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Author Topic: Canadian federal polling division files  (Read 97126 times)
Hatman
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« Reply #75 on: July 07, 2009, 12:27:53 am »
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Because we haven't had much GTA coverage in this thread....Trinity-Spadina:



I currently live here. I'm actually living in UoT residences FYI. Where are these places?

Also do Toronto Central, Toronto Danforth and Mississauga South please.

Since when have you been in Canada?
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Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #76 on: July 07, 2009, 03:38:35 am »
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I was going to get around to Central Nova soon anyway...



Greens did the best in Antigonish, where St. FX is, so that makes sense, and it looks like their best result was Pictou Island. (interesting). I don't know anything about Pictou Island.  Wikipedia says it is a fishing Island but it also uses solar and windpower, which might explain some things.

The NDP polls seem kind of random...
The two rural ones look perfectly random. I tried to figure out what that NDP-voting village east of Antigonish is, and it seems that it's a Micmac reservation (Afton).

Median household income is a third of Manitoba's... and the households are larger on average.
« Last Edit: July 07, 2009, 03:41:46 am by Lewis Trondheim, worker cat »Logged

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« Reply #77 on: July 07, 2009, 11:28:22 am »
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Because we haven't had much GTA coverage in this thread....Trinity-Spadina:



I currently live here. I'm actually living in UoT residences FYI. Where are these places?

Also do Toronto Central, Toronto Danforth and Mississauga South please.

Since when have you been in Canada?

Since Last Month (June 14th to be precise). There was a thread about it here, but I'm not bothered to find it right now.

I'm currently posting from a free internet service (for those with Student VISAs) in Downtown Toronto.
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Keith R Laws ‏@Keith_Laws  Feb 4
As I have noted before 'paradigm shift' is an anagram of 'grasp dim faith'

the506
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« Reply #78 on: July 07, 2009, 08:42:36 pm »
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A downtown Toronto 7-pack for you tonight...

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Hatman
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« Reply #79 on: July 08, 2009, 02:11:39 am »
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Very interesting.

First of all it is interesting to see how polarized some of Toronto is, like how Parkdale is NDP while High Park is Liberal. Southern Davenport is NDP (more so provincially) while the north is Liberal. And take a look at that big blue splotch! That would be Forest Hill, centred around Upper Canada College, a well known major private secondary school.

It would be interesting to see what Toronto Centre would be like if it weren't so Liberal, that is if you took Rosedale (the north part) out of it. I remember the NDP won some polls in Centre in 2006. Guess those votes went to that scumbag Rae. Strongest Liberal areas were Regent Park and Cabbagetown.

Beaches-East York is rather disappointing. It doesn't appear to be as polarized, but I guess the NDP did better in East York than in Beaches.


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« Reply #80 on: July 08, 2009, 07:19:01 am »

Well, fishies vote NDP.
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the506
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« Reply #81 on: July 08, 2009, 04:37:42 pm »
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Vancouver:

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Holmes
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« Reply #82 on: July 08, 2009, 07:14:48 pm »
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I'm actually living in UoT residences FYI.

... University college, right? *shakes fist*
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« Reply #83 on: July 08, 2009, 08:39:30 pm »
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I love this thread. Keep 'em coming! I particularly like the compilation ones; it's fascinating to see the side-by-side comparisons between polling divisions in adjacent ridings.

My requests:

- Montreal island as a whole, particularly Outremont

- Winnipeg

- Hamilton and Windsor: where the NDP won the two seats in the centre and the Tories took the surrounding countryside.
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« Reply #84 on: July 08, 2009, 10:43:36 pm »
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I love this thread. Keep 'em coming! I particularly like the compilation ones; it's fascinating to see the side-by-side comparisons between polling divisions in adjacent ridings.

Agreed! It's great to see the voting trends and the flows from one riding to the next.
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« Reply #85 on: July 09, 2009, 12:02:00 pm »
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I'm actually living in UoT residences FYI.

... University college, right? *shakes fist*

No. New College.

