National Presidential Primary County and State Maps (1912-2020)
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  National Presidential Primary County and State Maps (1912-2020)
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Author Topic: National Presidential Primary County and State Maps (1912-2020)  (Read 319532 times)
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jfern
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« Reply #450 on: March 30, 2016, 02:11:23 AM »

Similar to what Miles crafted but I'll post anyway





And with annotation



Great maps thanks for posting! Could be foreshadowing for demographic support for either candidate.

It's basically the opposite of 2008, when Hillary won Hispanics and middle class whites while loosing richer people and blacks.
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Mr. Illini
liberty142
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« Reply #451 on: March 30, 2016, 12:32:21 PM »


As well as the black wards and suburbs
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #452 on: March 30, 2016, 03:09:21 PM »

Looks like County data is now available on the Dem. side in Hawaii:

http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/hawaii


Nobody voted in that county with 91 people?
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shua
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« Reply #453 on: March 30, 2016, 05:03:29 PM »

this is cool:
http://bl.ocks.org/alecrajeev/raw/d493b7c79456c3987d73/d6314a005f253155d5b47af9e0b7f79f6e2f5a02/
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Miles
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« Reply #454 on: March 30, 2016, 07:16:31 PM »

^ Neat but some of the data looks a bit off to me and I'm not sure how they got it.
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RI
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« Reply #455 on: March 30, 2016, 07:29:28 PM »

Most of Michigan for both sides (all the counties with precinct results I could find online):




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RBH
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« Reply #456 on: March 30, 2016, 07:33:39 PM »

Looks like County data is now available on the Dem. side in Hawaii:

http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/hawaii


Nobody voted in that county with 91 people?

"Because of the small population, Kalawao County does not have the functions of other Hawaii counties. It is a judicial district of Maui County, which includes the rest of the island of Molokaʻi. The county has no elected government. Developed and used from 1866 to 1969 for settlements for treatment of quarantined persons with leprosy, it is administered by the Hawaii Department of Health. The only county statutes that apply to Kalawao County directly are those on matters of health"
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Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #457 on: March 31, 2016, 01:21:18 AM »

Looks like County data is now available on the Dem. side in Hawaii:

http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/hawaii


Nobody voted in that county with 91 people?

"Because of the small population, Kalawao County does not have the functions of other Hawaii counties. It is a judicial district of Maui County, which includes the rest of the island of Molokaʻi. The county has no elected government. Developed and used from 1866 to 1969 for settlements for treatment of quarantined persons with leprosy, it is administered by the Hawaii Department of Health. The only county statutes that apply to Kalawao County directly are those on matters of health"

So you're saying that people in Kalawao can vote, they just cast their ballots under Maui?
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RBH
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« Reply #458 on: March 31, 2016, 04:44:59 PM »

Looks like County data is now available on the Dem. side in Hawaii:

http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/hawaii


Nobody voted in that county with 91 people?

"Because of the small population, Kalawao County does not have the functions of other Hawaii counties. It is a judicial district of Maui County, which includes the rest of the island of Molokaʻi. The county has no elected government. Developed and used from 1866 to 1969 for settlements for treatment of quarantined persons with leprosy, it is administered by the Hawaii Department of Health. The only county statutes that apply to Kalawao County directly are those on matters of health"

So you're saying that people in Kalawao can vote, they just cast their ballots under Maui?

It appears Clinton won the Kalawao precinct (13-9) by a margin of 2 votes to 1 vote.

BTW, there's precinct results for the Hawaii Dem vote. I think realisticidealist might need to doublecheck the shapefiles for HI house districts that he uses though.

http://hawaiidemocrats.org/2016_ppp_results/

No precinct results from Niihau though.
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #459 on: March 31, 2016, 04:52:21 PM »

I think realisticidealist might need to doublecheck the shapefiles for HI house districts that he uses though.

No, the one I used for the GOP map was up-to-date; it's just that the GOP reported results by caucus site which were based on precinct conglomerations and often crossed House District lines.
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #460 on: March 31, 2016, 05:43:55 PM »





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RBH
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« Reply #461 on: March 31, 2016, 06:46:43 PM »

the differences in vote totals from one house district to another kinda makes it harder to take the caucus system seriously.

