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Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
International Elections
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Canadian federal polling division files
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Topic: Canadian federal polling division files (Read 87115 times)
The Head Beagle
Linus Van Pelt
YaBB God
Posts: 1499
Re: Canadian federal polling division files
«
Reply #25 on:
June 30, 2009, 07:09:07 pm »
Thanks, Shilly, this is great. Of course the folks who are actually taking the time to make these should get to decide how much and what to do, but if we're taking requests, I'd be interested in Bruce-Grey-Owen-Sound, and well as any of the urban/rural ridings in SK, which would show us what the NDP situation actually is these days in Regina and Saskatoon. These may be a bit of a pain in the neck to display since they have in-town small polls with large rural ones. Due to my home area I'd also be kind of interested in Parkdale-High Park, Davenport and Trinity-Spadina.
(Also, Earl, not to get into a silly argument over an easy misunderstanding
, but I know there are a lot of Chinese in Vancouver East riding - what I meant was, I think that within the east side of the city in general white people are more NDP with Chinese not so much. But as I say, the real story may be more complicated when you actually look at the neighbourhoods, for all I know).
«
Last Edit: June 30, 2009, 07:11:46 pm by Linus Van Pelt
»
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Hatman
EarlAW
YaBB God
Posts: 17259
Political Matrix
E: -4.97, S: -6.00
Re: Canadian federal polling division files
«
Reply #26 on:
June 30, 2009, 09:50:14 pm »
Quote from: Shilly on June 30, 2009, 06:31:10 pm
Ottawa-Vanier 2008
Yikes! I made a map of Ottawa-Vanier in 2006. It might even be in the gallery. I sent it to Hashemite a while ago. The NDP won quite a few more polls in 2006 than 2008. They even won the Sandy Hill neighbourhood, and won Lindenlea as well. And the Tories collapsed too. They won Rockcliffe Park last time!
Newmarket-Aurora is also very interesting. I wonder what the 2006 map looked like. Aurora was probably more Liberal (and appears still is) because Belinda lives there.
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Hatman
EarlAW
YaBB God
Posts: 17259
Political Matrix
E: -4.97, S: -6.00
Re: Canadian federal polling division files
«
Reply #27 on:
June 30, 2009, 09:52:18 pm »
BTW, if anyone is taking requests, I would love to see Gatineau. That would be hella interesting. Hull-Aylmer as well. I made a 2006 map of Hull-Aylmer, so I know Aylmer was pretty much all red and Hull was mostly BQ (which was slightly surprising) with many Liberal areas still.
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Shilly
YaBB God
Posts: 531
Political Matrix
E: -5.68, S: -4.00
Re: Canadian federal polling division files
«
Reply #28 on:
June 30, 2009, 10:23:10 pm »
Bruce-Grey-Owen Sound 2008
No coastlines, unfortunately.
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The Head Beagle
Linus Van Pelt
YaBB God
Posts: 1499
Re: Canadian federal polling division files
«
Reply #29 on:
June 30, 2009, 10:49:03 pm »
Quote from: Shilly on June 30, 2009, 10:23:10 pm
Bruce-Grey-Owen Sound 2008
No coastlines, unfortunately.
Wow - Nayaashiinigmiing/Saugeen 29 voted Green! (Assuming the northernmost green one is Cape Croker, it's a little hard to tell with no shore). I would have expected islands of deep red there, but obviously the Chippewas got the memo about strategic voting.
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Hatman
EarlAW
YaBB God
Posts: 17259
Political Matrix
E: -4.97, S: -6.00
Re: Canadian federal polling division files
«
Reply #30 on:
July 01, 2009, 01:01:11 am »
These musn't take that long to make; it would usually take me hours to make one of these.
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Hashemite
YaBB God
Posts: 30147
Political Matrix
E: -1.29, S: -7.30
Re: Canadian federal polling division files
«
Reply #31 on:
July 01, 2009, 06:59:17 am »
Quote from: Shilly on June 30, 2009, 06:31:10 pm
Ottawa-Vanier 2008
Trugarez!
The Conservative area is Beacon Hill North - a wealthy suburb. Rockcliffe Park, an extremely wealthy neighborhood, is a surprise. I suspect this could be linked to the debate about a bridge between eastern Ottawa and Quebec (which is unpopular in Ontario).
