2010 and onwards!

[SUSAN CRUSHBONE]

Yay! Finals are over. I will now start my timeline.

Timeline:
2009

-Economy continues declining, but much more slowly.
-Kim Jong Il dies; After several hours of uncertainty and worldwide fear at who was going to get missiles, China and South Korea conquer North Korea within hours. One missile is ultimately launched, but crashes into an uninhabited area of Sinkiang. North Korea becomes a “Temporary United Nations Protectorate.”
-In the gubernatorial races, Deeds beats McDonnell 52-47%, while Christie beats Corzine 50-49%.
Dec 21 2009:
Obama Approval Rating
56% Approve, 39% Disapprove
Congressional Approval Rating
38% Approve, 53% Disapprove

2010
-War in Iraq officially ends; 80% of troops have been pulled out. Some will stay to advise their Iraqi counterparts, though.
-Economy takes a large leap forward after Microsoft, Apple, and Google post first-quarter increases of average 7.9%.

Nov 1 2010
Obama Approval Rating
58% Approve, 39% Disapprove
Congressional Approval Rating
36% Approve, 57% Disapprove
Midterm elections 2010:
Senate
AL: Shelby beats Jones 66-33%            Rep hold
AK: Murkowski beats Berkowitz 49-48%         Rep hold
AR: Lincoln beats Baker 59-40%            Dem hold
AZ: McCain beats Giffords 69-28%            Rep hold
CA: Boxer beats DeVore 57-37%            Dem hold
CO: Bennet beats Tancredo 53-45%                 Dem hold*
CT: Bush beats Dodd 51-48%                    Rep pickup*
DE: Castle beats Biden 52-46%            Rep pickup*
FL: Crist beats Gelber 56-42%                    Rep hold
GA: Isakson beats Marshall 59-39%                 Rep hold
HI: Inouye beats Lingle 69-28%            Dem hold
ID: Crapo beats no-one 99-0%            Rep hold*
IL: Kirk beats Burris 64-35%                    Rep pickup*
IN: Bayh beats Buyer 62-36%                    Dem hold
IA: Grassley beats Krause 71-29%                 Rep hold
KS: Moran beats Boyda 70-27%            Rep hold
KY: Mongiardo beats Bunning 51-48%         Dem pickup*
LA: Dardenne beats Vitter 50-49%                 Dem pickup
MD: Mikulski beats Rutledge 68-30%         Dem hold
MO: Carnahan beats Steelman 51-48%         Dem pickup
NV: Reid beats Gibbons 58-39%            Dem hold
NH: Shea-Porter beats Rath 52-47%         Dem pickup
NY: Schumer beats DeFrancisco 74-25%              Dem hold
NY: Gillibrand beats King 55-44%                 Dem hold
NC: Marshall beats Burr 49-49%            Dem pickup
ND: Dorgan beats Sand 70-26%            Dem hold
OH: Portman beats Fisher 51-49%                 Rep hold
OK: Coburn beats Carson 60-34%                 Rep hold
OR: Wyden beats King 64-35%            Dem hold
PA: Specter beats Toomey 56-44%                 Dem hold
SC: DeMint beats Hutto 57-42%            Rep hold
SD: Herseth-Sandlin beats Thune 50-48%      Dem pickup*
UT: Bennett beats Jennings 73-24%                 Rep hold
VT: Leahy beats Roper and Ericson 71%-24%-4%   Dem hold
WA: Murray beats Reichert 59-40%                 Dem hold
WI: Feingold beats Walker 57-42%                 Dem hold

Notes:
CO: The Republican nomination of Tom Tancredo is seen by some as a sign of impending doom against the Republican party.
CT: George Prescott Bush, son of Jeb Bush, manages to beat the tremendously unpopular Dodd.
DE: Mike Castle beats Beau Biden; many voters still feel that Ted Kaufman's placeholder tenure smelled of nepotism.
ID: The Democrats, again, don't even put up a candidate against Crapo
IL: Burris wins his primary against no-one else; everyone gravitated towards the gubernatorial race after Pat Quinn's surprise announcement that he would not seek a full term. The popular Mark Kirk slaughters the unpopular Roland Burris.
KY: Bunning somehow wins his primary, and therefore loses the general election.
SD: Stephanie Herseth-Sandlin vacates her House seat to run for Senate, and beats John Thune.

