Actually, New Mexico would be at least moderate risk and quite possibly high risk, although I haven't seen any polls on it. But given NM social conservatism on other issues, and the fact that we banned partial-birth abortions *before* the feds did - with around half of the Democrats joining almost all the Republicans in the State Legislature, I'd say there's quite a good chance of it.
Mantra: NM has a large number of Democrats, but not a large number of social liberals.
No way Richardson signs that though.
1. Are you sure? He's against gay marriage, you know.
2. Or the State Legislature could just circumvent him and make it an amendment to the state constitution which is voted on in the next General Election.
3. In any event, it would depend on the exact content of the bill - a complete ban would probably fail, but one with the rape/incest/life of the mother exemption (and probably a health of the mother exemption with restrictions so people can't use morning sickness as an excuse for an abortion), first trimester only bill would very likely pass both the Legislature and the popular vote. We ain't Massachusetts here...