Good work everyone. Keep it up.
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Keith R Laws ‏@Keith_Laws  Feb 4
As I have noted before 'paradigm shift' is an anagram of 'grasp dim faith'

Hatman
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« Reply #86 on: July 09, 2009, 03:05:23 pm »
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Vancouver is really interesting. Riding boundaries really seem to mean a lot. And Green polls in Vancouver Centre!!
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« Reply #87 on: July 09, 2009, 08:31:44 pm »
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Riding boundaries really seem to mean a lot.

A local Member's personal vote, perhaps?
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Hatman
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« Reply #88 on: July 09, 2009, 09:24:17 pm »
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Riding boundaries really seem to mean a lot.

A local Member's personal vote, perhaps?

Somewhat, but also factor in strategic voting. I think maps like this prove it exists.
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« Reply #89 on: July 09, 2009, 09:31:54 pm »
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I think Regina deserves some attention.  Could someone do whichever of the four Regina-splitting "rurban" constituencies was closest for starters (although I also echo the call for ward maps of all seven of the remaining "rurban" Saskatchewan constituencies)?
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Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #90 on: July 10, 2009, 03:46:19 am »
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Riding boundaries really seem to mean a lot.

A local Member's personal vote, perhaps?

Somewhat, but also factor in strategic voting. I think maps like this prove it exists.
I don't think that was needed anymore.
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the506
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« Reply #91 on: July 10, 2009, 03:50:27 pm »
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Montreal:

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Hatman
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« Reply #92 on: July 10, 2009, 04:33:05 pm »
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Wow. Polarized
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Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #93 on: July 10, 2009, 04:40:56 pm »
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That lightblue corridor is interesting.
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"The secret to having a rewarding work-life balance is to have no life. Then it's easy to keep things balanced by doing no work." Wally



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Hatman
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« Reply #94 on: July 11, 2009, 02:28:32 pm »
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We should have a redistricting thread now, to either do the following:

1) make districts more competitive
2) make districts more politically homogeneous
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« Reply #95 on: July 11, 2009, 03:03:17 pm »
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Some more Native areas would be interesting. I have a theory about what predicts the heavily Liberal vs. more NDP/others patterns among reserves, but I don't have many data.

On my Abitibi-Baie James-Nunavik-Eeyou, all Liberal precincts are Native areas. The Conservative precicnt in Wasnanipi too. I am doing Abitibi-Témiscamingue map and Pikogan, a Native reservation, voted for the BQ. BQ 29%, NDP 25%, Liberal 24%.
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Hatman
EarlAW
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« Reply #96 on: July 11, 2009, 03:28:31 pm »
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Some more Native areas would be interesting. I have a theory about what predicts the heavily Liberal vs. more NDP/others patterns among reserves, but I don't have many data.

On my Abitibi-Baie James-Nunavik-Eeyou, all Liberal precincts are Native areas. The Conservative precicnt in Wasnanipi too. I am doing Abitibi-Témiscamingue map and Pikogan, a Native reservation, voted for the BQ. BQ 29%, NDP 25%, Liberal 24%.

Ooh. I look forward to this.
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« Reply #97 on: July 11, 2009, 03:50:53 pm »

That Sask riding with the very long name, D-M-CR or something along those lines, would be fun. IIRC, it's majority native and is held by the Tories.

I note that majority native ridings vote differently than native areas in non-majority native ridings.
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« Reply #98 on: July 12, 2009, 04:25:55 am »
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http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/GALLERY/2545_12_07_09_5_20_03.png

La Sarre-Macamic-Palmarolle is in the northwest, Amos is in the northeast, Barraute is a little to the southeast of Amos. Rouyn-Noranda is the big city in the middle of the riding. Notre-Dame-du-Nord/Ville-Marie/Lorrainville is a zoom on that border area and Témiscaming is in south, on Ontario border.
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« Reply #99 on: July 12, 2009, 10:46:52 am »

We've been noticed by the Pundits' Guide! Muy bien, amigos.

I put in a request for Glengarry-Prescott-Russell... and why not Pontiac.
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