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Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
International Elections
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Canadian federal polling division files
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Author
Topic: Canadian federal polling division files (Read 87069 times)
Hatman
EarlAW
YaBB God
Posts: 17249
Political Matrix
E: -4.97, S: -6.00
Re: Canadian federal polling division files
«
Reply #75 on:
July 07, 2009, 12:27:53 am »
Quote from: Ghyl Tarvoke on July 06, 2009, 09:28:19 pm
Quote from: the506 on July 05, 2009, 09:38:01 pm
Because we haven't had much GTA coverage in this thread....Trinity-Spadina:
I currently live here. I'm actually living in UoT residences FYI. Where are these places?
Also do Toronto Central, Toronto Danforth and Mississauga South please.
Since when have you been in Canada?
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Vasall des Midas
Lewis Trondheim
YaBB God
Posts: 56582
Re: Canadian federal polling division files
«
Reply #76 on:
July 07, 2009, 03:38:35 am »
Quote from: SoFA EarlAW on July 06, 2009, 04:48:28 pm
Quote from: the506 on July 06, 2009, 10:40:55 am
I was going to get around to Central Nova soon anyway...
Greens did the best in Antigonish, where St. FX is, so that makes sense, and it looks like their best result was Pictou Island. (interesting). I don't know anything about Pictou Island. Wikipedia says it is a fishing Island but it also uses solar and windpower, which might explain some things.
The NDP polls seem kind of random...
The two rural ones look perfectly random. I tried to figure out what that NDP-voting village east of Antigonish is, and it seems that it's a Micmac reservation (Afton).
Median household income is a third of Manitoba's... and the households are larger on average.
«
Last Edit: July 07, 2009, 03:41:46 am by Lewis Trondheim, worker cat
»
Logged
Quote from: True Federalist on April 28, 2013, 01:25:07 am
Liberate yourself from Free Will
Kitty's beardgrowing advice to Mitty.
Ghyl Tarvoke
Gully Foyle
YaBB God
Posts: 9903
Re: Canadian federal polling division files
«
Reply #77 on:
July 07, 2009, 11:28:22 am »
Quote from: SoFA EarlAW on July 07, 2009, 12:27:53 am
Quote from: Ghyl Tarvoke on July 06, 2009, 09:28:19 pm
Quote from: the506 on July 05, 2009, 09:38:01 pm
Because we haven't had much GTA coverage in this thread....Trinity-Spadina:
I currently live here. I'm actually living in UoT residences FYI. Where are these places?
Also do Toronto Central, Toronto Danforth and Mississauga South please.
Since when have you been in Canada?
Since Last Month (June 14th to be precise). There was a thread about it here, but I'm not bothered to find it right now.
I'm currently posting from a free internet service (for those with Student VISAs) in Downtown Toronto.
Logged
Quote from: Liveline On Séan Quinn
These are ordinary people Joe, he just wanted to buy a bank
Quote from: Some guy on Facebook
Guess it's a question of perspective & choice of narrative method ...
... and that, by the way, is also one of the reasons why none of Eric Hobsbawm's books has been turned into a succesful Broadway musical so far.
the506
Full Member
Posts: 119
Political Matrix
E: 0.52, S: 1.74
Re: Canadian federal polling division files
«
Reply #78 on:
July 07, 2009, 08:42:36 pm »
A downtown Toronto 7-pack for you tonight...
Logged
Hatman
EarlAW
YaBB God
Posts: 17249
Political Matrix
E: -4.97, S: -6.00
Re: Canadian federal polling division files
«
Reply #79 on:
July 08, 2009, 02:11:39 am »
Very interesting.
First of all it is interesting to see how polarized some of Toronto is, like how Parkdale is NDP while High Park is Liberal. Southern Davenport is NDP (more so provincially) while the north is Liberal. And take a look at that big blue splotch! That would be Forest Hill, centred around Upper Canada College, a well known major private secondary school.
It would be interesting to see what Toronto Centre would be like if it weren't so Liberal, that is if you took Rosedale (the north part) out of it. I remember the NDP won some polls in Centre in 2006. Guess those votes went to that scumbag Rae. Strongest Liberal areas were Regent Park and Cabbagetown.
Beaches-East York is rather disappointing. It doesn't appear to be as polarized, but I guess the NDP did better in East York than in Beaches.
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Hashemite
YaBB God
Posts: 30158
Political Matrix
E: -1.29, S: -7.30
Re: Canadian federal polling division files
«
Reply #80 on:
July 08, 2009, 07:19:01 am »
Well, fishies vote NDP.