Overall total: Dem +3, Rep -3: 61(+2)-37

Governors:
AL: Davis beats Petelos 51-48%            Dem pickup*
AK: Palin beats Poe 57-40%                    Rep hold
AZ: Goddard beats Flake 50-47%                 Dem pickup*
AR: Beebe beats [unopposed] 99-0%         Dem hold
CA: Newsom beats Whitman 62-37%         Dem pickup
CO: Ritter beats Beauprez 53-44%                  Dem hold
CT: Rell beats Bysiewicz 56-44%            Rep hold
FL: McCollum beats Sink 52-48%                 Rep hold
GA: Barnes beats Handel 53-46%                 Dem pickup*
HI: Abercrombie beats Aiona 66-33%         Dem pickup*
ID: Otter beats Startin 78-20%            Rep hold
IL: Giannoulias beats Roskam 58-41%         Dem hold*
IA: Culver beats Northey 54-44%            Dem hold
KS: Brownback beats Bordonaro 67-31%             Rep pickup
MA: Romney beats Patrick 49-49%                 Rep pickup*
ME: Williams beats Michaud and Poliquin 44-30-25%   Ind pickup
MD: Steele beats Brown 50-49%            Rep pickup*
MI: Cherry beats Land 52-46%                    Dem hold
MN: Pawlenty beats Rybak 54-44%                 Rep hold*
NE: Heineman beats Lathrop 59-39%         Rep hold
NV: Buckey beats Heck 53-44%            Dem pickup
NH: Lynch beats Sununu 62-38%                 Dem hold
NM: Kilmer beats Wilson 59-40%            Dem hold
NY: Bloomberg beats Pataki and Paterson 40-36-22   Ind pickup
OH: Strickland beats Coughlin 55-44%         Dem hold
OK: Watts beats Askins 58-42%            Rep pickup
OR: DeFazio beats Atkinson 60-39%         Dem hold
PA: Santorum beats Mellow 52-48%                 Rep pickup*
RI: Chafee beats Lynch and Trillo 38-34-29%      Ind pickup*
SC: Haley beats Ford 56-43%                    Rep hold
SD: Daschle beats Knuppe 56-42%                 Dem hold*
TN: Wamp beats McWherter 55-44%         Rep pickup
TX: White beats Perry 53-45%                     Dem pickup*
UT: Herbert beats Springmeyer            Rep hold*
VT: Douglas beats Racine and Pollina 69-18-14%   Rep hold
WI: Doyle beats Hollen 56-42%            Dem hold
WY: Freudenthal beats Simpson 72-25%              Dem hold*

Notes:
AL: The Democrat upset in this largely Republican state is surprising to many across the nation.
AZ: While technically this is a pickup, it really is just regaining control after Republican Jan Brewer replaced Democrat Janet Napolitano after her elevation to Secretary of Homeland Security.
GA: Former Governor Roy Barnes returns to serve a second term.
HI: No hope for the Republicans here as Gov. Lingle is term-limited.
IL: Most serious candidates converge on this race, and Giannoulias wins a long, tortuous primary.
MA: Mitt Romney returns for another term as governor of Massachusetts, stunning many in this extremely liberal state.
MD: Gov. O'Malley is shot the day before the election, while making a speech in Baltimore.
MN: Pawlenty changes his mind about not running for a third term.
PA: Santorum's return to politics is unexpected, but he wins, where no other Republican candidate had a decent chance of winning.
RI: Former Senator Chafee makes a surprise entry for governor.
SD: Many expected Rep. Stephanie Herseth-Sandlin to run for governor, but she ran for senator and instead former Senate Majority Leader Tom Daschle wins.
TX: Perry goes through an enormously long, nasty, and exhausting primary against Hutchinson.
UT: Special election to replace Jon Huntsman, Jr.

Overall total: Dem -1, Rep -2, Ind +3

House of Representatives:
I am not going to put a list of 435 races here, but here's the overall totals.
Dem -9, Rep +3, Independents and other third parties +6.
247-181-6, 218 needed for a majority.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Comments and/or questions?

[Barnes]

"GA: Former Governor Roy Barnes returns to serve a second term."

Yea! Go Roy! Go!

[tmthforu94]

Everything seems fair, with a slight Democratic tilt.

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Very doubtful. Thune would win this, and even if Herseth-Sandlin won, it would have been extremely close.

[pogo stick]

If it was Herseth vs Thune in the senate race I'd support no one. Because Il ove both of them.

GO THUNE FOR SENATOR !!

HERSETH FOR GOV!!

[pogo stick]

BTW, in your dreams that a Dem would de-seat Perry. KBH Will de-seat Perry!

