Virginia Democratic Gubernatorial Primary Final Predictions
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  Virginia Democratic Gubernatorial Primary Final Predictions
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Author Topic: Virginia Democratic Gubernatorial Primary Final Predictions  (Read 7013 times)
JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #25 on: June 09, 2009, 12:06:41 PM »

I feel that my lg prediction was irrationally exuberant regarding bowerbank's support. I'll say 68-30 wagner instead.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #26 on: June 09, 2009, 12:08:38 PM »

Ah, what the hell?

Terry - 38%
Deeds - 36%
Moran - 26%

that looks about right.

Me + you = Terry might as well give the concession speech right now.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #27 on: June 09, 2009, 12:39:01 PM »

McAuliffe 39
Deeds 34
Moran 100-(39+34)
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #28 on: June 09, 2009, 12:42:20 PM »

McAuliffe 39
Deeds 34
Moran 100-(39+34)

I just did some more 'research' and found out that this is unlikely... still somewhat amazed that Terry could lose this
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Kevin
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« Reply #29 on: June 09, 2009, 04:00:36 PM »

I'm predicting that Moran is going to pull it out, idk know the actual percentages I could predict by however I voted in the Democratic primary today and turnout was very low. In addition those who turned out seemed like hardcore Democrats and minorities like African-Americans. So I woul say ether McAuliffe or Moran.   
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pogo stick
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« Reply #30 on: June 09, 2009, 04:01:40 PM »

McAuliffe will win.
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Lunar
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« Reply #31 on: June 09, 2009, 04:02:46 PM »

I'm predicting that Moran is going to pull it out, idk know the actual percentages I could predict by however I voted in the Democratic primary today and turnout was very low. In addition those who turned out seemed like hardcore Democrats and minorities like African-Americans. So I woul say ether McAuliffe or Moran.   

Haha.  Gotta be one of those two, eh?
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Kevin
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« Reply #32 on: June 09, 2009, 04:32:29 PM »

I'm predicting that Moran is going to pull it out, idk know the actual percentages I could predict by however I voted in the Democratic primary today and turnout was very low. In addition those who turned out seemed like hardcore Democrats and minorities like African-Americans. So I woul say ether McAuliffe or Moran.   

Haha.  Gotta be one of those two, eh?


Oops I contradicted myself but ether of those two
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #33 on: June 09, 2009, 08:44:28 PM »

Okay, nobody else cares, but let's see how I did.

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Way off. Wasn't expecting this blowout.

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My amended prediction, actually too conservative for Wagner, who won with a 74-21 margin.

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Bob Hull lost narrowly. Parkhomenko was crushed by Patrick Hope (proving once again, never bet against the guy Not Larry Sabato hates). Carlos Brown lost to Betsy Carr by 2%. I got the rest right. So, 6/9.

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Garrett and Cox won, but the 17th went for Bill Cleaveland over Chris Head, who came in second. 2/3.

I get a 67% for House predictions. Not bad, but not outstanding either.
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Lunar
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« Reply #34 on: June 09, 2009, 08:51:07 PM »

I'm predicting that Moran is going to pull it out, idk know the actual percentages I could predict by however I voted in the Democratic primary today and turnout was very low. In addition those who turned out seemed like hardcore Democrats and minorities like African-Americans. So I woul say ether McAuliffe or Moran.   

Haha.  Gotta be one of those two, eh?


Oops I contradicted myself but ether of those two

Well, those two combined barely edge out Deeds, you got that there
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #35 on: June 09, 2009, 09:45:27 PM »

DID I WIN?
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they don't love you like i love you
BRTD
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« Reply #36 on: June 10, 2009, 09:06:34 AM »

Ah, what the hell?

Terry - 38%
Deeds - 36%
Moran - 26%

that looks about right.

Me + you = Terry might as well give the concession speech right now.

Smiley
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Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
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« Reply #37 on: June 10, 2009, 07:12:30 PM »

Creigh Deeds: 37%
Terry McAuliffe: 33%
Brian Moran: 30%

Wow.  I was way, way off.
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Psychic Octopus
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« Reply #38 on: June 10, 2009, 08:11:10 PM »

i haven't been paying attention to Virginia, I though Cray was the underdog, and McAuliffe was in the lead?
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #39 on: June 10, 2009, 08:19:14 PM »

i haven't been paying attention to Virginia, I though Cray was the underdog, and McAuliffe was in the lead?

Creigh Deeds jumped into the lead over the last two weeks following months of fighting between Moran and McAuliffe and the endorsement of Deeds by the Washington Post.
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