Canadian federal polling division files

[mileslunn]

Here is the rest of Nova Scotia

Mahone Bay --------------- NDP 30-40% (If you want to talk about close, here it is NDP 156, Tories 152, Liberals 150, so tight three way race)
Middleton ---------------------- Liberals 40-50%
Mulgrave -------------------- NDP 30-40%

New Glasgow ------------------ Tories 50-60% (Peter MacKay's home town)

Oxford ----------------- Independent 70-80%

Parrsboro --------------------- Independent 70-80%
Pictou ---------------------- Tories 40-50%
Pictou (don't have subdivisions A-C breakdown) --------------- Tories 40-50%
Port Hawkesbury ------------------- Liberals 40-50%

Queens -------------------------- NDP 30-40%

Richmond (subdivisions, don't have A-C) ----------------- Liberals 40-50%

Shelburne (Municipal district) ---------------------- Tories 30-40%
Shelburne ----------------------- Tories 30-40% (Tories beat the NDP by one vote here, tight three way race)
Springhill ------------------------- Independent 70-80% (Birthplace of singer Anne Murray)
St. Mary's ----------------------- Tories 40-50%
Stellarton --------------------- Tories 50-60% (Right next door to MacKay's home town)
Stewiacke ------------------- Independent 60-70%

Trenton ---------------- Tories 40-50%
Truro ----------------- Independent 60-70%

Victoria (Subdivisions A-B don't have exact data) ------------------- Liberals 40-50%

West Hants ----------------------------- Liberals 40-50%
Westville --------------------------- Tories 40-50%
Windsor ------------------------ Liberals 50-60% (Scott Brison's home town)
Wolfville ------------------ Liberals 50-60% (Town of Acadia University, also the Tories only got 16% here, which is pretty bad for Rural Nova Scotia)

Yarmouth Municipal District --------------------- Tories 40-50%
Yarmouth -------------------------- Tories 30-40%

[Hatman 🍁]

If you want the subdivisions, you can type in the place names into Geosearch on the stats can website and it will tell you which one they're in.

[mileslunn]

If you want the subdivisions, you can type in the place names into Geosearch on the stats can website and it will tell you which one they're in.

Do you have the link where I can get this, because I couldn't get the first geosearch to work on my computer.  If all else fails, you could just give me the poll numbers and I'll give you the data as I have all the Nova Scotia ridings on a spreadsheet

[Hatman 🍁]

If you want the subdivisions, you can type in the place names into Geosearch on the stats can website and it will tell you which one they're in.

Do you have the link where I can get this, because I couldn't get the first geosearch to work on my computer.  If all else fails, you could just give me the poll numbers and I'll give you the data as I have all the Nova Scotia ridings on a spreadsheet

I couldn't do the poll numbers, since I don't have them maps, but if you could give me the community names, I can find them.

Try this: http://geodepot.statcan.ca/GeoSearch2006/GeoSearch2006.jsp?resolution=H&lang=E&otherLang=F

If that doesn't work, try the 2001 version (which is more user friendly for place searches): http://geodepot.statcan.ca/Diss/GeoSearch/index.cfm?lang=E

[the506]

Don't forget Quebec by MRC!

I've started work on those.

[Hash]

Don't forget Quebec by MRC!

I've started work on those.

Trugarez

[mileslunn]

If you want the subdivisions, you can type in the place names into Geosearch on the stats can website and it will tell you which one they're in.

Do you have the link where I can get this, because I couldn't get the first geosearch to work on my computer.  If all else fails, you could just give me the poll numbers and I'll give you the data as I have all the Nova Scotia ridings on a spreadsheet

I can see the outline of the subdivisions, but I cannot find the polling data?  Any suggestions.  If we cannot get this, we can do what is provided.
I couldn't do the poll numbers, since I don't have them maps, but if you could give me the community names, I can find them.

Try this: http://geodepot.statcan.ca/GeoSearch2006/GeoSearch2006.jsp?resolution=H&lang=E&otherLang=F

If that doesn't work, try the 2001 version (which is more user friendly for place searches): http://geodepot.statcan.ca/Diss/GeoSearch/index.cfm?lang=E

[Hatman 🍁]

Just type in the community names to find out what subdivision they are in.

[mileslunn]

Just type in the community names to find out what subdivision they are in.

Okay, I will try and work on this.  Hopefully I can work on it over the week.

[mileslunn]

Here are the subdivisions for Nova Scotia

Annapolis A ------------------ Tories 40-50%
Annapolis B -------------------- Liberals 30-40%
Annapolis C ------------------- Tories 30-40%
Annapolis D ----------------- Tories 40-50%

Antigonish A ---------------- Tories 40-50%
Antigonish B ----------------- Tories 40-50%

Colchester A -------------- Independent 60-70%
Colchester B --------------- Independent 60-70%
Colchester C ---------------- Independent 60-70%

Cumberland A ---------------- Independent 70-80%
Cumberland B ---------------- Independent 70-80%
Cumberland C ---------------- Independet 70-80%
Cumberland D ---------------- Independent 70-80%

Inverness A ----------------- Liberals 40-50%
Inverness B ---------------- Liberals 40-50%
Inverness C --------------- Liberals 30-40%