[SUSAN CRUSHBONE]

Everything seems fair, with a slight Democratic tilt.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Very doubtful. Thune would win this, and even if Herseth-Sandlin won, it would have been extremely close.

OK, edit now.

[RIP Robert H Bork]

Sounds good, but I doubt that there would be so many independents in the House. Also, Huckabee cannot win the AR governorship because of term limits.

[aaaa2222]

I like this timeline, especially due to the rising power of independents. Any Libertarians in the house?

[SUSAN CRUSHBONE]

House of Representatives:
I am not going to put a list of 435 races here, but here's the overall totals.
Dem -9, Rep +3, Independents and other third parties +6.
247-181-6, 218 needed for a majority.

I like this timeline, especially due to the rising power of independents. Any Libertarians in the house?

Yes, one or two.

[Eleden]

Burris will not win the Senate Primary in Illinois. 

[Mr.Phips]

Gabby Giffords is not stupid enough to run against McCain.  Same with Marshall against Issakson. 

[pogo stick]

These results are kinda hacks. No Offense. But it's good so far. Also, don't see  the GOP winning in IL for awhile.

[aaaa2222]

House of Representatives:
I am not going to put a list of 435 races here, but here's the overall totals.
Dem -9, Rep +3, Independents and other third parties +6.
247-181-6, 218 needed for a majority.

I like this timeline, especially due to the rising power of independents. Any Libertarians in the house?

Yes, one or two.

Excellent. But I suppose that's growing more likely with the big government policies enacted recently.

[JerryBrown2010]

Yes Thunes out! The one who barely beat Thomas Daschle at a 2 point margin in 2004!

[SUSAN CRUSHBONE]

Burris will not win the Senate Primary in Illinois. 

Did you not read the notes?

No-one ran against Burris; they all ran for governor after Pat Quinn retired.

Yeah, somewhat unlikely, but hey, if Mark Kirk wins a Senate seat, then I'm happy!

[SUSAN CRUSHBONE]

2011

January:
Some candidates jump in the race for the 2012 Republican Presidential Nomination.
This month, Governors Romney, Palin, and Pawlenty declare their candidacies.

February:
Senator Hatch and Congressmen Cantor and Pence declare that they will run for President, also.

March:
In a surprising turn of events, Rush Limbaugh declares his candidacy for President of the United States, seeking the Republican Party's nomination.
In a less surprising turn of events, Ralph Nader declares he will run again as an independent. People all over the nation groan, "Aw geez, not again..."

April:
Senator Shelby is now running for President.

During all this time, only one person has expressed an interest in challenging President Obama for the Democratic nomination: Dennis Kucinich.

In September, Fmr. Gov. Mike Huckabee of Arkansas makes a late entry into the race for the Republican nomination.

Approval Ratings Dec. 17 2010:
President Obama:
60% Approve, 36% Disapprove
Congress:
40% Approve, 56% Disapprove

Polls for the 2012 Elections:
National, Democratic nomination:
Obama 95%, Kucinich 2%
National, Republican nomination:
Romney 19%
Palin 18%
Huckabee 13%
Pawlenty 11%
Cantor 7%
Limbaugh 6%
Pence 4%
Hatch 3%
Shelby 1%
Iowa, Democratic nomination:
Obama 96%, Kucinich <1%
Iowa, Republican nomination:
Pawlenty 16%
Huckabee 16%
Romney 15%
Hatch 13%
Pence 10%
Palin 10%
Limbaugh 6%
Cantor 3%
Shelby 2%
New Hampshire, Democratic nomination:
Obama 89%, Kucinich 7%
New Hampshire, Republican nomination:
Romney 22%
Pawlenty 20%
Huckabee 16%
Hatch 13%
Cantor 8%
Pence 6%
Palin 5%
Shelby 2%
Limbaugh 0%

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Comments and/or Questions and/or Constructive Criticism?
Thanks in Advance

[SUSAN CRUSHBONE]

Hi guys, I'm back!
Sorry about going all Mark Sanford. (that is, completely disappearing, NOT having an affair in Argentina )
I've been in Reno, Nevada, without access to the Internets.

Well, anyway, here's the electoral vote changes for 2012.
KEY:
Red = lose two electoral votes (OH, PA)
Pink = lose one electoral vote (IL, IA, LA, MA, MI, MN, NJ, NY, TN)
Grey = no change (all the others )
Pale Green = gain one electoral vote (FL, GA, NV, NC, UT, VA, WA)
Lime Green = gain two electoral votes (AZ)
Dark Green = gain four electoral votes (TX)

I will post some of the early primaries and caucuses this weekend.