SurveyUSA June Governor Approvals

[Tender Branson]

Polls were all conducted on June 16 among 600 adults in each state:

Alabama: Bob Riley (R) - 59% Approve, 37% Disapprove

California: Arnold Schwarzenegger (R) - 24% Approve, 73% Disapprove

Iowa: Chet Culver (D) - 42% Approve, 51% Disapprove

Kentucky: Steve Beshear (D) - 48% Approve, 46% Disapprove

Minnesota: Tim Pawlenty (R) - 47% Approve, 50% Disapprove

Missouri: Jay Nixon (D) - 55% Approve, 36% Disapprove

New Mexico: Bill Richardson (D) - 48% Approve, 47% Disapprove

New York: David Paterson (D) - 18% Approve, 75% Disapprove

Oregon: Ted Kulongoski (D) - 39% Approve, 56% Disapprove

Virginia: Tim Kaine (D) - 53% Approve, 40% Disapprove

Washington: Christine Gregoire (D) - 37% Approve, 55% Disapprove

Wisconsin: Jim Doyle (D) - 33% Approve, 61% Disapprove

Kansas, Massachusetts and Ohio are not polled anymore.

[bgwah]

Ouch, Ahnuld is approaching Paterson-levels of disapproval...

[Kaine for Senate '18]

Virginia: Tim Kaine (D) - 53% Approve, 40% Disapprove

That has to be good news for Deeds; if Kaine and Obama stay popular, then his chances are better than 50/50 to win in November.

[Lief 🗽]

Hahah, everyone hates everyone.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Arnold is in Frank Murkowski territory. Patterson is in Bob taft territory. Usually these two slots are reserved for scandals. Why does SurveyUSA keep reducing the number of Approval polls that they do? THey used to do all 50 Governors all 100 Senators, and President's Approval rating in all 50 states.

[Landslide Lyndon]

I wonder how Riley stays THAT popular. It's not like Alabama is experiencing a boom of any kind.

And it seems like Richardson has rebounded a bit from his previous negative ratings.

[Tender Branson]

Recent-ish Approval Map of Governors:

[Associate Justice PiT]

     Amazing how far the Governator has fallen. I don't think anyone has had more of a rollercoaster ride in terms of approval ratings in a long time, if ever.

[Tender Branson]

R2000/DailyKos Hawaii poll:

Gov. Linda Lingle (R): 51% Favorable, 43% Unfavorable

The Research 2000 Hawaii Poll was conducted from June 15 through June 17, 2009. A total of 600 likely voters who vote regularly in state elections were interviewed statewide by telephone.

http://www.dailykos.com/statepoll/2009/6/17/HI/311

[Keystone Phil]

That's great that Pawlenty is still approved of by 47% of Minnesotans even after being painted as Satan by DFLers, deciding he'll explore a Presidential run, etc.

[Eraserhead]

What happened to Culver?

[Badger]

What happened to Culver?

Same thing that's happened to most midwestern governors: the economy.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

LOL. Remember how Arnold was going to beat Boxer in 2010?

SUSA typically only does polls for hire, basically if a media outlet like a newspaper or television station pays them. Probably not getting hired as much.

[Rowan]

PPP is going to bless us with some news Sunday night:

"We're going to be releasing another poll showing a Democratic Governor in more perilous shape for reelection next year than is the current conventional wisdom on Sunday night...not our favorite thing to do but we just put out the numbers whether we like them or not. We'll have the rest of the release for that state over the course of the week."

[Saxwsylvania]

PPP is going to bless us with some news Sunday night:

"We're going to be releasing another poll showing a Democratic Governor in more perilous shape for reelection next year than is the current conventional wisdom on Sunday night...not our favorite thing to do but we just put out the numbers whether we like them or not. We'll have the rest of the release for that state over the course of the week."

Bill Ritter!

Ted Strickland!

Martin O'Malley!

Mike Beebe?

[Kaine for Senate '18]

PPP is going to bless us with some news Sunday night:

"We're going to be releasing another poll showing a Democratic Governor in more perilous shape for reelection next year than is the current conventional wisdom on Sunday night...not our favorite thing to do but we just put out the numbers whether we like them or not. We'll have the rest of the release for that state over the course of the week."