The huge light blue poll is a very sparsely populated quasi-empty piece of land that's part of CFB Rockcliffe. I suppose the only voters there are mainly military personnel. And I think my poll voted Conservative
, unsurprising though, since it's full of old people.
Re: BGOS - what's that city which voted Green? Owen Sound?
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Quote
20:12 oakvale Taylor Swift's 22 was originally titled 75 in reference to her ex Flanby's proposed tax rate
Quote
20:49 Snowstalker yes, but i'm the kind of fascist who would have backed the allies
20:57 Snowstalker sadly, it's a legitimate ideology tarnished by the incompetent mussolini and the vile hitler
Hatman
EarlAW
YaBB God
Posts: 17259
Political Matrix
E: -4.97, S: -6.00
Re: Canadian federal polling division files
«
Reply #32 on:
July 01, 2009, 09:33:01 am »
Quote from: du Guesclin is a Traitor on July 01, 2009, 06:59:17 am
Quote from: Shilly on June 30, 2009, 06:31:10 pm
Ottawa-Vanier 2008
Trugarez!
The Conservative area is Beacon Hill North - a wealthy suburb. Rockcliffe Park, an extremely wealthy neighborhood, is a surprise. I suspect this could be linked to the debate about a bridge between eastern Ottawa and Quebec (which is unpopular in Ontario).
The huge light blue poll is a very sparsely populated quasi-empty piece of land that's part of CFB Rockcliffe. I suppose the only voters there are mainly military personnel. And I think my poll voted Conservative
, unsurprising though, since it's full of old people.
Re: BGOS - what's that city which voted Green? Owen Sound?
Yup. A detailed map of Owen Sound would be nice. It's so weird though, when I think of Owen Sound, I do not think of Green politics or environmentalists.
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the506
Full Member
Posts: 119
Political Matrix
E: 0.52, S: 1.74
Re: Canadian federal polling division files
«
Reply #33 on:
July 01, 2009, 10:22:05 am »
Joliette....a map of second place may have been more interesting.
There's actually a Conservative poll in the city, but it's so small you can barely see it.
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the506
Full Member
Posts: 119
Political Matrix
E: 0.52, S: 1.74
Re: Canadian federal polling division files
«
Reply #34 on:
July 01, 2009, 10:28:23 am »
Some more from my neck of the woods....
Saint John
Moncton-Riverview-Dieppe
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Vasall des Midas
Lewis Trondheim
YaBB God
Posts: 56538
Re: Canadian federal polling division files
«
Reply #35 on:
July 01, 2009, 10:36:17 am »
Wow, keep em coming.
I echo the Saskatchewan demands!
Oh, and that Edmonton (I think it was Edmonton) suburban riding that
almost
went iCon. I'd like to see whether that was locally polarized much.
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Quote from: True Federalist on April 28, 2013, 01:25:07 am
Liberate yourself from Free Will
Kitty's beardgrowing advice to Mitty.
the506
Full Member
Posts: 119
Political Matrix
E: 0.52, S: 1.74
Re: Canadian federal polling division files
«
Reply #36 on:
July 01, 2009, 12:55:37 pm »
I believe this qualifies as locally polarized....Edmonton-Sherwood Park:
What this map doesn't show is that in most of the Edmonton polls, the indy James Ford actually came *5th*.
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the506
Full Member
Posts: 119
Political Matrix
E: 0.52, S: 1.74
Re: Canadian federal polling division files
«
Reply #37 on:
July 01, 2009, 07:21:11 pm »
Speaking of polarized...Saskatoon-Rosetown-Biggar:
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Hashemite
YaBB God
Posts: 30147
Political Matrix
E: -1.29, S: -7.30
Re: Canadian federal polling division files
«
Reply #38 on:
July 01, 2009, 08:51:59 pm »
If you're taking requests (great job, btw
), any Quebec City ridings could be interesting (I'm especially interested in the downtown Quebec constituency).
Logged
Quote
20:12 oakvale Taylor Swift's 22 was originally titled 75 in reference to her ex Flanby's proposed tax rate
Quote
20:49 Snowstalker yes, but i'm the kind of fascist who would have backed the allies
20:57 Snowstalker sadly, it's a legitimate ideology tarnished by the incompetent mussolini and the vile hitler
Senator MaxQue
MaxQue
YaBB God
Posts: 6540
Re: Canadian federal polling division files
«
Reply #39 on:
July 01, 2009, 09:35:08 pm »
I finally understood how that works and how to know the number of a polling division. I will perhaps try to do something with that later.