Logged
Quote
20:12 oakvale Taylor Swift's 22 was originally titled 75 in reference to her ex Flanby's proposed tax rate
Quote
20:49 Snowstalker yes, but i'm the kind of fascist who would have backed the allies
20:57 Snowstalker sadly, it's a legitimate ideology tarnished by the incompetent mussolini and the vile hitler
the506
Full Member
Posts: 119
Political Matrix
E: 0.52, S: 1.74
Re: Canadian federal polling division files
«
Reply #81 on:
July 08, 2009, 04:37:42 pm »
Vancouver:
Logged
Holmes
YaBB God
Posts: 6537
Re: Canadian federal polling division files
«
Reply #82 on:
July 08, 2009, 07:14:48 pm »
Quote from: Ghyl Tarvoke on July 06, 2009, 09:28:19 pm
I'm actually living in UoT residences FYI.
... University college, right? *shakes fist*
Logged
cp
Sr. Member
Posts: 495
Re: Canadian federal polling division files
«
Reply #83 on:
July 08, 2009, 08:39:30 pm »
I love this thread. Keep 'em coming! I particularly like the compilation ones; it's fascinating to see the side-by-side comparisons between polling divisions in adjacent ridings.
My requests:
- Montreal island as a whole, particularly Outremont
- Winnipeg
- Hamilton and Windsor: where the NDP won the two seats in the centre and the Tories took the surrounding countryside.
Logged
Smid
YaBB God
Posts: 5388
Re: Canadian federal polling division files
«
Reply #84 on:
July 08, 2009, 10:43:36 pm »
Quote from: cp on July 08, 2009, 08:39:30 pm
I love this thread. Keep 'em coming! I particularly like the compilation ones; it's fascinating to see the side-by-side comparisons between polling divisions in adjacent ridings.
Agreed! It's great to see the voting trends and the flows from one riding to the next.
Logged
Ghyl Tarvoke
Gully Foyle
YaBB God
Posts: 9903
Re: Canadian federal polling division files
«
Reply #85 on:
July 09, 2009, 12:02:00 pm »
Quote from: Holmes on July 08, 2009, 07:14:48 pm
Quote from: Ghyl Tarvoke on July 06, 2009, 09:28:19 pm
I'm actually living in UoT residences FYI.
... University college, right? *shakes fist*
No. New College.
Good work everyone. Keep it up.
Logged
Quote from: Liveline On Séan Quinn
These are ordinary people Joe, he just wanted to buy a bank
Quote from: Some guy on Facebook
Guess it's a question of perspective & choice of narrative method ...
... and that, by the way, is also one of the reasons why none of Eric Hobsbawm's books has been turned into a succesful Broadway musical so far.
Hatman
EarlAW
YaBB God
Posts: 17249
Political Matrix
E: -4.97, S: -6.00
Re: Canadian federal polling division files
«
Reply #86 on:
July 09, 2009, 03:05:23 pm »
Vancouver is really interesting. Riding boundaries really seem to mean a lot. And Green polls in Vancouver Centre!!
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Smid
YaBB God
Posts: 5388
Re: Canadian federal polling division files
«
Reply #87 on:
July 09, 2009, 08:31:44 pm »
Quote from: SoFA EarlAW on July 09, 2009, 03:05:23 pm
Riding boundaries really seem to mean a lot.
A local Member's personal vote, perhaps?
Logged
Hatman
EarlAW
YaBB God
Posts: 17249
Political Matrix
E: -4.97, S: -6.00
Re: Canadian federal polling division files
«
Reply #88 on:
July 09, 2009, 09:24:17 pm »
Quote from: Smid on July 09, 2009, 08:31:44 pm
Quote from: SoFA EarlAW on July 09, 2009, 03:05:23 pm
Riding boundaries really seem to mean a lot.
A local Member's personal vote, perhaps?
Somewhat, but also factor in strategic voting. I think maps like this prove it exists.
Logged
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Follow me on Twitter @EarlWashburn
Kevinstat
YaBB God
Posts: 1214
Re: Canadian federal polling division files
«
Reply #89 on:
July 09, 2009, 09:31:54 pm »
I think Regina deserves some attention. Could someone do whichever of the four Regina-splitting "rurban" constituencies was closest for starters (although I also echo the call for ward maps of all seven of the remaining "rurban" Saskatchewan constituencies)?
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Vasall des Midas
Lewis Trondheim
YaBB God
Posts: 56582
Re: Canadian federal polling division files
«
Reply #90 on:
July 10, 2009, 03:46:19 am »
Quote from: SoFA EarlAW on July 09, 2009, 09:24:17 pm
Quote from: Smid on July 09, 2009, 08:31:44 pm
Quote from: SoFA EarlAW on July 09, 2009, 03:05:23 pm
Riding boundaries really seem to mean a lot.
A local Member's personal vote, perhaps?
Somewhat, but also factor in strategic voting. I think maps like this prove it exists.
I don't think that was needed anymore.
