National Presidential Primary County and State Maps (1912-2020)
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
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  National Presidential Primary County and State Maps (1912-2020)
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Author Topic: National Presidential Primary County and State Maps (1912-2020)  (Read 317959 times)
Adam Griffin
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« Reply #375 on: March 04, 2016, 08:09:47 PM »

Very nice! What shapefile are you using for Georgia, and how on God's green earth did you find one that is completely up-to-date for this week's results? It seems like at least a dozen counties change their precinct boundaries in some capacity every single year and I've never come across one that seems to be completely accurate for any particular election. Even on the GA reapportionment page, they only have the 2014 shapefile (and that one was just added in the past couple of months). 
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homelycooking
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #376 on: March 04, 2016, 08:32:28 PM »

Leading opposition to Trump, by town. Kasich in blue, Rubio (appropriately!) in red, Bush in brown and Cruz in yellow.



Congratulations to realistic for his superior work in this thread.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
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« Reply #377 on: March 04, 2016, 09:08:08 PM »


Huh Didn't know he was a commie.

Anyway, this thread is awesome and I just bookmarked it (and slapped myself for not doing that before).
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #378 on: March 04, 2016, 11:35:25 PM »

Very nice! What shapefile are you using for Georgia, and how on God's green earth did you find one that is completely up-to-date for this week's results? It seems like at least a dozen counties change their precinct boundaries in some capacity every single year and I've never come across one that seems to be completely accurate for any particular election. Even on the GA reapportionment page, they only have the 2014 shapefile (and that one was just added in the past couple of months). 

It's very rare that I find a completely up to date shapefile. Generally, I find the most recent one I can and modify it with the editing tools in ArcMap to more closely match maps of current precincts. In this case, I started with the 2014 shapefile you mentioned.
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #379 on: March 05, 2016, 11:19:49 AM »



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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #380 on: March 05, 2016, 12:20:33 PM »

OK GOP race by House District (different scale):

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homelycooking
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« Reply #381 on: March 05, 2016, 09:38:27 PM »

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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #382 on: March 06, 2016, 01:15:01 AM »
« Edited: March 06, 2016, 02:13:40 AM by realisticidealist »

I've updated the OP for today's races, including with the Maine GOP county results and some scattered Kansas GOP county results. The Kansas results for both parties are a work in progress.

EDIT: Found the KS GOP results by county. Unfortunately, they combined a number of counties, so it's not a "true" county map, but it's as close as you can get.
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shua
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« Reply #383 on: March 06, 2016, 02:42:19 AM »
« Edited: March 06, 2016, 02:46:00 AM by shua »

I've updated the OP for today's races, including with the Maine GOP county results and some scattered Kansas GOP county results. The Kansas results for both parties are a work in progress.

EDIT: Found the KS GOP results by county. Unfortunately, they combined a number of counties, so it's not a "true" county map, but it's as close as you can get.

Cool.  Where did you find the Maine county results?

Neat to see the little Carson and Kasich precincts around Atlanta. Any idea about what the story is with that large Kasich precinct outside of Augusta?
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shua
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« Reply #384 on: March 06, 2016, 02:54:46 AM »


I just noticed - are those some Ben Carson precincts in Portsmouth?
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #385 on: March 06, 2016, 11:33:04 AM »
« Edited: March 06, 2016, 11:38:15 AM by realisticidealist »

Cool.  Where did you find the Maine county results?

I found a copy of the slideshow they presented at the results announcement party. It has an error in Aroostook County as the numbers on a slide repeat, but you can easily figure out the correct numbers using the overall total.

These are the correct numbers:


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All of these have really low turnout (single digits) and are generally in supermajority black areas. The large Kasich precinct had exactly one voter. I believe the same is true of the Portsmouth Carson precincts.
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #386 on: March 06, 2016, 01:11:15 PM »

Here's a slightly more detailed map of Maine

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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #387 on: March 06, 2016, 01:38:07 PM »

Minnesota GOP caucus by Organizing Unit:

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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #388 on: March 06, 2016, 03:13:08 PM »
« Edited: March 06, 2016, 03:16:12 PM by realisticidealist »

Very strong chance Cruz "won" Colorado on Super Tuesday. While there was no official preference poll, a number of counties did unofficial straw polls. "Officially", Cruz won Larimer, Weld, Adams. Rubio won Boulder and Eagle. Sample of precincts suggests Cruz also won Mesa, El Paso, Douglas, and possibly Jefferson. Arapahoe was too close to call between Cruz and Rubio. Trump came in third most everywhere. Carson may have come in second in El Paso County.
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shua
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« Reply #389 on: March 07, 2016, 02:59:10 PM »

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All of these have really low turnout (single digits) and are generally in supermajority black areas. The large Kasich precinct had exactly one voter. I believe the same is true of the Portsmouth Carson precincts.

Yeah, he got 3 or 4 voters in those precincts. Very black parts of town (as much of Portsmouth is), which couldn't have hurt him either.
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Miles
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« Reply #390 on: March 07, 2016, 08:30:40 PM »

Louisiana Republican Primary Cheesy

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Miles
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« Reply #391 on: March 07, 2016, 11:35:35 PM »

A few closer shots of Louisiana:

North


South


New Orleans metro
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #392 on: March 08, 2016, 12:28:06 AM »

I'm going to attempt something new. Try this on.
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shua
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« Reply #393 on: March 08, 2016, 02:17:39 AM »


Awesome!  Cheesy

btw in Norfolk precinct 211, Kasich got 100 votes that were initially mistakenly given to Santorum.
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #394 on: March 08, 2016, 11:38:49 AM »

Interactive GA and SC GOP map
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #395 on: March 08, 2016, 03:59:44 PM »

Interactive Arkansas, Oklahoma, Louisiana, and parts of Texas GOP map
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #396 on: March 08, 2016, 04:01:31 PM »

Wow realisticidealist, this is great! Cheesy
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Figueira
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« Reply #397 on: March 10, 2016, 09:01:10 AM »

Here's a slightly more detailed map of Maine



Thank you! I've been looking for a map like this.
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catographer
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« Reply #398 on: March 10, 2016, 11:33:37 PM »

For Maine, NYT released an interactive Maine county map for the GOP FYI.
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #399 on: March 11, 2016, 06:28:34 PM »
« Edited: March 11, 2016, 06:50:07 PM by realisticidealist »





Boston inset:


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