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Hatman
EarlAW
YaBB God
Posts: 17259
Political Matrix
E: -4.97, S: -6.00
Re: Canadian federal polling division files
«
Reply #40 on:
July 02, 2009, 01:40:48 am »
Quote from: the506 on July 01, 2009, 12:55:37 pm
I believe this qualifies as locally polarized....Edmonton-Sherwood Park:
What this map doesn't show is that in most of the Edmonton polls, the indy James Ford actually came *5th*.
That would explain why he lost, since it looks like he won most of the polls. Basically this map shows Edmonton = Conservative, Fort Saskatchewan & Sherwood Park = Indy. Weird!
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the506
Full Member
Posts: 119
Political Matrix
E: 0.52, S: 1.74
Re: Canadian federal polling division files
«
Reply #41 on:
July 02, 2009, 11:30:02 am »
Quebec...typical Tory in the suburbs and Bloc in the inner city...
Logged
Vasall des Midas
Lewis Trondheim
YaBB God
Posts: 56538
Re: Canadian federal polling division files
«
Reply #42 on:
July 02, 2009, 11:53:39 am »
Thanks!
Logged
Quote from: True Federalist on April 28, 2013, 01:25:07 am
Liberate yourself from Free Will
Kitty's beardgrowing advice to Mitty.
Hatman
EarlAW
YaBB God
Posts: 17259
Political Matrix
E: -4.97, S: -6.00
Re: Canadian federal polling division files
«
Reply #43 on:
July 02, 2009, 04:55:47 pm »
What about my requests?
Gatineau and Hull-Aylmer
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the506
Full Member
Posts: 119
Political Matrix
E: 0.52, S: 1.74
Re: Canadian federal polling division files
«
Reply #44 on:
July 02, 2009, 08:43:56 pm »
Gatineau:
Is there another riding in the country where 4 parties won at least 1 poll?
Anyway...I'll be away this weekend so this will be my last map for a few days.
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Hatman
EarlAW
YaBB God
Posts: 17259
Political Matrix
E: -4.97, S: -6.00
Re: Canadian federal polling division files
«
Reply #45 on:
July 02, 2009, 09:03:44 pm »
Quote from: the506 on July 02, 2009, 08:43:56 pm
Gatineau:
Is there another riding in the country where 4 parties won at least 1 poll?
Perhaps Hull-Aylmer or Outremont. I know they have in the past.
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Senator MaxQue
MaxQue
YaBB God
Posts: 6540
Re: Canadian federal polling division files
«
Reply #46 on:
July 02, 2009, 09:19:44 pm »
Not in Hull-Aylmer. Consevatives failed to win a poll.
And in Outremont, only Liberals and NDP won polls.
«
Last Edit: July 02, 2009, 09:24:19 pm by MaxQue
»
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Hatman
EarlAW
YaBB God
Posts: 17259
Political Matrix
E: -4.97, S: -6.00
Re: Canadian federal polling division files
«
Reply #47 on:
July 02, 2009, 09:49:26 pm »
Quote from: MaxQue on July 02, 2009, 09:19:44 pm
Not in Hull-Aylmer. Consevatives failed to win a poll.
And in Outremont, only Liberals and NDP won polls.
Maybe in South Shore-St. Margaret's. I remember the CHP won a poll there last time.
Or perhaps Nunavut?
There might be some in BC where the Greens won some polls and the other 3 won some. Saanich-Gulf Islands being the usual case, but I dont think the NDP won any polls since their candidate dropped out.
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Holmes
YaBB God
Posts: 6514
Re: Canadian federal polling division files
«
Reply #48 on:
July 02, 2009, 10:15:58 pm »
Ooh. Timmins-Bay James please?
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Senator MaxQue
MaxQue
YaBB God
Posts: 6540
Re: Canadian federal polling division files
«
Reply #49 on:
July 02, 2009, 10:27:53 pm »
Quote from: Holmes on July 02, 2009, 10:15:58 pm
Ooh. Timmins-Bay James please?
That one will be difficult to do, I think. Like my riding of Abitibi-Baie James-Nunavik-Eeyou (a neighbour of Timmins-Bay James, the riding has cities with many precincts and big rural parts. A map would be very complicated, I suppose.
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