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| |-+  U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: True Federalist)
| | |-+  National Presidential Primary County and State Maps (1912-2012)
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Author Topic: National Presidential Primary County and State Maps (1912-2012)  (Read 66886 times)
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« Reply #50 on: August 30, 2009, 02:00:38 pm »
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What's that one county in Arkansas that supported Alan Keyes?

Stone County, IIRC. Majority white I think.
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« Reply #51 on: August 30, 2009, 05:20:11 pm »
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What's that one county in Arkansas that supported Alan Keyes?

Stone County, IIRC. Majority white I think.

Yes, it is Stone County.

Arkansas Republican primaries have always been very low turnout affairs, as the Democratic Party has always vastly outnumbered Republican registrants in Arkansas. The 2000 Rep primary had about 43,000 voters participating while the Democratic primary the same year had almost 250,000 votes despite both being meaningless races. This pattern of low Republican primary vote totals allowing strange counties to give secondary or tertiary candidates wins can also be seen in the 1996, 1992, 1988, and 1976 Republican results.

In 2000, only Alan Keyes and George W. Bush were on the ballot in Arkansas. Stone County had only 50 votes in the entire county (Keyes 39-11), which is nowhere near the lowest number of votes of an Arkansas county (Arkansas County had 0 votes, St. Francis had 6, Monroe had 10, etc.), but nevertheless is a tiny number. The Dem race the same year saw 2,978 votes cast in Stone County. With such low turnout, strange flukes like these are bound to happen.

Some other low-turnout fluke county winners:
Al Sharpton (2004 D) in Granville County, NC
All Kuchinich wins in 2004 - See HI, NC
Gary Bauer (2000 R) in Knott County, KY
Steve Forbes (1996) in Costilla County, CO
Phil Gramm (1996) in Starr County, TX
Bob Dornan (1996) in Washington County, MS
Maurice Taylor (1996) in Iberville Parish, LA
Don Beamgard (1992 D) in Rawlins County, KS
Tom Harkin (1992 D) in Las Animas County, CO
Ross Perot (1992 R and D) in San Juan County, WA
Douglas Applegate (1988 D) in Harrison County, OH
Jesse Jackson (1988 D) in Pocahontas County, WV
Many Buchanan wins in 1988 - See AL, AR, TX, FL, etc.
Ellen McCormack (1976) in McLean County, KY
George Wallace (1976) in Effingham County, GA

And others...
« Last Edit: November 09, 2009, 03:31:02 pm by realisticidealist »Logged

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« Reply #52 on: September 06, 2009, 01:55:05 pm »
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DOes anyone know where to find county level info for pre-'76 primaries?
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« Reply #53 on: September 06, 2009, 03:46:39 pm »
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DOes anyone know where to find county level info for pre-'76 primaries?

I have some, though not nearly as much.

1972 Democratic Primaries:


1968 Democratic Primaries:
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« Reply #54 on: September 06, 2009, 04:57:16 pm »
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DOes anyone know where to find county level info for pre-'76 primaries?

I have some, though not nearly as much.

1972 Democratic Primaries:


1968 Democratic Primaries:


Thanks for these. Where does all the data come from for all the older elections?
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« Reply #55 on: September 06, 2009, 05:04:00 pm »
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Where does all the data come from for all the older elections?

Either the book I used for the more recent ones, ourcampaigns.com, or state websites that have the data. The link to the Nebraska cache is on the first page, Wisconsin stuff can be found by searching for the blue book of the year you are looking for, NC stuff is on Archive.org, etc.
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« Reply #56 on: September 06, 2009, 07:42:30 pm »
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Do you have any 1932 results?
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« Reply #57 on: September 07, 2009, 11:52:01 am »
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1976 Republican:


Why did Ford do so well in VT, PA, and NJ?
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« Reply #58 on: September 07, 2009, 12:21:01 pm »
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The '76 GOP map makes me proud -- my family is from that little shoot of Ford country in West Tennessee that always votes with East Tennessee.
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« Reply #59 on: September 07, 2009, 03:00:41 pm »
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Why did Ford do so well in VT, PA, and NJ?

Ford was the only one of the ballot in those states. Reagan was a write-in in Pennsylvania and Vermont. Ford received 100% of the vote in New Jersey.
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« Reply #60 on: September 07, 2009, 03:04:09 pm »
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Also, Massachusetts and Connecticut, prior to 1992, were terrible at reporting primary results; they only released results by congressional district and township, but didn't bother with tabulating county results.

I just made up a town map for Massachusetts from the 1984 Democratic primary. It wasn't as interesting as I would have liked, but George McGovern (orange) makes his only appearances in a primary on this map.