District 34: 10455 votes on 11/6/2012, 68% turnout. 8110 votes in the August 2014 primary, 53% turnout. 493 votes cast in the caucus. Carried by Obama 7589-2694.

District 7: 9218 votes on 11/6/2012, 61% turnout. 5114 votes in the August 2014 primary, 35% turnout. 1241 votes cast in the caucus. Carried by Obama 6640-2553.

I'd think that the more urbanized a district was, the lower the turnout was for the Caucuses. Which would be the opposite of expectation considering travel time.
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Mr. Illini
liberty142
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« Reply #462 on: March 31, 2016, 09:13:01 PM »

Similar to Miles' map, but with township boundaries. The Cook suburbs



Kasich  ran so strong in Evanston and New Trier. What's left of the famed Chicagoland "We're Republicans, but not THAT kind of Republican." Many of these now split tickets in November.

Kasich also won very liberal west-suburban Oak Park and River Forest.
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Mr. Illini
liberty142
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« Reply #463 on: March 31, 2016, 11:30:16 PM »
« Edited: March 31, 2016, 11:33:09 PM by Mr. Illini »

And north suburban Lake County



And together



The North Shore stands out very clearly as being in the Kasich camp
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Mr. Illini
liberty142
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« Reply #464 on: March 31, 2016, 11:49:26 PM »

As to answer a question posed earlier, I would say that Kasich absolutely won IL-9 and possibly IL-10
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Miles
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« Reply #465 on: March 31, 2016, 11:53:06 PM »
« Edited: April 01, 2016, 01:37:10 AM by Miles »

I wouldn't have guessed that Sanders lost by almost 50% just by looking at this map:

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Boston Bread
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« Reply #466 on: April 01, 2016, 01:33:54 PM »

It's also hard to believe that Sanders lost whites based on that map.
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RBH
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« Reply #467 on: April 01, 2016, 02:03:04 PM »

guessing the color shades change dramatically if you go by total vote.

Louisiana SOS says the Dem electorate was 53% Black/44% White. 28% turnout for AA voters and 20% turnout for white voters.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #468 on: April 01, 2016, 08:01:40 PM »

Louisiana SOS says the Dem electorate was 53% Black/44% White. 28% turnout for AA voters and 20% turnout for white voters.

Are those turnout figures (28%, 20%) for the Democratic electorate or all voters? In the case of the former, does that mean a majority of registered Democrats in Louisiana are still white?
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Miles
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« Reply #469 on: April 01, 2016, 09:09:53 PM »

^ The monthly registration report (which coincidentally came out today) has about 144K more blacks registered as Democrats than whites.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #470 on: April 06, 2016, 11:39:25 PM »
« Edited: April 07, 2016, 12:26:29 AM by Gass3268 »

Dane County, Wisconsin 2016 Democratic Primary

*basemap is an edited version of realisticidealist's maps of Wisconsin
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #471 on: April 07, 2016, 01:38:25 AM »

Do the red places in Dane tend to be rich whites or blacks?
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #472 on: April 07, 2016, 01:41:51 AM »

RI, your Wisconsin map is wrong. It still has a bunch of red counties that Bernie actually won.
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #473 on: April 07, 2016, 10:37:56 AM »

RI, your Wisconsin map is wrong. It still has a bunch of red counties that Bernie actually won.

Fixed.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #474 on: April 07, 2016, 04:11:41 PM »

Do the red places in Dane tend to be rich whites or blacks?

Madison is only 7.3% African. The city's largest minority group is actually Asians. The two Clinton areas that touch Lake Mentoda (the large very dark green ward in the middle) are both very wealthy villages that are not a part of the City of Madison. The Clinton precicents in the city are definitely in the more well to do western part of the city. Madison has a east/west divide with the east being more blue collar and the west being more educated wealth. It's been that way since almost the beginning. Both sides are very Democratic and you only see the split occur during primaries and some local elections.   
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