Kings A ---------------- Tories 30-40% (This was split between two ridings, but Liberals won most polls in Kings-Hants, while Tories most in West Nova)
Kings B ---------------- Liberals 30-40%
Kings C ----------------- Liberals 30-40%
Kings D ------------------ Liberals 40-50%

Pictou A ----------------- Tories 40-50%
Pictou B ---------------- Tories 40-50%
Pictou C ----------------- Tories 40-50%

Richmond A ------------- Liberals 40-50%
Richmond B ------------- Liberals 40-50%
Richmond C ------------- Liberals 40-50%

Victoria A ------------- Liberals 50-60%
Victoria B ------------- Liberals 50-60%

[Hatman 🍁]

thanks! I'll make a map now

[Hatman 🍁]

[mileslunn]

Looks a little less random here.  Only the Southern part is somewhat random, although both West Nova and South Shore-St. Margaret's were won by small margins so that is probably the reason.

[mileslunn]

Also any possibility of doing PEI by county.  I know there is only three, but we might as well add it to the collection.  Also Hamilton and Ottawa pre-amalgamation as well as the Greater Victoria would be interesting to see.  I have made up a map for Hamilton pre-amalgamation so I can e-mail that one.

[Hash]

Also any possibility of doing PEI by county.  I know there is only three, but we might as well add it to the collection.  Also Hamilton and Ottawa pre-amalgamation as well as the Greater Victoria would be interesting to see.  I have made up a map for Hamilton pre-amalgamation so I can e-mail that one.

Or you upload it to the Gallery. You have 50+ posts now.

[Linus Van Pelt]

Just a side question, I know Victoria has a lot of British immigrants so I wonder what part of Britain most came from as I know the Industrial North is quite left wing, but the South is more Conservative, so I wonder if a lot came from the Industrial North.  Off course the strong NDP Victoria probably has more to do with the large civil servant population, never mind Sidney which is quite Conservative I believe has a large British immigrant population.

British immigrants (as opposed to just people of British origin) tend to be old, in Canada for a long time, and better integrated (to the point that there isn't really a "community" of them) than any other immigrant group, since immigration from Britain was mostly from the post-WWII period and earlier, when things were still pretty grim in much of the UK. I doubt there's much concentration either politically or geographically, except that the posh didn't need to emigrate, and probably they're a bit more NDP/Con than average because of the British party system. I don't think they particularly came to Victoria more than anywhere else, but Victoria just has a lot of Waspy retirees, a group in which people born in Britain are over-represented.

In fact, the demographics of people who retire to the Victoria area are pretty similar to those who retire to the rest of eastern Vancouver Island (i.e. middle-to-upper-middle-class white people from the western part of the country), but there's a huge difference in the political outlook of someone who wants to retire in an artsy Victorian provincial capital/university town and someone who wants a weird pseudo-Florida planned community north of Nanaimo where you have to drive everywhere.

[mileslunn]

I finally got it to work, so new I can start adding maps myself

Here is the GTA by municipality



The dark blue municipalities which are Tories over 50% are mostly exurbs, while the light blue which are Tories 40-50% are more your middle class outerlying predominately white suburbs.  The Liberals won most the municipalities close to the city

Here is Hamilton pre-amalgamation.  The divide is not just suburban/rural vs. urban but it also seems the Tories are much stronger above the Niagara Enscarpment than below



Here is Niagara by Municipality



Waterloo by municipality (The dark blue are the predominately rural municipalities)

[

I also did just Southern Ontario by County



Asides from Lambton County and Oxford County, all the counties the Tories won with over 50% are in Eastern and Central Ontario.

[mileslunn]

Here is PEI by county

[mileslunn]

Anybody have a blank map for Ottawa pre-amalgamation or for Greater Victoria by municipality.  If you e-mail it to me in the message, I can fill in the colours.

[Hatman 🍁]

[Linus Van Pelt]

Jasper (Yellowhead riding). All non-reserve polls outside the national park strongly Conservative. Greens are quite strong here too, second place in a few polls.

[mileslunn]

Jasper (Yellowhead riding). All non-reserve polls outside the national park strongly Conservative. Greens are quite strong here too, second place in a few polls.

I think Banff and Lake Louise were also quite competitive.  Unusual for Alberta, although I guess the resort town probably has an influence.  Similiar to Blaine County in Idaho and Jackson County in Wyoming as both go heavily Democrat in otherwise heavily Republican state.  I should note the Tories are also quite weak in Whistler compared to the rest of the WVSC.

[Hatman 🍁]

Ahh yes. I remember how Jasper is shaped like a "J"

[Linus Van Pelt]

And now Banff. Green/Con tie in the big southern one. We thus have our Opportunity for Totally Uninformed Speculation for the night: of the two Alberta Rocky mountain national park towns, both of which are basically entirely tourism and park-dependent, why is the non-Tory vote in one NDP and the other Green? Maybe due to physical locations Banff draws more from Calgary and Jasper more from Edmonton for young park/tourism employees?

[Linus Van Pelt]

I thought of having a look at Calgary, but by my quick scan the poll counts in the two most liberal, inner-city ridings in the city are Lee Richardson 217, Green 2, Liberal 1, and Jim Prentice 234, Green 1 NDP 1, so I think I'll give it a miss.