Bill Ritter!

Ted Strickland!

Martin O'Malley!

Mike Beebe?

I'm guessing either Strickland or Ritter.

[Sam Spade]

What happened to Culver?

Same thing that's happened to most midwestern governors: the economy.

Actually, Iowa is doing much better in comparison to about 35-40 other states in the union.

As a rule right now, the states with strong commodities industries (either in production or in utilization) are way outperforming those states without those industries.  I think this is rather artificial, but it is what it is.

[Tender Branson]

PPP is going to bless us with some news Sunday night:

"We're going to be releasing another poll showing a Democratic Governor in more perilous shape for reelection next year than is the current conventional wisdom on Sunday night...not our favorite thing to do but we just put out the numbers whether we like them or not. We'll have the rest of the release for that state over the course of the week."

Bill Ritter!

Ted Strickland!

Martin O'Malley!

Mike Beebe?

I'm guessing either Strickland or Ritter.

Strickland had 60% Approval Ratings just 1 month ago according to Quinnipiac.

Why should he trail those joke Republicans 1 month later ?

Mike Beebe had 70% approval, so I guess it's Culver.

[Rowan]

Kasich is a "joke" Republican?

My money is on it being Strickland.

[Saxwsylvania]

PPP is going to bless us with some news Sunday night:

"We're going to be releasing another poll showing a Democratic Governor in more perilous shape for reelection next year than is the current conventional wisdom on Sunday night...not our favorite thing to do but we just put out the numbers whether we like them or not. We'll have the rest of the release for that state over the course of the week."

Bill Ritter!

Ted Strickland!

Martin O'Malley!

Mike Beebe?

I'm guessing either Strickland or Ritter.

Strickland had 60% Approval Ratings just 1 month ago according to Quinnipiac.

Why should he trail those joke Republicans 1 month later ?

Mike Beebe had 70% approval, so I guess it's Culver.

Uh ... Culver's approval was released this week, and it's been discussed extensively in this thread.  So it's got to be Ritter or Strickland, or someone else who we haven't been thinking about.

[Rowan]

PPP already polled Ritter a while back. I'm assuming they would want to poll something different. Also, PPP said they would release the rest of their poll throughout the week, so I'm assuming it's the senate race in Ohio. It's gotta be Strickland.

[Tender Branson]

Kasich is a "joke" Republican?

My money is on it being Strickland.

With joke Republican I mean a currently weak candidate. Qunnipiac had him trailing Strickland 51-32 on May 6. Why should Kasich lead now ? Did Strickland have a sex-scandal or what ?

Uh ... Culver's approval was released this week, and it's been discussed extensively in this thread.  So it's got to be Ritter or Strickland, or someone else who we haven't been thinking about.

Culver was polled by SUSA. The upcoming poll tomorrow is from PPP, and they might have polled Iowa too. But Ritter is possible too.

[Rowan]

With joke Republican I mean a currently weak candidate. Qunnipiac had him trailing Strickland 51-32 on May 6. Why should Kasich lead now ? Did Strickland have a sex-scandal or what ?

Because that was before Kasich was even officially in. I'm sure he's gotten plenty of coverage in Ohio since jumping in the race. Keep in mind too, that PPP had Portman leading in OH in their last poll while Quinnipiac has always shown the Dems up.

[Tender Branson]

With joke Republican I mean a currently weak candidate. Qunnipiac had him trailing Strickland 51-32 on May 6. Why should Kasich lead now ? Did Strickland have a sex-scandal or what ?

Because that was before Kasich was even officially in. I'm sure he's gotten plenty of coverage in Ohio since jumping in the race. Keep in mind too, that PPP had Portman leading in OH in their last poll while Quinnipiac has always shown the Dems up.

To me "perlious shape" means trailing. I can't see how Kasich gains 25 points in 4 weeks ...

[Rowan]

PPP's previous poll of Ohio:

Strickland 45%
Kasich 39%

So, it wouldn't exactly be a 25-30 point swing.