2009 European and Parliamentary elections in Bulgaria

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GMantis:
Here are some preliminary results:
http://www.novinite.com/view_news.php?id=105415
However the voting from abroad has not been accounted for and this means that DPS will improve, perhaps even reach secsond place. It's also rather likely that RZS will be left out of parliament, and GERB could have an absolute majority.

Bono:
GMantis, what are the differences between the various right-wing parties? Is it just a matter of personalities, or are there any actual ideological differences?

GMantis:
Quote from: The sun came up with no conclusions on July 05, 2009, 03:23:22 PM

GMantis, what are the differences between the various right-wing parties? Is it just a matter of personalities, or are there any actual ideological differences?


I would say that they are very small, if any. GERB, while presenting itself as populist, is actually very liberal in the European sense, at least economically. SDS (UDF) one of the two members of the Blue coalition is as liberal as GERB, as is NDSV (despite presenting themselves as centrist). Only DSB - the other major member of the Blue coalition can be said to have some populist leanings and they're not really important.
Of course, there is very little difference between the right-wing parties and BSP. They only major differences are that the right-wing parties want even lower taxes (but BSP has supported the introduction of a very low flat tax) and that BSP supports a more balanced foreign policy and not total subservience to the EU and the US.

big bad fab:
Quote from: Губернатор на СЗ GMantis on July 05, 2009, 12:11:21 PM

Quote from: Tender Branson on July 05, 2009, 11:46:49 AM

Btw, does anyone know how the amount of Turks in Bulgaria has changed over time ?

I think it was 9.5% in the 2001 Census, but since then the population of Bulgaria has fallen by almost 500.000 people. Is it like in Austria, that Turkish women have twice the fertility rate of Austrian/Bulgarian women, meaning their share has increased to 10-12% over the last 8 years ?


Bulgarian Turks have only a slightly higher fertility rate than ethnic Bulgarians and they're also affected by emigration to Turkey, it's only Gypsies that have a very high fertility rate.
I don't think anyone knows the current ethnic composition of Bulgaria. This is not surprising considering that no one really knows how many they were in 2001, as up to 40% of the who declared themselves Turks are Gypsies or Muslim Bulgarians.
If you mean historically:

          Total        Bulgarians          Turks                 Greeks          Jews           Roma
1880 2,823,865 1,919,067 67.96 701,984 24.86  54,205 1.92 18,519 0.66 57,148    2.02
1887 3,154,375 2,326,250 73.75 607,331 19.25  58,326 1.85 23,571 0.75 50,291   1.60
1892 3,310,713 2,505,326 75.67 569,728 17.21  58,518 1.77 27,531 0.83 52,132   1.57
1900 3,744,283 2,887,860 77.13 539,656 14.41  70,887 1.89 32,573 0.87 89,549   2.39
1905 4,035,575 3,205,019 79.42 497,820 12.34  69,761 1.73 36,455 0.90 94,649   2.35
1910 4,337,513 3,523,311 81.23 504,560 11.63  50,886 1.17 38,554 0.89 121,573 2.80
1920 4,846,971 4,041,276 83.38 542,904 11.20  46,759 0.96 41,927 0.87 61,555   1.27
1926 5,528,741 4,455,355 80.59 577,552 10.45  10,564 0.19 41,563 0.75 81,996   1.48
1934 6,077,939 5,274,854 86.79 618,268 10.17  9,601   0.16 28,026 0.46 80,532   1.32
1946 7,029,349 6,073,124 86.40 675,500 9.61    NK        NK    44,209 0.63 170,011 2.42
1956 7,613,709 6,506,541 85.46 656,025 8.62   7,437    0.10 6,027   0.08 197,865 2.60
1965 8,227,866 7,231,243 87.89 780,928 9.49   8,241    0.10 5,108   0.06 148,874 1.81
1975 8,727,771 7,930,024 90.86 730,728 8.37   NK          NK   3,076   0.04 18,323   0.21
1992 8,487,317 7,271,185 85.67 800,052 9.43   4,930    0.06 3,461   0.04 313,396 3.70
2001 7,928,901 6,655,210 83.94 746,664 9.42   3,219    0.04 2,300b 0.03 370,908 4.68

The censuses made during Communist rule - 1946, 1956, 1965 and 1975 - should be taken with several truckloads of salt.




How do you explain the drop in Jew numbers AFTER 1946 ?
Bad census, fear to declare oneself as Jew, real departures of Jews just after the communist regime was established ?

minionofmidas:
Emigration, of course.

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