inhofe
Mike Johanns
Jon Kyl
Mitch McConnell
Jim Risch
Pat Roberts
Jeff Sessions
Dick Shelby
John Thune
David Vitter
Roger Wicker

Predicted votes:

"Yea"s:

Kit Bond
Judd Gregg
Lisa Murkowski
George Voinovich

"Nay"s:

Lamar Alexander
John Barrasso
Saxby Chambliss
John Ensign
Mike Enzi
Johnny Isakson
John McCain
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #20 on: July 29, 2009, 05:53:03 PM »
I think Nelson wishes he could be back in the governor's mansion. That way he wouldn't have to deal with these scary Nuyorican women.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #21 on: July 29, 2009, 06:56:57 PM »
« Edited: July 29, 2009, 06:58:34 PM by JohnnyLongtorso »
Corker is the latest no: http://www.chattanoogan.com/articles/article_155794.asp

Also, Kit Bond apparently said he'll "probably" vote for Sotomayor, so I moved him to the predicted "yea" column.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #22 on: July 30, 2009, 05:39:07 PM »
The Georgia twins say no:

http://www.macon.com/news/breaking_news/story/793774.html
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #23 on: July 30, 2009, 08:15:34 PM »
Quote from: Swedish Cheese on July 30, 2009, 07:59:35 PM
Quote from: ukchris82 on July 30, 2009, 09:03:17 AM
Alexander (R-TN) to vote in favour of nominee.
Announced on senate floor this morning.

Wow O.o

That was unexpected.

Actually, Lamar! tends to be fairly moderate for a Southern Republican. I'm not too surprised that he's voting for her, although I was expecting him to vote against.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #24 on: July 31, 2009, 06:37:12 PM »
Baucus does the backtrack shuffle:

http://www.greatfallstribune.com/article/20090731/NEWS01/90731009
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