Logged
Quote from: True Federalist on April 28, 2013, 01:25:07 am
Liberate yourself from Free Will
Kitty's beardgrowing advice to Mitty.
the506
Full Member
Posts: 119
Political Matrix
E: 0.52, S: 1.74
Re: Canadian federal polling division files
«
Reply #91 on:
July 10, 2009, 03:50:27 pm »
Montreal:
Logged
Hatman
EarlAW
YaBB God
Posts: 17249
Political Matrix
E: -4.97, S: -6.00
Re: Canadian federal polling division files
«
Reply #92 on:
July 10, 2009, 04:33:05 pm »
Wow. Polarized
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Vasall des Midas
Lewis Trondheim
YaBB God
Posts: 56582
Re: Canadian federal polling division files
«
Reply #93 on:
July 10, 2009, 04:40:56 pm »
That lightblue corridor is interesting.
Logged
Quote from: True Federalist on April 28, 2013, 01:25:07 am
Liberate yourself from Free Will
Kitty's beardgrowing advice to Mitty.
Hatman
EarlAW
YaBB God
Posts: 17249
Political Matrix
E: -4.97, S: -6.00
Re: Canadian federal polling division files
«
Reply #94 on:
July 11, 2009, 02:28:32 pm »
We should have a redistricting thread now, to either do the following:
1) make districts more competitive
2) make districts more politically homogeneous
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Senator MaxQue
MaxQue
YaBB God
Posts: 6518
Re: Canadian federal polling division files
«
Reply #95 on:
July 11, 2009, 03:03:17 pm »
Quote from: Linus Van Pelt on July 11, 2009, 05:03:01 am
Some more Native areas would be interesting. I have a theory about what predicts the heavily Liberal vs. more NDP/others patterns among reserves, but I don't have many data.
On my Abitibi-Baie James-Nunavik-Eeyou, all Liberal precincts are Native areas. The Conservative precicnt in Wasnanipi too. I am doing Abitibi-Témiscamingue map and Pikogan, a Native reservation, voted for the BQ. BQ 29%, NDP 25%, Liberal 24%.
Logged
Hatman
EarlAW
YaBB God
Posts: 17249
Political Matrix
E: -4.97, S: -6.00
Re: Canadian federal polling division files
«
Reply #96 on:
July 11, 2009, 03:28:31 pm »
Quote from: Senator MaxQue on July 11, 2009, 03:03:17 pm
Quote from: Linus Van Pelt on July 11, 2009, 05:03:01 am
Some more Native areas would be interesting. I have a theory about what predicts the heavily Liberal vs. more NDP/others patterns among reserves, but I don't have many data.
On my Abitibi-Baie James-Nunavik-Eeyou, all Liberal precincts are Native areas. The Conservative precicnt in Wasnanipi too. I am doing Abitibi-Témiscamingue map and Pikogan, a Native reservation, voted for the BQ. BQ 29%, NDP 25%, Liberal 24%.
Ooh. I look forward to this.
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Hashemite
YaBB God
Posts: 30158
Political Matrix
E: -1.29, S: -7.30
Re: Canadian federal polling division files
«
Reply #97 on:
July 11, 2009, 03:50:53 pm »
That Sask riding with the very long name, D-M-CR or something along those lines, would be fun. IIRC, it's majority native and is held by the Tories.
I note that majority native ridings vote differently than native areas in non-majority native ridings.
Logged
Quote
20:12 oakvale Taylor Swift's 22 was originally titled 75 in reference to her ex Flanby's proposed tax rate
Quote
20:49 Snowstalker yes, but i'm the kind of fascist who would have backed the allies
20:57 Snowstalker sadly, it's a legitimate ideology tarnished by the incompetent mussolini and the vile hitler
Senator MaxQue
MaxQue
YaBB God
Posts: 6518
Re: Canadian federal polling division files
«
Reply #98 on:
July 12, 2009, 04:25:55 am »
http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/GALLERY/2545_12_07_09_5_20_03.png
La Sarre-Macamic-Palmarolle is in the northwest, Amos is in the northeast, Barraute is a little to the southeast of Amos. Rouyn-Noranda is the big city in the middle of the riding. Notre-Dame-du-Nord/Ville-Marie/Lorrainville is a zoom on that border area and Témiscaming is in south, on Ontario border.
Logged
Hashemite
YaBB God
Posts: 30158
Political Matrix
E: -1.29, S: -7.30
Re: Canadian federal polling division files
«
Reply #99 on:
July 12, 2009, 10:46:52 am »
We've been noticed by the Pundits' Guide! Muy bien, amigos.
I put in a request for Glengarry-Prescott-Russell... and why not Pontiac.
Logged
Quote
20:12 oakvale Taylor Swift's 22 was originally titled 75 in reference to her ex Flanby's proposed tax rate
Quote
20:49 Snowstalker yes, but i'm the kind of fascist who would have backed the allies
20:57 Snowstalker sadly, it's a legitimate ideology tarnished by the incompetent mussolini and the vile hitler
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