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« Reply #61 on: September 08, 2009, 10:05:21 pm »
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Cambridge voted for McGovern? No surprise.
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« Reply #62 on: September 11, 2009, 07:36:28 pm »
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and Amherst split between Jackson and McGovern, allowing Hart to win
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« Reply #63 on: September 11, 2009, 09:59:41 pm »
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Here's the 1988 primary town map for Vermont



The largest towns won by Jackson are Middlesex and Calais
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« Reply #64 on: September 11, 2009, 10:57:55 pm »
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Awesome. Where did you get a hold of the VT results?
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« Reply #65 on: September 11, 2009, 10:59:01 pm »
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http://vermont-elections.org/elections1/1988_election_info.html
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« Reply #66 on: September 11, 2009, 11:35:19 pm »
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and Amherst split between Jackson and McGovern, allowing Hart to win

Indeed, and it surprised me (I would have expected a McGovern victory there as well). I think that you are talking about Mondale and McGovern, though.
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« Reply #67 on: September 11, 2009, 11:46:39 pm »
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no, Jackson won 19.7% in Amherst, finishing 3rd. McGovern had 26% for 2nd. Mondale had 17.9% for 4th. Hart won with 33.4%
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« Reply #68 on: September 11, 2009, 11:58:11 pm »
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no, Jackson won 19.7% in Amherst, finishing 3rd. McGovern had 26% for 2nd. Mondale had 17.9% for 4th. Hart won with 33.4%

Shocked

Jackson finished ahead of Mondale? That is even more surprising.
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« Reply #69 on: September 22, 2009, 03:54:52 am »
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Expanded Maryland county results

1984: http://www.msa.md.gov/megafile/msa/speccol/sc2900/sc2908/000001/000182/pdf/am182--599.pdf
1976 (D): http://aomol.net/megafile/msa/speccol/sc2900/sc2908/000001/000179/pdf/am179--615.pdf
1976 (R): http://aomol.net/megafile/msa/speccol/sc2900/sc2908/000001/000179/pdf/am179--616.pdf
1972: http://aomol.net/megafile/msa/speccol/sc2900/sc2908/000001/000176/pdf/am176--592.pdf
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« Reply #70 on: September 22, 2009, 11:02:28 am »
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Great. I've uploaded them to the Wiki. Smiley
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« Reply #71 on: September 22, 2009, 06:43:43 pm »
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The '76 GOP map makes me proud -- my family is from that little shoot of Ford country in West Tennessee that always votes with East Tennessee.

How do these areas maintain the same partisan preferences over so long a time? Is it lack of contact with the outside world, or just inbreeding?
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« Reply #72 on: September 24, 2009, 01:26:56 pm »
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OK, I have a little rant.

So, over the last few days, I've been in contact with Jeff Smith, the former WA Democratic Party Executive Director (1981-1993) in an effort to get caucus data for 1984, 1988, and 1992. However, he has decided not to retrieve the results for various reasons. I wouldn't mind this, but he decided to go and dismiss my efforts to gather data as pointless and meaningless, criticize me, and, on top of it all, insult my intelligence by saying that I wouldn't even understand why he wasn't giving me anything. What a jerk. Angry
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« Reply #73 on: September 26, 2009, 03:45:45 am »
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here's a challenge

http://www.archive.org/details/statementofvote1984cali

the totals that RI has up are from the delegate with the highest vote total.. but for the split counties, you add the votes from the delegate with the most votes in each CD, not the one with the most votes in the county. Which means that for Gary Hart, his Shasta county total is the total of the delegate with the most votes in the CD (Jane Dolan who had 7922 votes in Shasta) and not the delegate with the most votes in the county (Barbara Gard, who had 7951 votes in Shasta)

Hart, Mondale, and Jackson are finished, but Glenn, LaRouche and McGovern are still up..

so I could work on that tomorrow if time permits.
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« Reply #74 on: September 26, 2009, 12:41:28 pm »
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here's a challenge

http://www.archive.org/details/statementofvote1984cali

the totals that RI has up are from the delegate with the highest vote total.. but for the split counties, you add the votes from the delegate with the most votes in each CD, not the one with the most votes in the county. Which means that for Gary Hart, his Shasta county total is the total of the delegate with the most votes in the CD (Jane Dolan who had 7922 votes in Shasta) and not the delegate with the most votes in the county (Barbara Gard, who had 7951 votes in Shasta)

Hart, Mondale, and Jackson are finished, but Glenn, LaRouche and McGovern are still up..

so I could work on that tomorrow if time permits.

According to my book, they just took the total from the highest delegate in the congressional district for all the counties.
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